Not exact matches
Use this business
cycle graph to plan your sector investing strategy around the
natural phases in the economic
cycle Investors have a horrible track
record of timing the market, trying to buy low and sell high.
But even earlier readings can provide a
record of natural climate variation caused by volcanic eruptions or
cycles in ocean circulation.
While both Harvey and Irma «are
record - setters, NOAA doesn't see a «clear existing signal in storm data» going back to the 1800s that proves the two storms are part
of a departure from the
cycle of natural variability.
In order to understand Earth's recent temperature
record, it's essential to understand the impacts from these
natural cycles, says Byron Steinman, a paleoclimatologist at the University
of Minnesota's Large Lakes Observatory in Duluth and lead author
of the new study.
A detailed, long - term ocean temperature
record derived from corals on Christmas Island in Kiribati and other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth
of recent El Niño events reflects not just the
natural ocean - atmosphere
cycle but a new factor: global warming caused by human activity.
Therefore, IMHO, it would be closer to the truth to call WUWT a «skeptic» site that calls into question exactly how much the mean temperature has increased since the advent
of the thermometer
record in the late 1880's, how much
of that is due to human activities and how much to
natural cycles not under our control, what dangers rising temperatures may pose to human life and civilization, and what technologically and politically doable actions may be taken to reduce human - caused warming, and our dependence on foreign sources
of fossil energy.
Last summer's
record loss
of ice was due to a combination
of natural cycle and global warming factors: «more greenhouse gases, an unusual wind pattern, and warming
of the ocean water in regions with reduced sea ice.»
Since it is unclear how «
natural forcing» produces these interglacial
cycles, one really must wonder why one would care that one can not reproduce an undefined insignificant period
of the
record with «
natural forcing factors».
For forecasts
of the timing and extent
of the coming cooling based on the
natural solar activity
cycles — most importantly the millennial
cycle — and using the neutron count and 10Be
record as the most useful proxy for solar activity check my blogpost linked above, The most important factor in climate forecasting is where earth is in regard to the quasi - millennial
natural solar activity
cycle which has a period in the 960 — 1020 year range.For evidence
of this
cycle see Figs 5 - 9.
Where is the evidence
of some other
natural forcing, like the Milankovich
cycles that controlled the ice ages (a fine historical example
of a dramatic and regular climate
cycle that can be read in the ice core
records taken both in Greenland and in the Antarctic)?
E. Even the official «global temperature»
record, which has been adjusted to promote global warming hysteria, has not followed the pattern
of increased atmospheric concentrations
of CO2, but rather has followed the pattern
of natural causes, primarily solar activity and ocean
cycles.
When looking at longer
cycles of variability, you have to be careful not to include solar variation and aerosol forcing that are not part
of natural variability, and that seem to account for a lot
of the long - term effects in the temperature
record.
In short, radiative forcing from GHGs and volcanic aerosols explains a great deal
of the land
record with a residual that follows a
natural cycle: AMO.
Back in the old days, before the land temperature
records were subjected to bouts
of data diddling to conceal the awful truth, one could scrutinise the graphs back to 1850 and clearly see the alternate warmer / cooler regimes in roughly 30 - year
cycles that even the dullest brain could imagine was a manifestation
of natural cycles.
In fact the ONLY warming in the whole
of the satellite
record has come from
natural ocean
cycles and solar driven El Nino events.
Broecker also put the 1910 - 1940 warm phase in the context
of 80 - and 180 - year
natural variability
cycles that are typical
of what had been happening over the past 800 years according to Greenland
records.
Pine beetles are a
natural part
of the life
cycle in Western forests, but this outbreak, under way for more than a decade in some areas, is by far the most extensive ever
recorded.
gives an idea
of how these multi - secular / millenarian
natural cycles may appear by attempting a reconstruction
of a pluri - millennial
record proxy model for the temperature in central Greenland.
I do think that there is a broad consensus that there likely is an effect from increased SST, but that so far it is not sufficiently significant to be visible in the impact
record, while lots
of other things are, including the well known
natural decadal
cycles affecting hurricanes, flood defenses and increasing population and property values.
Given the lack
of detailed proxy
records to trace simultaneously biochemical baselines and length
of food webs, assessing the extent to which biogeochemical
cycling and community structure in pelagic ecosystems have changed over the past century is difficult, as is attributing change to
natural cycles versus anthropogenic disturbances.
Specifically, the study found that» [d] uring much
of last year's hurricane season, sea - surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic between 10 and 20 degrees north... were a
record 1.7 degrees F above the 1901 - 1970 average,» «global warming explained about 0.8 degrees F
of this rise,» while» [a] ftereffects from the 2004 - 05 El Nino accounted for about 0.4 degrees F,» and a
natural cycle in sea - surface temperatures «explained less than 0.2 degrees F
of the rise.»