This activity report contains a description of the proceedings of an expert meeting on forest
reference emission levels and forest reference levels for implementation of activities for REDD + (reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation in developing countries, as well as conservation, sustainable management of forests and enhancement of carbon stocks) which was held from 14 - 15 November 2011, in Bonn, Germany.
On June 6, Brazil became the first Party to deliver a REDD +
reference emission level to the UNFCCC under new rules established in Warsaw.
For example, there was a debate with the forestry ministry in developing and submitting the Forest
Reference Emissions Level.
Not exact matches
The
emission reductions are relative to a
reference case (dashed grey line) in which technology and fuel mixes are frozen at Year 2010
levels.
This workshop will discuss key environmental considerations in the development of a REDD offset program including the establishment of
reference levels against which
emissions reductions should be measured, systems to monitor, report and verify avoided deforestation and degradation, and ways to ensure that programmatic
emissions reductions are in addition to those that would have otherwise taken place.
In the AEO2015
Reference case, which does not include the proposed Clean Power Plan rule, EIA projects power sector CO2
emissions to hover near their 2013
level, and remain below 2005
levels through 2040.
If the ROW recommendations are acted upon, then the Chiapas program will have to have a robust
reference level and monitoring, reporting and verification (MRV) guidelines in addition to a strategy to reduce
emissions, Janson - Smith says.
The Royal Society report includes
references to Clark et al, 2016 in Nature Climate Change, suggesting the final sea
level rise on millennia timescale caused by anthropogenic climate change (partly depending on future
emissions) lies in a range between 29 to 55 metres and to DeConto & Pollard, 2016 in Nature, a study suggesting hydro - fracturing and ice cliff collapse around Antarctic ice sheets increases high end projection for sea
level rise by 2100 to ± 2 metres.
Two rounds of analysis were performed using
reference scenario
emissions, with
emission control
levels adjusted so that regional surface pollutant concentrations were consistent with the assumed regional income
levels (Smith et al. 2011).
Pollutant gas and aerosol
emissions levels in the
reference scenario were checked for consistency by estimating regional surface particulate and ozone
levels using the MOZART atmospheric chemistry model.
Differences in carbon prices can be attributed to differences in
reference scenario
emissions, and thus the
level of abatement required, along with differences in the cost of abatement technologies.
When we associate years with warming, sea
level, and city commitments, we are
referencing the 21st century years when the commitments are established through cumulative
emissions, not the years farther in the future when the commitments are realized through sustained temperature increases and SLR.
The energy system
reference cases used for future greenhouse gas (GHG)
emission pathways in climate change research are a case in point: baseline
emission scenarios commonly project
levels of coal combustion many times higher than current reserve estimates by the year 2100.
Thought the spreadsheet claims to use CDIAC
emissions data, the data is not to be found and does not appear to be
referenced anywhere, though it would seem that is was used in some way to estimate the pre-industrial
level of 287ppmv this working is not included in the spreadsheet.
The forest management
reference levels for some Annex I Parties have been set in a way that allows them to hide increases in
emissions from managing their forests and therefore allows them to avoid undertaking mitigation actions in other sectors.
The
reference level approach would allow Annex I Parties to increase net
emissions of greenhouse gases relative to current
levels over the next commitment period without penalty.
If a
reference level proposed by Switzerland based on reported
emissions occurring in the period 2001 - 2005 were used, however, the percentage of unaccounted for
emissions almost doubles to around four percent.
Although it is speculation, it would appear that the
reference by the United States to an 80 % reduction commitment by 2050 originally made to the G8 was influenced by a 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007, p776) which concluded that developed nations needed to reduce ghg
emissions by 25 % to 40 % below 1990
emissions levels by 2020 and 80 % to 95 % by 2050 for the world to have any reasonable chance of limiting warming to 2 °C.
Beyond this, the details — including the forests and countries included in the scheme,
reference levels for measuring
emissions reductions, distribution of funds, and financing — are still being negotiated during a series of UNFCCC meetings culminating in this year's Conference of the Parties in Copenhagen (COP - 15).
It would appear that some of the national commitments that are
referenced in the Cancun agreements are based upon grandfathering
emissions reductions from existing
levels not on what justice requires of nations.
Environmental Research Letters Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target By William J Collins1, 6, Christopher P Webber1, Peter M Cox2, Chris Huntingford3, Jason Lowe4, 5, Stephen Sitch2, Sarah E Chadburn2, 5, Edward Comyn - Platt3, Anna B Harper2, Garry Hayman3Show full author list Published 20 April 2018 • © 2018 Environmental Research Letters, Volume 13, Number 5 Article PDF Figures
References PDF Article information Abstract To understand the importance of methane on the
levels of carbon
emission reductions required to achieve...
The Cancun agreements call on developing countries planning to undertake such efforts to develop: a national strategy or action plan; a national forest or forest
emission reference level; and a transparent national system for monitoring and reporting of conservation and
emission - reduction efforts.
Many negotiators tell Ecosystem Marketplace that REDD itself is no longer a contentious issue, but that things get hairy when they try to digest the decision made in Bali to expand the land - use debate from REDD alone into broader issues of «conservation, sustainable management of forests, changes in forest cover and associated carbon stocks and greenhouse gas
emissions and the enhancement of forest carbon stocks to enhance action on mitigation of climate change and to the consideration of
reference levels.»
Nonetheless, the ministers left many issues unresolved to be concluded by the next COP in Mexico City, such as the global targets and timeframe for halting deforestation and for finance (which in previous versions were suggested to be 50 % by 2020 and to halt gross deforestation by 2030 and targets to provide finance amounting to $ 15 - 25 billion by 2020), the institutional arrangements (such as market versus public finance mechanisms, a forest
emissions inventory,
reference levels and a national or international registry), sub national
reference levels for initial phases, the measuring, monitoring and verifying (MRV) systems and benefit distribution mechanisms.
Some are described, with
references, in the RC piece by Corrine Le Quere, but other data include the quantitative bookkeeping from industrial
emissions records, as well as data on changing atmospheric O2 and C14
levels.