Another explanation for
the recent hiatus in warming focuses on the internal variability of the climate system.
Thomas Stocker in London also diminished the importance of
the recent hiatus in warming and stated that it would need to last for 3 decades before it meant anything significant.
Media headlines touted the conclusion that science now shows that
the recent hiatus in warming never existed.
Not exact matches
Dr Cowtan added: «
Recent studies suggest that the so - called «
hiatus»
in warming is
in part due to challenges
in assembling the data.
Here we demonstrate that the multidcadal variability
in NHT including the
recent warming hiatus is tied to the NAT - NAO - AMO - AMOC coupled mode and the NAO is implicated as a useful predictor of NHT multidecadal variability.
Recent intensification of wind - driven circulation
in the Pacific and the ongoing
warming hiatus
I have an article running
in The Times on
recent vagaries
in planetary temperature, which almost all scientific experts on global
warming describe as a brief and normal
hiatus from the long - term
warming driven by greenhouse gases.
No doubt the southern ocean, featured strongly by Hansen et al, plays an important role, but data there are poor, and change is not well known;
in particular the
recent hiatus in global
warming greatly influences any observations, which can therefore be quite misleading wrt trends.
Updated, 3:10 p.m. Using climate models and observations, a fascinating study
in this week's issue of Nature Climate Change points to a marked
recent warming of the Atlantic Ocean as a powerful shaper of a host of notable changes
in climate and ocean patterns
in the last couple of decades — including Pacific wind, sea level and ocean patterns, the decade - plus
hiatus in global
warming and even California's deepening drought.
global
warming is still under way despite the
recent pause / plateau /
hiatus / slowdown / standstill (choose one)
in the planet's mean temperature.
Last summer, a team of government scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), led by Thomas Karl, published a paper
in Science titled «Possible Artifacts Of Data Biases In The Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus.&raqu
in Science titled «Possible Artifacts Of Data Biases
In The Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus.&raqu
In The
Recent Global Surface
Warming Hiatus.»
The press release from NOAA included this statement from Karl: «Adding
in the last two years of global surface temperature data and other improvements
in the quality of the observed record provide evidence that contradict the notion of a
hiatus in recent global
warming trends.»
In a recent journal publication, I provided a rationale for projecting that the hiatus in warming could extend to the 2030'
In a
recent journal publication, I provided a rationale for projecting that the
hiatus in warming could extend to the 2030'
in warming could extend to the 2030's.
Dan Barrie, program manager at NOAA, called the research «compelling» and said: «[It] provides a powerful illustration of how the remote eastern tropical Pacific guides the behaviour of the global ocean - atmosphere system,
in this case exhibiting a discernible influence on the
recent hiatus in global
warming.»
The study — «Possible Artifacts of Data Biases
in the
Recent Global Surface
Warming Hiatus» — was published by Science magazine
in June 2015 and pushed back against assertions from other research groups that found a pause
in rising global temperatures from 1998 to 2012, which goes against climate change advocates» insistence that the earth's temperature has been on a steady incline for decades.
... this
hiatus in warming If the
recent warming hiatus...... the
hiatus in warming..
For example, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has trouble explaining the
recent «
hiatus»
in warming as well as the
warming trend before the 1950s.
The main «warmist» explanation for the
recent hiatus in land surface
warming is that the heat is going into the oceans.
Surface
warming / ocean
warming: «A reassessment of temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes
in global temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations
in sea surface temperature trends»
By contrast, the
recent modest decrease
in the rate of
warming has elicited numerous articles and special issues of leading journals and it has been (mis --RRB- labeled as a «pause» or «
hiatus».
Vaughan Pratt: An intriguing feature of the stadium - wave hypothesis is that it purports to explain a 15 - year phenomenon, namely the
recent hiatus in global
warming,
in terms of 300 years worth of data.
Which conveniently ignores Science News» Oct. 5th article: Global
warming hiatus tied to cooler temps
in Pacific, which states «The
recent pause
in global
warming has resulted from cooling
in the tropical Pacific Ocean, new simulations find.
Surface
warming: «Global temperature evolution:
recent trends and some pitfalls» «Coverage bias
in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on
recent temperature trends» «Recently amplified arctic
warming has contributed to a continual global
warming trend» «On the definition and identifiability of the alleged «
hiatus»
in global
warming» «Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT dataset»
An intriguing feature of the stadium - wave hypothesis is that it purports to explain a 15 - year phenomenon, namely the
recent hiatus in global
warming,
in terms of 300 years worth of data.
One of the most controversial issues emerging from the
recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) is the failure of global climate models to predict a
hiatus in warming of global surface temperatures since 1998.
Please note that neither the land data nor the ocean data used
in this analysis are the ones used
in the NCEI paper «Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus» that appeared on June 4, 2015.
The revisions to NOAA's long - term sea surface temperature datasets were presented
in the Karl, et al. (2015) paper Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus.
Recent assessments of all data sources has now made clear that not only was there never any «
hiatus»
in the rising temperatures, the planetary
warming is actually accelerating rapidly.
«Causes of differences
in model and satellite tropospheric
warming rates» «Comparing tropospheric
warming in climate models and satellite data» «Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures» «Coverage bias
in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on
recent temperature trends» «Reconciling
warming trends» «Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response
in the
recent hiatus reconciled» «Reconciling controversies about the «global
warming hiatus»»
In more recent years, following events such as Climategate, and fatigue with the over-stated messages from the environmental movement and world leaders, the disarray of the UNFCCC process, and a 17 year long hiatus in surface warming, this camp is now respectabl
In more
recent years, following events such as Climategate, and fatigue with the over-stated messages from the environmental movement and world leaders, the disarray of the UNFCCC process, and a 17 year long
hiatus in surface warming, this camp is now respectabl
in surface
warming, this camp is now respectable.
Volcanic eruptions and El Niño events are identified as sharp cooling events punctuating a long - term ocean
warming trend, while heating continues during the
recent upper - ocean -
warming hiatus, but the heat is absorbed
in the deeper ocean.
The influence is clear: a pronounced
recent ENSO - induced cooling which has cancelled the continued global
warming due to man - made CO2, leading to the «
hiatus»
in the increase of global temperature.
[33] Thomas Karl, Anthony Arguez, Boyin Huang, Jah Lawrimore, James McMahon, Matthew Menne, Thomas Peterson, Russell Vose, and Huai - Min Zhang, «Possible Artifacts of Data Biases
in the
Recent Global Surface
Warming Hiatus,» Science, June 4, 2015, http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2015/06/03/science.aaa5632.full (accessed March 4, 2016).
There is no evidence of a
recent pause or
hiatus in global
warming, according to an analysis of 40 peer - reviewed studies on the subject published Tuesday
in the Scientific Reports, a peer - reviewed journal of the Nature Publishing Group.
Karl, T. R. et al., Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus.
This regional inconsistency between models and observations might be a key to understanding the
recent hiatus in global mean temperature
warming.
Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus Thomas R. Karl, Anthony Arguez, Boyin...
ORIGINAL POST (4 February): Early today, AGU's former Board member John Bates published a letter outlining what he believes to be mismanagement of climate science data
in a highly - cited scientific paper, «Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus» (Tom Karl, et al. 2015)... I know many of you will have concerns or questions about this news, and I strongly encourage you to share those thoughts with us here, or
in an email to
[email protected]
The
recent very important paper on the possibility of a prolonged
hiatus also included a result: ~ 1.0 ℃ of spring - back
warming in 15 years: ~.07 ℃ p / yr.
Despite widespread denial among climate activists, a growing number of scientific research papers
in recent months have confirmed the global
warming hiatus, trying to explain its possible reasons (for the latest studies see here, here and here).
Furthermore, the low - frequency variability
in the SPG relates to the propagation of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variations from the deep - water formation region to mid-latitudes
in the North Atlantic, which might have the implications for
recent global surface
warming hiatus.»
The NOAA study was published
in June 2015 by the journal Science under the title «Possible artifacts of data biases
in the
recent global surface
warming hiatus.»
A consensus about what has put global
warming on pause may be years away, but one scientist says the
recent papers confirm that Earth's
warming has continued during the
hiatus, at least
in the ocean depths, if not
in the air.
Dr. Jana Sillmann et al — IopScience — 18 June 2014 Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the
recent warming hiatus «This regional inconsistency between models and observations might be a key to understanding the
recent hiatus in global mean temperature
warming.»
The role played by volcanic - induced cooling
in the
recent warming hiatus is not accurately described
in the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
But that's how it went down last month, as climate change skeptics heralded a
recent paper that «proves a 15 - year
hiatus in global
warming» and rebuffs the «venomous charlatans» who peddled the climate change myth to a gullible public.
The observed
recent warming hiatus, defined as the reduction
in GMST trend during 1998 — 2012 as compared to the trend during 1951 — 2012, is attributable
in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend
in external forcing (expert judgement, medium confidence).
There have been attempts
in the scientific literature to correct some misconceptions, such as a myth regarding an alleged
recent «slow - down»
in global
warming, a so - called
hiatus.
But on its website home page yesterday, Nasa featured a new study which said there was a
hiatus in global
warming before the
recent El Nino, and discussed why this was so.
«n summary, the observed
recent warming hiatus, defined as the reduction
in GMST trend during 1998 — 2012 as compared to the trend during 1951 — 2012, is attributable
in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend
in external forcing (expert judgment, medium confidence).