Sentences with phrase «reasonable central estimate»
In the light of the current observational evidence, in my view 1.75 °C would be a more reasonable central estimate for ECS than 3 °C, perhaps with a «likely» range of around 1.25 — 2.75 °C.
http://www.bishop-hill.net/ Not exact matches
Choice 3: Can we devise a carbon tax flexible enough to deal with the above uncertainties that: a) is fully refunded to every citizen and exporters, b) collected from importers, c) rises exponentially with future temperature change, d) responds to the willingness and effectiveness of other nations to limit their emissions, and e) provides reasonable economic incentives to reduce emissions if the IPCC's central estimates are correct?
If you then have evidence that includes (1) a shift in the central tendency and (2) increasingly frequent observations of events going over x sigma, over some decent sample of space or time or both and based on the best estimated shape of the original distribution, then it is at the very least, reasonable to assume that the former tails have shifted + / - in concert with the rest of the distribution; that is to say, the entire original distribution has shifted.