And is it just coincidence that it matches
recent human emissions?
Not exact matches
The findings are the first to note increased greenhouse gas
emissions due to antibiotic use in cattle; a
recent study suggests that methane
emissions from cud - chewing livestock worldwide, including cows, account for about 4 % of the greenhouse gas
emissions related to
human activity.
Thus, he notes, the increase in
emissions seen in
recent years likely stems from
human sources.
Since levels of greenhouse gases have continued to rise throughout the period, some skeptics have argued that the
recent pattern undercuts the theory that global warming in the industrial era has been caused largely by
human - made
emissions from the burning of fossil fuels.
«The amount and diversity of pesticides, pharmaceuticals and other industrial chemicals that
humans are releasing into the environment are increasing at rates that match or exceed
recent increases in CO2
emissions, nutrient pollution from nitrogen fertilizers, and other drivers of global change,» Bernhardt said.
«In the face of natural variability and complexity, the consequences of change in any single factor, for example greenhouse gas
emissions, can not readily be isolated, and prediction becomes difficult... Scientific uncertainties continue to limit our ability to make objective, quantitative determinations regarding the
human role in
recent climate change, or the degree and consequence of future change.»
As the graph below from Spracklen's News and Views article shows, the balance between warming (red shading) and cooling (blue shading) have kept the country's contribution to
human - caused climate change pegged at about 10 % in
recent decades, despite soaring fossil fuel
emissions.
Still, a great portion of the «summary for policymakers» deals with the
recent temperature rise, and it concludes that it's «likely» that there is a
human contribution to the observed trend (by which I assume CO2
emissions are especially understood, even more so considered the negative forcings mentioned).
This is larger than
recent years because of El Niño, and also larger than during the previous El Niño in 1997/98 because
human emissions have risen since then.
For example, the report summarizes
recent research underpinning the scientific rationale for large and rapid reductions in global greenhouse gas
emissions, in order to reduce the likelihood of dangerous
human - induced climate change.
Given the rapid rise in
recent decades, the answer seems to be «pretty large,» but
emissions from the burning of fossil fuels may only be part of the
human contribution.
Terrell Johnson, reporting on a
recent NASA publication concluding that deep ocean temperatures have not increased since 2005 (http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/deep-ocean-hasnt-warmed-nasa-20141007): «While the report's authors say the findings do not question the overall science of climate change, it is the latest in a series of findings that show global warming to have slowed considerably during the 21st century, despite continued rapid growth in
human - produced greenhouse gas
emissions during the same time.»
A) Those who think that governments around the world should take action to reduce CO2
emissions because data collected in the last 30 years indicates that
recent changes in climate can be traced to CO2
emissions from the burning of fossil fuels during various
human activities.
This instrument delivers important, and sobering, studies — such as the
recent finding that as anthropogenic (
human - caused) warming occurs, lakes naturally emit more methane which accelerates the warming further (or makes our cuts in
emission worth more, if you want to look at the positive side).
Human emissions at
recent levels are equivalent to an annual increase in concentration of 4.5 ppmv per year.
Some 98 percent of working climate scientists agree that the atmosphere is already warming in response to
human greenhouse - gas
emissions, and the most
recent research suggests that we are on a path toward what were once considered «worst case» scenarios.
In a press release boldly titled «Nature, Not Man, is Responsible for
Recent Global Warming,» study coauthor Bob Carter claimed that the findings left «little room for any warming driven by
human carbon dioxide
emissions».
One
recent study found that the average global temperature would rise another 3.2 ° by the end of the century even if
human carbon
emissions dropped to zero tomorrow, a scenario that is, of course, extremely unlikely.
Personally, I doubt that
human CO2
emissions have been responsible for the
recent warming, but that's just one voter's opinion.
Testable version of Null Hypothesis popular in
recent years: If
humans do not change current CO2
emission rates, the earth climate will experience a «hockey stick» increase in temperature.
In the case of climatology, I suppose this should have involved an experiment / investigation showing that
recent warming can ONLY or MOSTLY be attributed to
human forcings (e.g.; CO2
emissions) and not to natural and / or unknown causes.
These facts help explain why, in spite of the Earth's air temperature increasing to a level that the IPCC claims is unprecedented in the the past millennium or more, a
recent study by Randall et al. (2013) found that the 14 % extra carbon dioxide fertilization caused by
human emissions between 1982 and 2010 caused an average worldwide increase in vegetation foliage by 11 % after adjusting the data for precipitation effects.
Recent scientific studies have made a strong link between the historic California drought and ongoing changes to Earth's climate resulting from
human greenhouse gas
emissions.
One needs only point out that, although
human CO2
emissions have skyrockets in
recent years, atmospheric CO2 has been plodding along increasing relatively linearly.
This is the belief backed up by the scientific evidence; in the most
recent report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in September 2013, scientists agreed that it is «extremely likely» that
human emissions of greenhouse gases are causing the planet to warm.
One passage written by Heartland reads, «Scientists who study the issue say it is impossible to tell if the
recent small warming trend is natural, a continuation of the planet's recovery from the more
recent «Little Ice Age,» or unnatural, the result of
human greenhouse gas
emissions.»
Steffen has no idea whether
human emissions are the «main contribution» to
recent warming because no - one does.
At least four elite scientific organizations have issued public statements favoring the idea that
human emissions of CO2 do drive
recent global temperature rises:
Maybe you don't know much about the sum of radiative forcings, or findings from paleoclimate, that allow climatologists to calculate that
human emissions of greenhouse gases are responsible for 100 + % of
recent warming, but that doesn't mean nobody does.
The most
recent report of the International Panel on Climate Change says it is extremely likely that
human influence has been the dominant cause of this warming which is driven by the build up of carbon dioxide
emissions from fossil fuel combustion, cement production, and land use changes.
Based on the evidence as it currently exists, it just is not a valid scientific position to assert with certainty that
human emissions have caused
recent changes to the climate, and therefore the policy implications that stem from that.
«it just is not a valid scientific position to assert with certainty that
human emissions have caused
recent changes to the climate, and therefore the policy implications that stem from that»
It also states, «many lines of evidence demonstrate that
human activities, especially
emissions of greenhouse (heat - trapping) gases, are primarily responsible for
recent observed climate change.»
They concluded, among other things, that «Many lines of evidence demonstrate that
human activities, especially
emissions of greenhouse (heat - trapping) gases, are primarily responsible for
recent observed climate change.»
Recent polls show a solid majority of Americans reject the man - made global - warming theory pushed by Obama, the UN, and other governments desperate to impose new taxes and regulations on CO2 — a natural gas exhaled by
humans and required for plants,
human emissions of which make up a fraction of one percent of all the greenhouse gases present naturally in the atmosphere.
Concerning the
recent warming believed to be caused by manmade CO2
emissions, in the scrutiny of my own I have found that the assessments of IPCC are totally wrong: on the basis of cutting of
human CO2
emissions there is impossible to reach any working decision to control warming.
There is overwhelming evidence that
humans are the dominant cause of the
recent global warming, mainly due to our greenhouse gas
emissions.
As the
recent global warming rate is identical to the pervious one, if
human emission of CO2 had any effect on global temperature, the global warming rate for the period from 1970 to 2000, after 60 years of
human emission of CO2, would have been greater than that for the period from 1910 to 1940.
Thus it is entirely unsurprising that these short - term effects all aligning in the cooling direction in
recent years have offset much of the surface warming caused by
human greenhouse gas
emissions.
Any warming observed prior to WWII is indicative of «global warming» (GW), but (since there were no significant
human GHG
emissions yet) is counterindicative of anthropogenic greenhouse warming (AGW), since something other than
human GHGs caused it, raising the question: if non GH warming caused this warming, could it not also have caused the most
recent extended warming period?
Second, and more embarrassing for the «experts,» despite a huge increase in
human CO2
emissions over
recent decades our planet stubbornly refuses to get any warmer.
A number of
recent studies have found a strong link between peak
human - induced global warming and cumulative carbon
emissions from the start of the industrial revolution, while the link to
emissions over shorter periods or in the years 2020 or 2050 is generally weaker.
Needless to say, global warming from
human CO2
emissions is an exceptional yawner, and is in no sense a current legitimate threat when viewed in the context of
recent climate history.
To date, while various effects and feedbacks constrain the certainty placed on
recent and projected climate change (EG, albedo change, the response of water vapour, various future
emissions scenarios etc), it is virtually certain that CO2 increases from
human industry have reversed and will continue to reverse the downward trend in global temperatures that should be expected in the current phase of the Milankovitch cycle.
The extremist green movement is the principal driver behind the story that
recent climate change is the result of
humans - more specifically, the result of consumer / industrial fossil fuel
emissions.
And this unprecedented warming of ocean waters occurred during a 30 - year period when
human CO2
emissions were some 85 % less than the modern era (166 billion tonnes of CO2
emissions versus 784 billion tonnes for the most
recent 30 - year span).
Oil companies are expected to argue
human greenhouse gas
emissions were the main driver of
recent global warming and that it is a problem, but their legal filings contest their liability and the use of courts to settle what's considered a global matter.
Now, adding to this miserably low warming influence of CO2 is the
recent admission by establishment climate science that natural climatic forces have a powerful say in the trend of global temperatures, regardless of
human CO2
emissions.
In spite of massive
human CO2
emissions, a
recent state of cooling changes dominate in the U.S. (see last two blue columns).
IOW something (which we can not explain as yet) is causing the
recent «pause» in warming despite unabated
human CO2
emissions; and this «something» may just continue for a while.