Current sea level rise underestimated: Satellites show
recent global average sea level rise (3.4 millimeters per year over the past 15 years) to be around 80 percent above past I.P.C.C. predictions.
Not exact matches
Indeed, the most
recent IPCC report concluded that the
sea -
level rise contribution associated such an event «can not be precisely quantified,» but would contribute «several tenths of a meter» of
global average sea -
level rise by 2100.
One
recent modeling study focused on this mode of instability estimated that the Antarctic ice sheet has a 1 - in - 20 chance of contributing about 30 centimeters (1.0 feet) to
global average sea -
level rise over the course of this century and 72 centimeters (2.4 feet) by the end of the next century.
Many
recent studies (e.g. Hansen & Sato) have claimed that future
rise in
global average temperature (GAT) will create a much greater effect on
sea level than IPCC AR4 predicts.
The
global average sea level has already
risen by about eight inches since 1901, with up to another two and a half feet of
sea level rise possible by 2100, according to the most
recent projections from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
If we do nothing to reduce our carbon emissions, scientists project that
global sea level could
rise as much as nearly two feet (59 centimeters) over
recent average levels by the end of this century.14, 15 If, on the other hand, we make significant efforts to reduce heat - trapping emissions,
sea -
level rise between now and the end of the century could be limited to at most 1.25 feet (38 centimeters).14, 15
The most
recent report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projected a
global average sea level rise of between about one to three feet, although that report did not take the new findings on Antarctic ice melt into account.
One
recent modeling study focused on this mode of instability estimated that the Antarctic ice sheet has a 1 - in - 20 chance of contributing about 30 centimeters (1.0 feet) to
global average sea -
level rise over the course of this century and 72 centimeters (2.4 feet) by the end of the next century.