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recorded Warm Line:
Not exact matches
«These two extinction pulses coincide with the two
warming spikes we identified in our new temperature
record, which each
line up with one of the two «causal events.»»
When he
lined up their ages with global climate
records, he noticed a pattern: Many species of megafauna seemed to disappear during a period of extreme
warming around 12,300 years ago, Cooper and his team write today in Science Advances.
A new study published today in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences says drought in Syria, exacerbated to
record levels by global
warming, pushed social unrest in that nation across a
line into an open uprising in 2011.
That puts it more in
line with
warming trends since the 1950s, though some researchers said there were still some periods of faster
warming on
record since the 1950s.
The dominant signal in the temperature
record (the white
line in the above figure) is a 100,000 year cycle where long ice ages are broken by short
warm periods called interglacials.
Many service
records including front brakes and rotors at 33887 miles, 40k major service at 33887 miles, new battery, new intake flapper controller,
warm up valve at 33265, 30k service at 29847 miles (along with alternator and a / c belts, «s hose» and oil cooler
lines replaced, trans shaft seals replaced), and tires and lof, and right side top locking motor done @ 30310.00.
For example, the chaplets on the clock have been designed and meticulously crafted with a combination of
warming copper and silver, whilst the radial
lines of the outer bezel playfully emulate the look and feel of vinyl
records.
From what I understand of the historical
record, temperatures moved in
line with CO2 with a slow
warming superimposed on this (or a slow drop in CO2 levels superimposed).
That
line of thought would lead me to expect a decline in numbers of
records — unless, of course, climate is actually
warming.
If the scorching weather persists into August, the odds of a «flash drought» in the nation's heartland will rise sharply (along with the odds that the U.S. will notch its hottest summer on
record, in
line with what's very likely to be Earth's
warmest year on
record).
More importantly, we must wonder what the satellites would have observed happening in the Antarctic when Roald Amundsen sailed through the Arctic in 1903 - 1905 on the small wooden ship Gjøa when the Northwest Passage was open to sailing vessels, and again in 1940 - 42 and 1944 (St. Roch), it is possible the reduction in Arctic ice is not an indicator of
warming, since it was balanced by
record high Antarctic ice levels and a rising trend
line for the data set since 1979.
QUESTION: If this hypothetical +0.03 C per decade trend
line for the seven hottest peak years on
record between 1998 and 2028 stayed within the CMIP5 min - max boundary
line, as shown on the above graphic, could climate scientists justifiably claim in the year 2028 that «global
warming» a.k.a. «climate change» had occurred on schedule according to AR5's climate model predictions?
Based on these
lines of evidence it is most likely that 2014 is currently one of the four
warmest years on
record, but there is a possibility that the final rank will lie outside this range.
As indicated by the red
line, the
warmest interval of the 20th century is not unique, having been eclipsed four times previous (see the shaded red circles) in the 373 - year
record — once in the 17th century, twice in the 18th century and once in the nineteenth century.
Record warm oceans are the bottom
line, the overall planetary
warming is accelerating at blinding speed.
Even if you were to exclude every
line of evidence which could possibly be disputed — the proxy
records, the computer models, the complex science of clouds and ocean currents — the evidence for manmade global
warming would still be unequivocal.
Clearly something more in
line with the duration of the rather obvious (3
warming peaks
recorded) 60ish year cycle length would be «climate» and not 30 years.
I did something along these
lines for Arctic stations in preparation for my book «Chill» (2009) and went through all available online material — usually NOAA stations, selecting only those stations with a
record going back far enough to capture the 1920 - 1940
warming and enough to the present to capture the very recent Arctic
warming (2000 - 2005 as I finalised the draft in 2008).
If 2014 really is the
warmest year on
record, then it's certainly wrong to say that global
warming «stopped» back in 1998 — a favorite
line of climate skeptics like Sen. James Inhofe (R - OK).
THERE HAS BEEN A
WARMING TREND FROM THE 70s THRU THE LATE 90s,... accompanied by other changes tied to a warming trend (record low arctic sea ice extent & thickness, retreating glaciers, retreating snow lines, warming ocean surface temps, increases in sea height, de-alkalinizing o
WARMING TREND FROM THE 70s THRU THE LATE 90s,... accompanied by other changes tied to a
warming trend (record low arctic sea ice extent & thickness, retreating glaciers, retreating snow lines, warming ocean surface temps, increases in sea height, de-alkalinizing o
warming trend (
record low arctic sea ice extent & thickness, retreating glaciers, retreating snow
lines,
warming ocean surface temps, increases in sea height, de-alkalinizing o
warming ocean surface temps, increases in sea height, de-alkalinizing oceans).
In fact, we have multiple independent
lines of evidence for
warming, ranging from several different temperature
records (land, sea surface, deep sea, atmosphere at different levels, several kinds of satellite, glaciers, biologic responses...), all congruent.
Eyeballing Willis's graph, and ignoring the red
line, it looks to me like the WWII
records were dominated by engine -
warmed intake data, perhaps because the chaos meant much of the bucket data did not get
recorded, and after WWII it was business as usual with mostly bucket data resuming.
This result indicates, since the GMT
record begun, the GMT behaved like a stable pendulum with the two GMT boundary
lines that are 0.5 deg C apart as the end points of the pendulum's swings, and the long - term global
warming trend
line of 0.06 deg C per decade as the pendulum's neutral position.
The blue
line is the UK Met Office's independently tested and verified «HadCRUT4»
record — showing lower monthly readings and a shallower recent
warming trend.»
From a scientific point of view the exact execution and framing could be criticized on certain aspects (e.g. ECS is linearly extrapolated instead of logarithmically; the interpretation that recent
record warmth are not peaks but rather a «correction to the trend
line» depends strongly on the exact way the endpoints of the observed temperature are smoothed; the effect of non-CO2 greenhouse gases is excluded from the analysis and discussion), but the underlying point, that more
warming is in store than we're currently seeing, is both valid and very important.
«The black
line in the Figure below is the original
warming trend as contained in the most - up - to - date «observed» temperature
record, and the red
line is the remaining («adjusted») trend after all non-GHG influences have been removed.»
This correction, along with another one in 2005, brought UAH largely in
line with the other temperature
records, though it continues to show a slightly lower long - term
warming trend.
The black red
line in the Figure is the original
warming trend as contained in the most - up - to - date «observed» temperature
record (HadCRUT3), and the red blue
line is the remaining («adjusted») trend after non-GHG influences have been removed.
The dashed black
line is the instrumental
record for
warm - season > 20 N latitudes and it does indeed diverge from the tree - ring
records in the 1980s.
... Move on people nothing to see here... A few
lines away from his trend comments, Monckton acknowledges that the last decade was the
warmest on
record but indicates that it is part of a trend of 300 years of global
warming.
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