Not exact matches
Reducing uncertainties in the
models could lead to better long - term assessments of
climate, Esposito says.
By improving the understanding of how much radiation CO2 absorbs,
uncertainties in modelling climate change will be
reduced and more accurate predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to warm over the next few decades.
«A cloud system - resolved
model can
reduce one of the greatest
uncertainties in climate models, by improving the way we treat clouds,» Wehner said.
A new integrated
climate model developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other institutions is designed to
reduce uncertainties in future
climate predictions as it bridges Earth systems with energy and economic
models and large - scale human impact data.
A new integrated computational
climate model developed to
reduce uncertainties in future
climate predictions marks the first successful attempt to bridge Earth systems with energy and economic
models and large - scale human impact data.
PNNL researchers play a key role
in reducing uncertainty through improved process understanding and
modeling of
climate processes such as clouds and aerosols.
Understanding how well
climate models represent these processes will help
reduce uncertainties in the
model projections of the effects of global warming on the world's water cycle.
If we can get
climate models to more credibly simulate current cloud patterns and observed cloud changes, this might
reduce the
uncertainty in future projections
The work of Schmittner et al. demonstrates that
climates of the past can provide potentially powerful information to
reduce uncertainty in future
climate predictions and evaluate the likelihood of
climate change that is larger than captured
in present
models.
I was wondering for some time now, how much the findings of the work of scientists, be it the IPCC, be it the PIK
in Potsdam or what have you, can be taken for granted
in order for policy makers to make valuable decisions (e.g. cutting carbon emissions by half by 2050) and if the
uncertainties in the
models might outweigh certain decisions to
reduce carbon emissions so that
in the end it might happen that these
uncertainties make these decisions obsolete, because they do not suffice to avoid «dangerous
climate change»?
To
reduce uncertainties in climate - change projections, it is essential to prioritize the improvement of the most important uncertain physical processes
in climate models.
Improving the scientific understanding of all
climate feedbacks is critical to
reducing the
uncertainty in modeling the consequences of doubling the CO2 - equivalent concentration.
Over decades, improvements
in observations of the present
climate, reconstructions of ancient
climate, and computer
models that simulate past, current, and future
climate have
reduced some of the
uncertainty in forecasting how rising temperatures will ripple through the
climate system.
Innovative new approaches to
climate data analysis, continued improvements in climate modeling, and instigation and maintenance of reference quality observation networks such as the U.S. Climate Reference Network (http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/crn/) all have the potential to reduce uncerta
climate data analysis, continued improvements
in climate modeling, and instigation and maintenance of reference quality observation networks such as the U.S. Climate Reference Network (http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/crn/) all have the potential to reduce uncerta
climate modeling, and instigation and maintenance of reference quality observation networks such as the U.S.
Climate Reference Network (http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/crn/) all have the potential to reduce uncerta
Climate Reference Network (http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/crn/) all have the potential to
reduce uncertainties.
In fairness, there remains considerable uncertainty in aerosol effects, but if there will be real progress in narrowing the credible range for climate sensitivity, it has to come from reducing the still too wide uncertainty in aerosol effects, not from flogging climate models which assume aerosol offsets inconsistent with the best available measured effect
In fairness, there remains considerable
uncertainty in aerosol effects, but if there will be real progress in narrowing the credible range for climate sensitivity, it has to come from reducing the still too wide uncertainty in aerosol effects, not from flogging climate models which assume aerosol offsets inconsistent with the best available measured effect
in aerosol effects, but if there will be real progress
in narrowing the credible range for climate sensitivity, it has to come from reducing the still too wide uncertainty in aerosol effects, not from flogging climate models which assume aerosol offsets inconsistent with the best available measured effect
in narrowing the credible range for
climate sensitivity, it has to come from
reducing the still too wide
uncertainty in aerosol effects, not from flogging climate models which assume aerosol offsets inconsistent with the best available measured effect
in aerosol effects, not from flogging
climate models which assume aerosol offsets inconsistent with the best available measured effects.
The Process Study and
Model Improvement (PSMI) Panel's mission is to
reduce uncertainties in the general circulation
models used for
climate variability prediction and
climate change projections through an improved understanding and representation of the physical processes governing
climate and its variation.
Knowing that the spread
in ECS is mostly related to
uncertainties in low - cloud feedback, it seems obvious that constraining how low clouds respond to global warming can
reduce the spread of
climate sensitivity among
models.
«
Reducing the wide range of
uncertainty inherent
in current
model predictions of global
climate change will require major advances
in understanding and
modeling of both (1) the factors that determine atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols, and (2) the so - called «feedbacks» that determine the sensitivity of the
climate system to a prescribed increase
in greenhouse gases.»
And beyond the post-facto
model evaluation, it will be interesting to see whether new
climate models will take advantage of emergent constraints to improve their simulation of present - day
climate and to
reduce uncertainties in future projections.
In the 1990's, a growing sense of the infeasibility of reducing uncertainties in global climate modeling emerged in response to the continued emergence of unforeseen complexities and sources of uncertaintie
In the 1990's, a growing sense of the infeasibility of
reducing uncertainties in global climate modeling emerged in response to the continued emergence of unforeseen complexities and sources of uncertaintie
in global
climate modeling emerged
in response to the continued emergence of unforeseen complexities and sources of uncertaintie
in response to the continued emergence of unforeseen complexities and sources of
uncertainties.
A key problem for
reducing the
uncertainty in climate projections is historical records of change are often too short to test the skill of
climate models, raising concerns over our ability to successfully plan for the future.
The data generated
in this laboratory is used to
reduce the
uncertainty associated with representing the organic aerosol lifecycle
in climate models.
In the early 1990's there was the belief in the feasibility of reducing uncertainties in climate science and climate models, and a consensus seeking approach was formalized by the IPC
In the early 1990's there was the belief
in the feasibility of reducing uncertainties in climate science and climate models, and a consensus seeking approach was formalized by the IPC
in the feasibility of
reducing uncertainties in climate science and climate models, and a consensus seeking approach was formalized by the IPC
in climate science and
climate models, and a consensus seeking approach was formalized by the IPCC.
Thus, using various kinds of
climate model ensembles including both MMEs and SMEs, we may expect to
reduce uncertainties in climate prediction
in the future.
The DOE support includes funding from the Regional and Global
Climate Modeling programme to the
Reducing Uncertainties in Biogeochemical Interactions through Synthesis and Computation (RUBISCO) Scientific Focus Area, from the Terrestrial Ecosystem Sciences programme to the Next Generation Ecosystem Experiments — Tropics, and from the Early Career programme (DE-SC0012152).
Zhang, M., S. Klein, D. Randall, R. Cederwall, and A. Del Genio, 2005: Introduction to special section on «Toward
Reducing Cloud -
Climate Uncertainties in Atmospheric General Circulation
Models».
Further research emphasis is needed
in these areas if we are to
reduce uncertainty in modelled forecasts of the ecological consequences of
climate change.
Two other important records from satellite instruments — one from MODIS and the other from MISR — don't agree well over land, so scientists hope that data from other other sensors like SeaWiFS might help resolve some of the discrepancies and
reduce the overall
uncertainty about aerosols
in climate models.