Sentences with phrase «recent warm peak»

The only unusual aspect arises when the time frame is cherry - picked to ignore things like the Medieval Warm Period and the LIttle Ice Age or to ignore the 1938 recent warm peak and only focus on 1978 on so that 1038 is left out.

This makes 1934, not 1998, the warmest year on record and the 1930's the equivalent of the recent warm peak in the U.S..

Not exact matches

A cryptic chemical weather log kept by Tarawa Atoll's stony coral in the tropical Pacific archipelago has been cracked, helping scientists explain a century of peaks and troughs in global warming — and inflaming fears that a speedup will follow the recent slowdown.

In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decades.

These earlier years, mainly El Nino years, average 11.5 years earlier than the projected recent hottest four, perhaps suggesting a rough calculation of the recent rate of AGW of at +0.16 ºC / decade, this of course the warming trend of peak years through the so - called «hiatus» years and being «peak years», it is a rate which assumes cooler years will be coming along soon.

Although there is as yet no convincing evidence in the observed record of changes in tropical cyclone behaviour, a synthesis of the recent model results indicates that, for the future warmer climate, tropical cyclones will show increased peak wind speed and increased mean and peak precipitation intensities.

So I don't think you can make up numbers for future warming much different than the recent past, because we're already coming down from peak rates of radiative forcing.

more than 0.4 °C cooler than the warmest February, which occurred in 2016 at the peak of the recent warm period.

A number of recent studies have found a strong link between peak human - induced global warming and cumulative carbon emissions from the start of the industrial revolution, while the link to emissions over shorter periods or in the years 2020 or 2050 is generally weaker.

The other thing they did was use local warm peaks in 1870 and 1940 as baselines rather than century - long mean, or more recent, trends.

A number of recent studies have considered the concept of cumulative carbon emissions and their relation to peak warming.

The actual amount of emissions reductions that are needed between now and 2020 is somewhat of a moving target depending on the level of uncertainty that society is willing to accept that a dangerous warming limit will be exceeded, the most recent increases in ghg emissions rates, and assumptions about when global ghg emissions peak before beginning rapid reduction rates.

In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decades.

From a scientific point of view the exact execution and framing could be criticized on certain aspects (e.g. ECS is linearly extrapolated instead of logarithmically; the interpretation that recent record warmth are not peaks but rather a «correction to the trend line» depends strongly on the exact way the endpoints of the observed temperature are smoothed; the effect of non-CO2 greenhouse gases is excluded from the analysis and discussion), but the underlying point, that more warming is in store than we're currently seeing, is both valid and very important.

Rates peaked more than 10 times faster in Meltwater Pulse 1A during the warming from the most recent ice age, a time with more ice on the planet to contribute to the sealevel rise, but slower forcing than the human - caused rise in CO2 (Figure 2.5 and 2.6).

The level of warmth during the peak of the MWP in the second half of the 10th century, equalling or slightly exceeding the mid-20th century warming, is in agreement with the results from other more recent large - scale multi-proxy temperature reconstructions by Moberg et al. (2005), Mann et al. (2008, 2009), and Ljungqvist (2010)».

It seems that the recent peak late 20th Century has passed but at a level of temperature lower than seen during the Mediaeval Warm Period.

The chart depicts short - term warming trend peaks that correlate well with recent and prior El Niño warming periods.

Whether the root cause of the last temperature peaks is persistent is intrinsic to evaluation of how much the recent warming is caused by CO2.

The blue 1 - year (12 - month) trends show the dramatic global warming trend reversal over the most recent months - from a peak in March 2016 to what now amounts to being a significant cooling trend by October 2016.

For example, recent warming has not shown up as strongly in tree ring proxies, raising the question of whether they may also be missing rapid temperature changes or peaks in earlier data for which we don't have thermometers to back - check them (this is an oft - discussed problem called proxy divergence).

WRI's recent research shows that while 49 countries have peaked their emissions, it is still insufficient to limit warming to 1.5 - 2 degrees C (2.7 - 3.6 degrees F) and prevent the worst effects of climate change.