Although it's
receiving fewer bets than any other playoff game, there are some fascinating trends for Saturday's AFC wild - card matchup between the Oakland Raiders (12 - 4) and Houston Texans (9 - 7).
Although this game is
receiving fewer bets than any other Wild Card weekend game, there has been some fascinating line movement in early action.
For comparison, only Tennessee / Washington and Minnesota / Buffalo
received fewer bets last Sunday.
Not exact matches
In fact, we detail this bias in our 2011 - 12
Betting Against the Public article which shows that betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at vi
Betting Against the Public article which shows that
betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at vi
betting on teams who
receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at visitors.
They haven't
received fewer than 30 % of
bets at home since 2015, the season they finished 4 - 12.
In 2011,
betting against Boston, when they're
receiving fewer than 40 % of moneyline wagers, has produced a profit of 7.46 units.
With far
fewer heavily lopsided games during the playoffs, we would need to use a much broader definition of
betting against the public and instead focus on teams
receiving no more than 50 % of moneyline
bets.
In these games, the underdog (team
receiving 30 % or
fewer spread
bets) went 11 - 5 against the spread (ATS), for a winning percentage of 68.8 %.
At CRIS, the USA was once at +650 and one of the
few teams not affected by injuries yet moved to +705 even after
receiving the highest percentage of future
bets.
The 80/20 NFL Rule refers to games where a home underdog is
receiving 20 % or
fewer of spread
bets (using Sports Insights» NFL...
Since opening, they have
received no
fewer than half of spread
bets as well as spread money.
The 80/20 NFL Rule refers to games where a home underdog is
receiving 20 % or
fewer of spread
bets (using Sports Insights» NFL
Betting Trends Data).
If you don't believe the low TV ratings, we consistently see WNBA games
receiving about twenty times
fewer bets than the average NBA game.
With
fewer games scheduled during the later rounds, we surmised that each game would
receive a higher number of
bets.
Although there have been very
few preseason games with a full point of reverse line movement on a team that's
receiving less than 35 % of spread
bets, teams fitting those criteria have covered at a nearly 67 % clip.
Not surprisingly, three of the games in which Kentucky
received fewer than 50 % of spread
bets came against North Carolina, Florida and Louisville, other ranked - teams and perennial favorites of public bettors as well.
While only a
few books are reporting
betting trends, Minnesota is
receiving nearly 70 % of early spread
bets.
Our analysis of
Betting Against the Public in College Basketball shows that contrarian betting has historically been profitable when playing on double - digit underdogs that are receiving 40 % or fewer of sprea
Betting Against the Public in College Basketball shows that contrarian
betting has historically been profitable when playing on double - digit underdogs that are receiving 40 % or fewer of sprea
betting has historically been profitable when playing on double - digit underdogs that are
receiving 40 % or
fewer of spread
bets.
According to our
Bet Labs software, bettors wagering on every team
receiving 40 % or
fewer of moneyline wagers won +14.11 units for a Return On Investment (ROI) of 1.5 %.
These games typically
receive very
few bets which limits the effectiveness of
betting against the public.
Teams
receiving less than 40 % of spread
bets were 7 - 4 ATS while teams who finished last season with a losing record (7 or
fewer wins) were 11 - 2 ATS in Week 4.
Week 2 was very profitable for
Betting Against the Public in the NFL as teams
receiving 30 % or
fewer of spread wagers went a staggering 7 - 2 (77.8 %).
According to our
Bet Labs database, contrarian value begins to appear when a side is
receiving 40 % or
fewer of total spread tickets.
Why the public loves Houston: The World Series champs have yet to
receive fewer than 64 % of
bets in a game this season regardless of who's on the bump, so it should come as no surprise to see bettors attacking a Verlander start, even at -165.
I
bet this video has
received more than the 450 or
fewer views Belle's seven official book trailers
received: http://www.youtube.com/user/1156ruby.
As surfing is not a major sporting pastime in Phuket there are relatively
few places to rent boards or to
receive surfing lessons but the best
bet for the aspiring surfer is to head over to Kata Beach where boards, instructors and - most importantly - waves are available.
A
few special guests presented and
received awards but the talk of the night (I would expect) will have been the Award for Best Multiplayer; any pundits
betting on the evening would have no doubt found themselves out of pocket when the winner was announced...
People familiar with Soros» fund told Bloomberg that Adam Fisher, the head of macro investing,
received internal approval to trade cryptocurrencies in the last
few months, but has not made any actual
bets yet.