which would mean either increases or decreases in surface temperature, which makes Tallbloke's and others» critique that Dressler ignores
the reflective effect of clouds on surface temperature glaringly obvious.
Not exact matches
The net
effect of human - generated aerosols is more complicated and regionally variable — for example, in contrast to the local warming
effect of the Asian Brown
Cloud, global shipping produces large amounts
of cooling
reflective sulphate aerosols: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1999/08/990820022710.htm
It is my understanding that the uncertainties regarding climate sensitivity to a nominal 2XCO2 forcing is primarily a function
of the uncertainties in (1) future atmospheric aerosol concentrations; both sulfate - type (cooling) and black carbon - type (warming), (2) feedbacks associated with aerosol
effects on the properties
of clouds (e.g. will
cloud droplets become more
reflective?)
Methane seems to be picking up a bit, but then again, given the Asian Brown
Cloud, so should the negative
effects of reflective aerosols.
Increased numbers
of aerosols provide additional locations for droplet nucleation and, all else being equal, result in
clouds with more and smaller droplets hence being more
reflective to solar radiation (a cooling
effect).
The ONLY greenhouse type
of effect occurs as a result
of the
effects of clouds, especially the large and
reflective type which are generally cumulous (low)
clouds and to some extent cirrus and stratos, but mostly the low
clouds.
They assume «positive feedbacks» from GHGs that trap heat, but understate the
reflective and thus cooling
effects of clouds.
Perhaps somehow the extra opacity
of the atmosphere causes thick low
clouds to form, having little greenhouse
effect and much
reflective capacity.