Sentences with phrase «recent slower warming»

As described above, I think (just like Trenberth) that natural variability, in particular ENSO and PDO, is the main reason the recent slower warming.
The recent slower warming is mainly explained by the fact that in recent years the La Niña state in the tropical Pacific prevailed, in which the eastern Pacific is cold and the ocean stores more heat (2).
This recent slower warming in the upper ocean is closely related to the slower warming of the global surface temperature, because the temperature of the overlaying atmosphere is strongly coupled to the temperature of the ocean surface.

Not exact matches

Now, research suggests that for the past decade, such stratospheric aerosols — injected into the atmosphere by either recent volcanic eruptions or human activities such as coal burning — are slowing down global warming.
The findings show a slight but notable increase in that average temperature, putting a dent in the idea that global warming has slowed over the past 15 years, a trend highlighted in the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report.
A recent slowdown in the upward march of global temperatures is likely to be the result of the slow warming of the deep oceans, British scientists said on Monday.
Slowed Warming Zeke Hausfather, a data analyst at the Berkeley Earth project, has filed «Examining the Recent Slowdown in Global Warming» at the Yale Forum on Climate Change and the Media.
Terrell Johnson, reporting on a recent NASA publication concluding that deep ocean temperatures have not increased since 2005 (http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/deep-ocean-hasnt-warmed-nasa-20141007): «While the report's authors say the findings do not question the overall science of climate change, it is the latest in a series of findings that show global warming to have slowed considerably during the 21st century, despite continued rapid growth in human - produced greenhouse gas emissions during the same time.»
So, we might have been past the warmest period of this most recent interglacial, and beginning a slow, multi-thousand year descent into a new ice age — until we changed the atmospheric composition.
i'm trying to figure out if this recent slowing - down of warming could be because all the forcings are negative (except, obviously co2).
David Appell has filed a thorough survey of research and scientists» views on recent temperature fluctuations and climate sensitivity at Yale Climate Media Forum — «W [h] ither Global Warming: Has it Slowed Down?»
Recent studies including an assessment by the United Nations Environment Program and the World Meteorological Organization indicate that it's possible to slow the pace of warming and melting in the Arctic in the near term by reducing emissions of two common climate pollutants: black carbon and methane, both of which are emitted from the extraction and burning of fossil fuels.
Recent scientific studies, including an assessment by the United Nations Environment Program and the World Meteorological Organization indicate that it's possible to slow the pace of warming and melting in the Arctic in the near term by reducing emissions of two common air pollutants, soot and smog.
If blister rust can be regarded as a steadily, if slow - moving, disaster for whitebark pine, the relatively dramatic and sudden attack of mountain pine beetles can be regarded as a biological firestorm, fueled by global warming, experts at a recent workshop sponsored by the Natural Resources Defense Council said.
For example, atmospheric carbon dioxide grew by approximately 30 % during the transition from the most recent cold glacial period, about 20,000 years ago, to the current warm interglacial period; the corresponding rate of decrease in surface ocean pH, driven by geological processes, was approximately 50 times slower than the current rate driven largely by fossil fuel burning.
The recent IPCC report has highlighted that India's high vulnerability and exposure to climate change and global warming will slow its economic growth, impact human health, and make poverty reduction and food security efforts more difficult.
So far there's no sign of the recent period of multi-decadal warming slowing down http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1970/to:2000/trend/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1970/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:1970/trend
DK12 used ocean heat content (OHC) data for the upper 700 meters of oceans to draw three main conclusions: 1) that the rate of OHC increase has slowed in recent years (the very short timeframe of 2002 to 2008), 2) that this is evidence for periods of «climate shifts», and 3) that the recent OHC data indicate that the net climate feedback is negative, which would mean that climate sensitivity (the total amount of global warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels, including feedbacks) is low.
The best evidence in support of that proposition of slow long term solar background changes is the gradual and irregular change from Roman Warm period to The Dark Ages to the Mediaeval Warm Period and thence to the Little Ice Age and finally to our recent Modern Maximum.
While the warming of global surface temperatures in recent years has slowed in large part due to the more efficient heat transfer to the deep oceans, that can't last forever.
And they analyse the double standards used when discussing the so - called «pause» as compared to an equally long period of rapid warming, which in fact deviated more from the long - term trend than the recent phase of slower warming.
Coinciding with cycles of reduced sea ice, glaciers on the island Novaya Zemlya in the Barents Sea, also underwent their greatest retreat around 1920 to 1940.61 After several decades of stability, its tidewater glaciers began retreating again around the year 2000, but at a rate five times slower than the 1930s.47 The recent cycle of intruding warm Atlantic water45 is now waning and if solar flux remains low, we should expect Arctic sea ice in the Barents and Kara seas to begin a recovery and Arctic glaciers to stabilize within the next 15 years.
There is no statistical evidence of a recent slow - down of global warming, nor is there evidence of accelerated warming since the mid-20th century.
However, another important recent paper by Kevin Cowtan and Robert Way showed that the global surface temperature rise has not slowed as much as some previously thought; in fact, the surface warming since 1997 happened more than twice as fast as previous estimates.»
But what this new paper shows is that the warming in the recent years has not stopped and has not even slowed down.
The slow rate of warming of the recent past is consistent with the kind of variability that some of us predicted nearly a decade ago.
Its most recent article, by Professor Judith Curry, concludes that the ostensibly slowed rate of recent warming gives us «more time to find ways to decarbonise the economy affordably.»
Nuccitelli et al. (2012) considered the warming of the oceans (both shallow and deep), land, atmosphere, and ice, and showed that global warming has not slowed in recent years (Figure 3).
But even taking these into account, there is no doubt that «going nuclear» would result in a slower increase in CO2 concentrations, maybe by as much as 80 ppmv by 2100, which translates into averted warming of around 0.6 C at the arguably exaggerated IPCC AR4 2xCO2 ECS of 3.2 C (or half this amount at the more recent estimates for ECS).
The suggestion that recent warming is anthropogenic due to divergence from a simple 60/20 year curve fit over a mere 100 years ignores prior divergence from both competing models of distantly past temperature, one being a hockey stick that shows a slow decline instead of incline prior 1850 and the other showing two similar «non-cyclical» spikes in the Roman and medieval periods.
Using the same methodology as the vaunted «97 percent» paper by researcher John Cook, two climate scientists have made a bold discovery: virtually all climate scientists agree that global warming has «stopped» or «slowed down» in recent years.
«We didn't find a single paper on the topic that argued the rate of global warming has not slowed (or even stopped) in recent years,» wrote scientists Patrick Michaels and Chip Knappenberger with the libertarian Cato Institute.
While the IPCC reports of 2007 were praised for their recognition of the causes of global warming, the slow, consensus - based nature of the process, meant more recent data was not included.
Rates peaked more than 10 times faster in Meltwater Pulse 1A during the warming from the most recent ice age, a time with more ice on the planet to contribute to the sealevel rise, but slower forcing than the human - caused rise in CO2 (Figure 2.5 and 2.6).
The most recent trough in solar activity likely plays a role in depressing short - term trends, and the overall decline in total solar irradiance (TSI) in recent years relative to past solar cycles may be a small contributing factor in the current slow - down in the rate of warming.
The selected sample ends just before the recent period of slowed warming.
«Recent research, however, suggests that there is a possibility that this gradual global warming could lead to a relatively abrupt slowing of the ocean's thermohaline conveyor, which could lead to harsher winter weather conditions, sharply reduced soil moisture, and more intense winds in certain regions that currently provide a significant fraction of the world's food production.
There have been attempts in the scientific literature to correct some misconceptions, such as a myth regarding an alleged recent «slow - down» in global warming, a so - called hiatus.
The relatively chilly temperatures compared with recent years are not evidence that global warming is slowing however, say climate scientists at the Met Office.
-- You will have to acknowledge that the recent slow - down in warming is consistent with natural variability.
The recent slow down in global warming has been attributed to a number of factors, including excess heat being stored in the deep ocean and reductions of certain greenhouse gases.
Further, recent studies reveal that «rich nations are warming at a slower rate than poor nations ``, such a scenario is not possible without global covert climate intervention programs.
Both articles are based on peer reviewed published papers that suggest volcanic aerosols have played a part in the recent slow down of atmospheric warming.
Similarly, Guemas et al. (2013) concluded that most of the recent slowed surface warming can be attributed to the increased accumulation of heat in the oceans.
A partial reduction «in the assumed model sensitivity to radiative forcing,» would at least be a correction in the right direction, as Hans von Storch schools us on the matter (i.e., itwould reproduce the recent global warming slow down while still satisfying... other major constraints.).
The underlying net anthropogenic warming rate in the industrial era is found to have been steady since 1910 at 0.07 — 0.08 °C / decade, with superimposed AMO - related ups and downs that included the early 20th century warming, the cooling of the 1960s and 1970s, the accelerated warming of the 1980s and 1990s, and the recent slowing of the warming rates.
Lizza's piece is partly a profile of Steyer and his potential political ambitions, but it is a thorough telling of the recent history of the climate movement and how the Keystone pipeline became a test of President Obama's commitment to moving the US away from fossil fuels in order to slow global warming.
Hansen and Sato (7) argue that the climate of the most recent few decades is probably warmer than prior Holocene levels, based on the fact that the major ice sheets in both hemispheres are presently losing mass rapidly (9) and global sea level is rising at a rate of more than 3 m / millennium (25), which is much greater than the slow rate of sea level change (less than 1 m / millennium) in the latter half of the Holocene (26).
For one of many good demonstrations that the recent slowdown (which, importantly, is «slow» only relative to immediately preceding «fast» warming — that's a hint for you) in no way is evidence against the continuing long term trend, see climate statistician Tamino's recent post «Slowdown Skeptic,» and «It's the Trend, Stupid,» and «Is Earth's Temperature About to Soar?»
Recent standards from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) will substantially reduce leakage from natural gas systems, but to help slow the rate of global warming and improve air quality, further action by states and EPA should directly address fugitive methane from new and existing wells and equipment.
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