There are a lot of smart people who seem to think a normalized 4 % -5 % ten year Treasury yield is
a reasonable planning assumption.
For example, go to a tool like T. Rowe Price's Retirement Income Calculator, plug in a $ 1 million portfolio and assume an initial 4 %, or $ 40,000, withdrawal that will subsequently be adjusted by the inflation rate, and the calculator will estimate that there's roughly an 80 % chance that your nest egg will be able to sustain that level of withdrawals for at least 30 years, or, if you retire at 65, until you reach age 95,
a reasonable planning assumption given today's long lifespans.
Looking at history as a guide, our study concluded that an average one - month Libor rate of roughly 5 percent with a range between 0.2 percent and 11 percent across the life of the loan were
reasonable planning assumptions.
Not exact matches
Before a business
plan has any validity, some work is required to validate that your technology works, a real market exists and your
assumptions for cost and price are
reasonable.
No
plan is perfect, but you can make some fairly
reasonable assumptions.
(The calculator assumes you'll live to age 95, which I think is
reasonable for
planning purposes, but you can override that
assumption if you like.)
These include adjusting borrower income forecasts for inflation, completing
planned model revisions and ensuring that they generate
reasonable predictions of participation trends, and testing key
assumptions.
What's important, in my opinion, is to look at the numbers, have a
reasonable set of
assumptions, and formulate a
plan.
Moreover, since the
plan is a participating
plan, you can get a
reasonable estimate of returns using certain
assumptions.