Sentences with phrase «recent warming slowdown»

Not exact matches

NOAA has been the target of congressional scrutiny from Rep. Lamar Smith (R - Texas), who has launched an inquiry into a 2015 paper in Science prepared by NOAA researchers that disputed the existence of a recent slowdown in the rate of global warming.
The recent slowdown in global warming has brought into question the reliability of climate model projections of future temperature change and has led to a vigorous debate over whether this slowdown is the result of naturally occurring, internal variability or forcing external to Earth's climate system.
A cryptic chemical weather log kept by Tarawa Atoll's stony coral in the tropical Pacific archipelago has been cracked, helping scientists explain a century of peaks and troughs in global warming — and inflaming fears that a speedup will follow the recent slowdown.
If the recent intensification of the cool spot were caused by a recent AMOC slowdown you would expect to see warming of intermediate waters under a cool fresh water surface layer.
One of the most plausible reasons for the recent slowdown in warming is that the deep ocean has been acting as a heat sink, taking up more warming than the land has in recent years.
The steady uptick in warming, even with a relative slowdown in recent decades, means that the likelihood of seeing a record cold year in the future is, according to a quick calculation by Mann, «astronomically small.»
If the recent «slowdown» in global surface warming is reversing, the stronger land carbon sink seen in recent years may weaken again, and the rise in CO2 may quicken again.
A recent slowdown in the upward march of global temperatures is likely to be the result of the slow warming of the deep oceans, British scientists said on Monday.
Slowed Warming Zeke Hausfather, a data analyst at the Berkeley Earth project, has filed «Examining the Recent Slowdown in Global Warming» at the Yale Forum on Climate Change and the Media.
In its latest report, released in September, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) noted the recent slowdown in the rate of global warming.
Further evidence of the crucial importance of El Niño is that after correcting the global temperature data for the effect of ENSO and solar cycles by a simple correlation analysis, you get a steady warming trend without any recent slowdown (see next graph and Foster and Rahmstorf 2011).
A recent slowdown in global warming has led some skeptics to renew their claims that industrial carbon emissions are not causing a century - long rise in Earth's surface temperatures.
global warming is still under way despite the recent pause / plateau / hiatus / slowdown / standstill (choose one) in the planet's mean temperature.
Although there have been many suggestions for possible contributions to the slowdown of the recent warming rate, a reduced warming rate of the Pacific sea surface temperature seems to be a significant factor.
Based on new research, federal scientists suggest that an apparent recent slowdown in global warming — a common talking point for many people who dispute human - caused climate change — did not occur, but only seemed so based on incorrect data.
Our original draft blog post noted that DK12 had effectively been «pre-bunked,» as several recent studies have reconciled global heat content data with top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy imbalance measurements with no evidence of a long - term slowdown in global warming.
This isn't a puzzle; climate scientists are well aware of several contributing factors, as a recent Reuters article — «Climate scientists struggle to explain warming slowdown» — eventually discussed.
New analyses show that major climate data sets have overstated the recent slowdown in global warming.
Professor Adam Scaife, the head of monthly to decadal prediction at the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: «The end of the recent slowdown in global warming is due to a flip in Pacific sea - surface temperatures.
We conclude that background global warming is continuing, consistent with the known planetary energy imbalance, even though it is likely that the slowdown in climate forcing growth rate contributed to the recent apparent standstill in global temperature.
Personally I think that recent research (including several studies discussed in the above post, published after the IPCC AR5 cutoff date) make a strong case that internal variability (ocean cycles) are responsible for more of the slowdown in surface warming than changes in external forcings, but there's not a consensus about that yet.
A recent BBC news story suggested that politicians want a better explanation of a slowdown in the rate of increase in warming seen in the last 15 years.
This is powerful evidence that the recent slowdown in global temperature increase is not a slowdown of «global warming,» i.e. man - made climate change, it's simply partial cancellation of global warming by the natural fluctuations due to ENSO.
And — ironically — their hypothesis is that the recent slowdown in warming is from improperly modeled quasi-periodic effect; not an underestimate of sensitivity.
Why is the hypothesis of unusually large internal warming less unwarranted than the unwarranted assumption that any internally contributed warming during the late 20th century was equal in magnitude to internally generated cooling during the recent slowdown?
If you take the running average over 11 years, the recent slowdown in warming is somewhat muted.
The statement relies on the unwarranted assumption that any internally contributed warming during the late 20th century was equal in magnitude to internally generated cooling during the recent slowdown».
The change in solar forcing from 1950 until now is essentially nil, while the change in greenhouse gas forcing fully accounts for the further 0.7 °C warming (while ENSO + solar accounts for the recent slowdown).
Either way, the results — echoed in a recent analysis from Japan's Meteorological Agency, which found 1.13 degrees F. above the 20th - century average — indicate that global warming continues unabated, despite a slowdown in the pace of warming during the first part of the 21st century.
«The end of the recent slowdown in global warming is due to a flip in Pacific sea - surface temperatures,» says Adam Scaife, who heads monthly - to - decadal prediction for the Met Office.
Does the recent slowdown of warming mean that climate change is no longer happening?
Much of the recent discussion of climate sensitivity in online forums and in peer - reviewed literature focuses on two areas: cutting off the so - called «long tail» of low probability \ high climate sensitivities (e.g., above 6 C or so), and reconciling the recent slowdown in observed surface warming with predictions from global climate models.
[55] According to the World Climate Report, «Dr. MIchaels» general message was that the recent behavior of global temperatures is starting to push the (lower) bounds of climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.»
In comparing the observed temperature changes to the model simulations, they suggest that the recent surface warming slowdown is due to a large natural flucuation, and / or that some source of bias in climate models is making it difficult for them to simulate it.
There were no consecutive large volcanic eruptions in the 20th century, and none that could have caused the recent slowdown in the rate of global warming.
When corrected, the range of likely warming based on surface temperature observations is in line with earlier estimates, despite the recent slowdown.
Not only that, but there is increasingly compelling evidence that the recent short - term slowdown in the surface temperature record was much less pronounced than previously estimated, if rapid Arctic warming is fully reflected, along with potential biases from the changing mix of sea surface temperature measurement sources in recent years.
One of the puzzling things about climate change is a recent slowdown in warming (or as some exaggerators refer to it, a «pause»).
The historical trend since 1979 is heavily influenced by the recent slowdown in the rate of surface warming which is likely to be the result of natural variability overprinting the forced trend.
Some recent research, aimed at fine - tuning long - term warming projections by taking this slowdown into account, suggested Earth may be less sensitive to greenhouse gas increases than previously thought.
Reductions in sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions in recent years, for cleaner air, mainly in South East Asia due to a severe manufacturing sector slowdown and pollution policy changes (1,2) may attribute to current warming, since the phenomena called global dimming is involved.
For one of many good demonstrations that the recent slowdown (which, importantly, is «slow» only relative to immediately preceding «fast» warming — that's a hint for you) in no way is evidence against the continuing long term trend, see climate statistician Tamino's recent post «Slowdown Skeptic,» and «It's the Trend, Stupid,» and «Is Earth's Temperature About to Soarslowdown (which, importantly, is «slow» only relative to immediately preceding «fast» warming — that's a hint for you) in no way is evidence against the continuing long term trend, see climate statistician Tamino's recent post «Slowdown Skeptic,» and «It's the Trend, Stupid,» and «Is Earth's Temperature About to SoarSlowdown Skeptic,» and «It's the Trend, Stupid,» and «Is Earth's Temperature About to Soar?»
Proof that the recent global warming slowdown is statistically significant (at the 99 % confidence level)
The recent wave of news and magazine articles about scientists struggling to explain the warming slowdown could prolong or deepen the public's skepticism.But the «consensus» never extended to the intricacies of the climate system, just the core belief that additional greenhouse gas emissions would warm the planet.
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