Sentences with phrase «recent warming hiatus»

«n summary, the observed recent warming hiatus, defined as the reduction in GMST trend during 1998 — 2012 as compared to the trend during 1951 — 2012, is attributable in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend in external forcing (expert judgment, medium confidence).

The observed recent warming hiatus, defined as the reduction in GMST trend during 1998 — 2012 as compared to the trend during 1951 — 2012, is attributable in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend in external forcing (expert judgement, medium confidence).

The role played by volcanic - induced cooling in the recent warming hiatus is not accurately described in the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

Dr. Jana Sillmann et al — IopScience — 18 June 2014 Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus «This regional inconsistency between models and observations might be a key to understanding the recent hiatus in global mean temperature warming.»

The causes of the recent warming hiatus are some or all of the following.

... this hiatus in warming If the recent warming hiatus...... the hiatus in warming..

JC said» If the recent warming hiatus is caused by natural variability, then this raises the question as to what extent the warming between 1975 and 2000 can also be explained by natural climate variability.»

If the recent warming hiatus is caused by natural variability, then this raises the question as to what extent the warming between 1975 and 2000 can also be explained by natural climate variability.

«Almost all CMIP5 historical simulations do not reproduce the observed recent warming hiatus.

Here we demonstrate that the multidcadal variability in NHT including the recent warming hiatus is tied to the NAT - NAO - AMO - AMOC coupled mode and the NAO is implicated as a useful predictor of NHT multidecadal variability.

Not exact matches

Dr Cowtan added: «Recent studies suggest that the so - called «hiatus» in warming is in part due to challenges in assembling the data.

Recent intensification of wind - driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

I have an article running in The Times on recent vagaries in planetary temperature, which almost all scientific experts on global warming describe as a brief and normal hiatus from the long - term warming driven by greenhouse gases.

These earlier years, mainly El Nino years, average 11.5 years earlier than the projected recent hottest four, perhaps suggesting a rough calculation of the recent rate of AGW of at +0.16 ºC / decade, this of course the warming trend of peak years through the so - called «hiatus» years and being «peak years», it is a rate which assumes cooler years will be coming along soon.

No doubt the southern ocean, featured strongly by Hansen et al, plays an important role, but data there are poor, and change is not well known; in particular the recent hiatus in global warming greatly influences any observations, which can therefore be quite misleading wrt trends.

Updated, 3:10 p.m. Using climate models and observations, a fascinating study in this week's issue of Nature Climate Change points to a marked recent warming of the Atlantic Ocean as a powerful shaper of a host of notable changes in climate and ocean patterns in the last couple of decades — including Pacific wind, sea level and ocean patterns, the decade - plus hiatus in global warming and even California's deepening drought.

global warming is still under way despite the recent pause / plateau / hiatus / slowdown / standstill (choose one) in the planet's mean temperature.

Media headlines touted the conclusion that science now shows that the recent hiatus in warming never existed.

Last summer, a team of government scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), led by Thomas Karl, published a paper in Science titled «Possible Artifacts Of Data Biases In The Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus.»

Yan, X-H., H. Su, and W. Zhang, 2014: Contribution of global subsurface and deeper ocean warming to recent global surface warming hiatus.

The press release from NOAA included this statement from Karl: «Adding in the last two years of global surface temperature data and other improvements in the quality of the observed record provide evidence that contradict the notion of a hiatus in recent global warming trends.»

In a recent journal publication, I provided a rationale for projecting that the hiatus in warming could extend to the 2030's.

Dan Barrie, program manager at NOAA, called the research «compelling» and said: «[It] provides a powerful illustration of how the remote eastern tropical Pacific guides the behaviour of the global ocean - atmosphere system, in this case exhibiting a discernible influence on the recent hiatus in global warming.»

The study — «Possible Artifacts of Data Biases in the Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus» — was published by Science magazine in June 2015 and pushed back against assertions from other research groups that found a pause in rising global temperatures from 1998 to 2012, which goes against climate change advocates» insistence that the earth's temperature has been on a steady incline for decades.

Wang, L., Yuan, X., Xie, Z., Wu, P. & Li, Y. Increasing flash droughts over China during the recent global warming hiatus.

For example, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has trouble explaining the recent «hiatus» in warming as well as the warming trend before the 1950s.

The main «warmist» explanation for the recent hiatus in land surface warming is that the heat is going into the oceans.

Surface warming / ocean warming: «A reassessment of temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends»

By contrast, the recent modest decrease in the rate of warming has elicited numerous articles and special issues of leading journals and it has been (mis --RRB- labeled as a «pause» or «hiatus».

Vaughan Pratt: An intriguing feature of the stadium - wave hypothesis is that it purports to explain a 15 - year phenomenon, namely the recent hiatus in global warming, in terms of 300 years worth of data.

Which conveniently ignores Science News» Oct. 5th article: Global warming hiatus tied to cooler temps in Pacific, which states «The recent pause in global warming has resulted from cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean, new simulations find.

Surface warming: «Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends» «Recently amplified arctic warming has contributed to a continual global warming trend» «On the definition and identifiability of the alleged «hiatus» in global warming» «Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT dataset»

An intriguing feature of the stadium - wave hypothesis is that it purports to explain a 15 - year phenomenon, namely the recent hiatus in global warming, in terms of 300 years worth of data.

One of the most controversial issues emerging from the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) is the failure of global climate models to predict a hiatus in warming of global surface temperatures since 1998.

Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records» «Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006»

Please note that neither the land data nor the ocean data used in this analysis are the ones used in the NCEI paper «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» that appeared on June 4, 2015.

Thomas Stocker in London also diminished the importance of the recent hiatus in warming and stated that it would need to last for 3 decades before it meant anything significant.

The revisions to NOAA's long - term sea surface temperature datasets were presented in the Karl, et al. (2015) paper Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus.

Recent assessments of all data sources has now made clear that not only was there never any «hiatus» in the rising temperatures, the planetary warming is actually accelerating rapidly.

«Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records» «Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006»

«Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates» «Comparing tropospheric warming in climate models and satellite data» «Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends» «Reconciling warming trends» «Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled» «Reconciling controversies about the «global warming hiatus»»

In more recent years, following events such as Climategate, and fatigue with the over-stated messages from the environmental movement and world leaders, the disarray of the UNFCCC process, and a 17 year long hiatus in surface warming, this camp is now respectable.

Volcanic eruptions and El Niño events are identified as sharp cooling events punctuating a long - term ocean warming trend, while heating continues during the recent upper - ocean - warming hiatus, but the heat is absorbed in the deeper ocean.

The influence is clear: a pronounced recent ENSO - induced cooling which has cancelled the continued global warming due to man - made CO2, leading to the «hiatus» in the increase of global temperature.

[33] Thomas Karl, Anthony Arguez, Boyin Huang, Jah Lawrimore, James McMahon, Matthew Menne, Thomas Peterson, Russell Vose, and Huai - Min Zhang, «Possible Artifacts of Data Biases in the Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus,» Science, June 4, 2015, http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2015/06/03/science.aaa5632.full (accessed March 4, 2016).

There is no evidence of a recent pause or hiatus in global warming, according to an analysis of 40 peer - reviewed studies on the subject published Tuesday in the Scientific Reports, a peer - reviewed journal of the Nature Publishing Group.

Karl, T. R. et al., Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus.

This regional inconsistency between models and observations might be a key to understanding the recent hiatus in global mean temperature warming.

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus Thomas R. Karl, Anthony Arguez, Boyin...

ORIGINAL POST (4 February): Early today, AGU's former Board member John Bates published a letter outlining what he believes to be mismanagement of climate science data in a highly - cited scientific paper, «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» (Tom Karl, et al. 2015)... I know many of you will have concerns or questions about this news, and I strongly encourage you to share those thoughts with us here, or in an email to [email protected]