Changing winds could still push ice flows together,
reducing ice extent further.
We saw a great deal of first year ice which would suggest further
reduced ice extent in 08 but it was cold and there didn't seem to be a great deal of open water.
Suppose that there has been a multi-century increase in the poleward heat transport in the oceans due to internal variability, which warms the poles,
reduces ice extent and albedos, and thereby warms the planet.
So regardless of whether atmospheric temperatures, SSTs or OHC fails to increase, and ignoring the multitude of complexities involved,
reduced ice extent is clear evidence of AGW.
Negative AO
reduces ice extent at the margins in the North Atlantic
This resulted in the transport of multiyear ice out of the Arctic Ocean, setting the stage for
reduced ice extent (Rigor et al. 2004)
Not exact matches
This suggests that atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations of 400 ppm may be sufficient to greatly
reduce the spatial
extent and seasonal persistence of Arctic sea
ice.
However, recent calving rates have been shown to be negatively correlated with
ice cover
extent, indicating population growth is faster when
ice cover is
reduced and feeding habitat is extended [20].
The scenarios show a warming of 1.9 — 3.8 K. Sea
ice extent is distinctly
reduced in the scenarios.
Results showed the storm caused the sea
ice to pass the previous record 10 days earlier in August than it would have otherwise, but only
reduced the final September
ice extent by 150,000 square kilometers (almost 60,000 square miles), less than a 5 percent difference.
...
reduced sea
ice extent has altered, and in the future may continue to alter, ocean circulation, ocean productivity and regional climate and will have direct impacts on shipping and mineral and oil exploration (see WGII, Chapter 28).
As the link below shows, sea
ice extent has been dramatically
reduced since 1979.
However the sea
ice September
extent can be expected to fall to a much
reduced level by 2015, and possibly earlier — even this year is on the cards.
The decrease has been greatest during summer, with sea
ice extent reducing by around 12 % per decade since the satellite record began in 1979.
We interpret the split of 2013 Outlooks above and below the 4.1 level to different interpretations of the guiding physics: those who considered that observed sea
ice extent in 2012 being well below the 4.1 level indicates a shift in arctic conditions, especially with regard to
reduced sea
ice thickness and increased sea
ice mobility; and those who have estimates above 4.1 who support a return to the longer - term downward trend line (1979 - 2007).
We interpret the split of 2013 Outlooks above and below the 4.1 median to different interpretations of the guiding physics: those who considered that observed sea
ice extent in 2012 being well below the 4.1 level indicates a shift in arctic conditions, especially with regard to
reduced sea
ice thickness and increased sea
ice mobility; and those with estimates above 4.1 who support a return to the longer - term downward trend line (1979 - 2007).
«However,
ice loss continued north of the Laptev Sea, opening up a gap in the
ice cover that
reduced extent.»
Because walrus avoid
ice - covered waters where sea
ice concentration is 80 % or greater, any heavy
ice concentrations
reduce the areal
extent of walrus foraging habitat.
Does this suggest a new level of
reduced summer
ice extent persisting at around 5.0 million square kilometers, relative to a value of 6.0 million square kilometers in the early 2000s?
The much -
reduced extent of the oldest and thickest
ice, in combination with other factors such as
ice transport that assist the
ice - albedo feedback by exposing more open water, help explain this large and abrupt
ice loss.
Why has the argument moved from «
ice extent» to «
ice mass» — is the
extent proxy no longer able to help support AGW — as it is no longer
reducing and the artic is not playing ball.
Given current uncertainties, our global - scale estimate of reservoir GHG flux does not account for
ice cover, but see the supplemental materials for an estimate of the
extent to which
ice cover could
reduce annual - scale emissions (assuming no turnover emissions).
Noting the black line ensemble member, there is a single year event that dramatically
reduces the sea
ice extent, similar to what was observed in 2007.
«The current rate of sea
ice loss, and the
reduced thickness of large areas of the
ice remaining, suggests that we may see yet another record minimum in summer sea
ice extent this year.»
Land - based energy exploration will be affected by a shorter season when
ice roads are viable, yet
reduced sea
ice extent may create more opportunity for offshore development.
With
reduced September
ice extent, the rebound to March maximum is strong, but with greater September sea
ice extent the rebound to the next maximum is far less.
The model shows that
reduced ozone would decrease the
ice extent, opposite of what is happening.
Multi-year sea
ice has been
reduced to such low levels that the overall September sea
ice extent is largely tied to the fate of the first - year sea
ice, which appears thin or with low concentrations away from the central Arctic (see AMSR satellite data and the calculations by Lindsay and Rigor).
This is such an utter non-story — amounting to no more than «NSIDC have another year's worth of winter Arctic
ice data» — that the only reason we can see for the BBC giving it the time of day is to guard against the possibility that people start filling their pretty heads with silly notions that the
extent of summer Arctic sea
ice varies from year to year, and that while it seems to have been
reducing a bit over the last few decades, it hardly follows that it spells the end of the world as we know it.
A wide range of other observations (such as
reduced Arctic sea
ice extent and increased ocean heat content) and indications from the natural world (such as poleward shifts of temperature - sensitive species of fish, mammals, insects, etc.) together provide incontrovertible evidence of planetary - scale warming.
Accordingly research has estimated that during the cold nadir of each
ice age, coral reef
extent was
reduced by 80 % and carbonate production was
reduced by 73 % relative to today.
The roughly factor of two increase in speed shown is partly due to decreases in
ice thickness and strength, but it is safe to predict that if cyclonic storm events like this one ending 2015 continue penetrating the eastern Arctic Ocean, they will increase
ice export and
reduce summer 2016
ice extent.
Alternatively, it may be the result of increased ocean heat transports due to either an enhanced thermohaline circulation (Raymo et al., 1989; Rind and Chandler, 1991) or increased flow of surface ocean currents due to greater wind stresses (Ravelo et al., 1997; Haywood et al., 2000), or associated with the
reduced extent of land and sea
ice (Jansen et al., 2000; Knies et al., 2002; Haywood et al., 2005).
A) Arctic sea
ice minimums at the equinox in mid-September have only one real limit: they can continue to
reduce to zero from their (typical) 4.0 million km ^ 2
extent minimum.
Arctic sea -
ice has been declining since the late 1970s,
reducing in
extent by about 4 %, or 0.6 million square kilometres (an area about the size of Madagascar) per decade.
A combined lack of coherence in
ice drift fields and
reduced ice concentrations in April 2011 relative to April 2007 suggest that springtime
ice dynamical contributions to fall sea
ice extent may be associated with sea
ice deformation and ridging within an increasingly mobile and fractured
ice cover.
However,
Ice extent in the Greenland Sea has
reduced substantially during the first half of August 2010 (comparison of Figures 1 and 2).
Northward atmospheric winter fluxes are observed after the enhanced global warming after 1970, and, for the first time over the period considered, a positive correlation is observed between atmospheric and oceanic
reducing effects on the
ice extent.
6) Sea
ice extent has been dramatically
reduced since the 1950s.
These have been driven by
reduced sea -
ice extent and duration.