Radiative forcing is increasing roughly quadratically, so a quadratic fit to
recent sea level data to make predictions seems far more reasonable.
Not exact matches
So if you could then bring all these together — parts per millions, the global forcing and
sea -
level rise — based on the paleoclimate record, which is, kind of, the really more a
recent data that the new view is built on.
Recent methane measurements at Terceira Island, Azores, Portugal and Tae - ahn Peninsula, Republic of Korea (See http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/dv/iadv/index.php) in the context of outlier
data points over the last decade at sites such as Storhofdi, Vestmannaeyjar, Iceland, and reports of methane releases from the Arctic seabed, tell us that at current
levels of AGW, the Earth's
sea - floor methane systems are not stable.
Compared to the
data on
sea level rise through 1990, the more
recent rate of rise is far steeper than earlier research had suggested.
Very
recent, wide ranging review of temperature measurements in the oceans with a detailed discussion of the accuracy of the
data, planetary energy balance and the effect of the warming on
sea levels.
It is difficult to compare pre-satellite
sea ice
data with
recent levels.
> A new comment on the post # 74 «Michael Crichton's State of Confusion» is > waiting for your approval > > Author: Hans Erren -LRB--RRB- > E-mail: erren21 @... > URL: > Whois:... > Comment: >
Sea -
level rise > > Although satellite
data (TOPEX / POSEIDON (sic) and JASON) shows a much > steeper trend over
recent years (2.8 mm / yr) than the long term mean > estimates from tide gauges (1.7 to 2.4 mm / yr), each method compared to > itself does not indicate an accelleration.
Here we analyze a series of climate model experiments along with observational
data to show that the
recent warming trend in Atlantic
sea surface temperature and the corresponding trans - basin displacements of the main atmospheric pressure centers were key drivers of the observed Walker circulation intensification, eastern Pacific cooling, North American rainfall trends and western Pacific
sea -
level rise.
The satellites are very new and
recent data overlapping old
data, the whole idea that the planet is a sphere has been tossed as mass concentrations affecting
sea level are mapped.
Dr. Ringot, an Antarctic and Greenland specialist and coauthor on Hansen's
recent paper on
sea level rise, claimed that their
data indicated that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet alone would melt in decades to centuries with a
sea level rise of at least 10 feet.
Projections for global
sea level rise by 2100 range from 8 inches to 6.6 feet above 1992
levels, though the lowest end of this range is a simple extension of historic
sea level rise — and
recent data indicate this rate has nearly doubled in
recent years.
Update (26th March 2015): Indeed, a
recent paper by Jens Morten Hansen et al. has suggested that, after accounting for the post-glacial rebound effects discussed above, the 18.6 year lunar cycle (and multiples of it) can explain most of the non-linear trends in the
sea level data for the North Sea and Baltic Sea — see Hansen et al., 2015 (Abstrac
sea level data for the North
Sea and Baltic Sea — see Hansen et al., 2015 (Abstrac
Sea and Baltic
Sea — see Hansen et al., 2015 (Abstrac
Sea — see Hansen et al., 2015 (Abstract).
Rahmstorf, Foster, and Cazenave (2012) compares the historical
sea level tide gauge
data from Church and White (2011) and
recent satellite altimetry
sea level data (orange and red in Figure 4, respectively) to the 2001 and 2007 IPCC report model projections (blue and green in Figure 4, respectively).
I do hope that the (much - hyped) issue of global
sea -
level rise and putative
recent acceleration will be examined seriously here as a geophysical problem and not be subjected to summary number - crunching by inept blog lions who naively think that simple detrending of highly different tide - gauge records alleviates all issues of establishing a common
datum -
level.
The long - term tide gauges in the Mediterranean show
sea -
level trends for the 20th century in the range of 1.1 — 1.3 mm / yr whilst more
recent satellite altimetry
data reveals much larger increases in
sea -
level throughout the basin towards the latter part of the century.
Meanwhile, up in the Arctic, distressing new information from the US National Snow and Ice
Data Center in Boulder, Colorado, shows that Arctic
sea ice extent has settled to its fourth - lowest
level ever measured at the end of the most
recent melt season.
«Second, in contrast to the previously reported slowing in the rate during the past two decades1, our corrected GMSL
data set indicates an acceleration in
sea -
level rise (independent of the VLM used), which is of opposite sign to previous estimates and comparable to the accelerated loss of ice from Greenland and to
recent projections, and larger than the twentieth - century acceleration.
Bill Innis: Jevrejeva's most
recent tide gauge
data from 2003 to 2009 shows
sea level is actually falling The
data will likely become available soon.
In a
recent paper, paleoclimatic
data shows that the tropical monsoon cycle responds very reliably to the ups and downs of Milankovitch insolation forcing on one of the shorter time scales (either 23kyr 65N forcing swings or the 41kyr obliquity cycle, I forget which), but the ice sheets and
sea level and global temperature do not respond directly to those insolation forcings.
I need hourly mean
sea level pressure
data for the
recent years.
There is strong evidence, discussed above, that the
sea level was several metres higher in
recent warm interglacial periods, consistent with our
data interpretation.
Morner, a world renowned physicist and geologist (and former IPCC member) who has traveled the world for decades measuring
sea levels, conducted a
recent study employing measurement
data from 159 sites around the globe.
A
recent paper by Phil Watson (2017) has assessed
sea level rise and its acceleration from European tide guage
data, using the singular spectrum analysis approach.
There are so few
data observation points anyway, that water
level data is surely as anecdotal as when I make references to actual historical events demonstrating
sea levels over extended periods in mans
recent history?
Yes, the first Table (
Recent short - term
sea level trends in the Project area based upon SEAFRAME
data through September 2006) lists trends of 2.7 to 17 mm / yr.