Comparison of MBH98 reconstruction (blue) from AD 1400 - 1980 (thick black curve is 40 year smoothed version) with
a reconstruction over AD 1400 - 1600 (yellow) based on the «censored» network described in the text, arising from the censoring of the entire North American ITRDB data set and the «St. Anne» Northern Treeline series from the predictor network prior to AD 1600.
Not exact matches
What is new is that we have used proxy
reconstructions of large - scale surface temperature (Mann et al, 2009) previously published by one of us (study co-author and RealClimate co-founder Mike Mann) that extend back to 900
AD (see «What we can learn from studying the last millennium (or so)») to estimate the circulation (AMOC) intensity
over the entire last 1100 years (Fig. 3).
Averaging the reconstructed temperature patterns
over the far more data - rich Northern Hemisphere half of the global domain, they estimated the Northern Hemisphere mean temperature back to
AD 1400, a
reconstruction which had significant skill in independent cross-validation tests.
So, as an example of the easy things one can look at, here is what the Lasso
reconstructions actually gave: «Lasso» methods in red and green
over the same grey line background (using the 1000
AD network).