Not exact matches
«The
recent earthquake rate changes (in Oklahoma) are not due to typical, random
fluctuations in
natural seismicity rates,» they said.
Comparing model predictions of GHG - induced warming with
recent natural temperature
fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.
The shaded region in figure A shows, very approximately, the range of
recent natural temperature
fluctuations on 1,000 - year time scales.
There are no known
fluctuations in
recent (last millennium)
natural sources and sinks of CO2 that are remotely as large as the growth in CO2 of the last half century.
This is powerful evidence that the
recent slowdown in global temperature increase is not a slowdown of «global warming,» i.e. man - made climate change, it's simply partial cancellation of global warming by the
natural fluctuations due to ENSO.
Abstract «Although we conclude, as found elsewhere, that
recent warming has been substantial relative to
natural fluctuations of the past millennium, we also note that owing to the spatially heterogeneous nature of the MWP, and its different timing within different regions, present palaeoclimatic methodologies will likely «'' flatten out» estimates for this period relative to twentieth century warming, which expresses a more homogenous global «'' fingerprint.»
These results suggest how extreme
recent warming has been relative to the
natural fluctuations of the past millennium.
The argument may be advanced that temperature
fluctuation is the normal behaviour of climate and that
recent warming is purely
natural climate variability.
El Niño's center of action appears to be shifting from the eastern to the central Pacific, which in turn is affecting the distribution and frequency of weather events.7 However, due to the wide
natural fluctuations within circulation patterns, it is difficult to attribute
recent changes solely to human activity.
«To assess the
natural variability before much human interference, the new study uses «multi-proxy climate reconstructions» developed by scientists in
recent years to estimate historical temperatures, as well as
fluctuation - analysis techniques from nonlinear geophysics.
We can place this apparent lack of warming in the context of
natural climate
fluctuations other than ENSO using twenty - first century simulations with the HadCM3 climate model (Gordon et al. 2000), which is typical of those used in the
recent IPCC report (AR4; Solomon et al. 2007).
Either run a GCM through
recent data or filter the
natural fluctuations to focus only on inherent warming trends.
Backing that up, NASA says that 1) sea surface temperature
fluctuations (El Niño - La Niña) can cause global temperature deviation of about 0.2 °C; 2) solar maximums and minimums produce variations of only 0.1 °C, warmer or cooler; 3) aerosols from
natural sources such as volcanic eruptions (Mount Pinatubo for example) have caused average cooling of 0.3 °C, but
recent eruptions have had not had significant effect.