Seriously... what is the basis for your claim that
regional events recorded in history accurately record * global * temperatures?
Not exact matches
But the 2015
event which took place May 15 - 16 was one for the
record books, with an unprecedented $ 219,547.20 raised for the
regional conservation leader's wildlife sanctuaries and programs.
Using dendrochronology — analyzing tree rings to date past
events — the team was building a
record of
regional fires and droughts going back about 650 years.
Human evolution is characterised by speciation, extinction and dispersal
events that can not currently be explained by global or
regional paleoclimate
records [1]--[3].
Though I would comment re: 1931 that
regional warm
events are not necessarily correlated very well with El Nino conditions e.g. 2006 was the warmest year on
record in the UK (HadCET), and 2003 saw a
record hot summer in western Europe.
Furthermore, the next large El Nino
event will very likely bring new
record highs to global temperatures, perhaps breaking those
records as strongly as Australia's
regional records were shattered in 2013.
The piece ignores the broader context in which all manner of contributing factors is assessed to understand the magnitude of
events, their temporal and
regional specificity (e.g., why did the heat wave happen over Texas (rather than Washington), why did it occur in 2011 (and not 2009, or next year), and why did it break the previous
records by a factor of 2.
... «When you hear a phrase like he said, «the highest ever,» you know, «off the charts,» «
record setting,» that's a good sign that on top of a whatever local weather patterns there are or
regional like El Nino, global warming, fossil fuel driven climate change is putting its finger on the scale and juicing the atmosphere and causing the even bigger weather
event than you would have otherwise seen.»
Searching for past
regional extreme
events through the historical and paleo
records should be the focus, rather than working to air brush the past global variability.
An analysis of the 2014 global temperature anomaly
record shows that the
record 2014 anomaly may not have been a global
event at all caused by increased man made greenhouse gases but a
regional SST
record event in the North Pacific caused by unique ocean / atmospheric interchange
events that may happen from time to time.
Note that
regional proxies, such as the oxygen - isotope temperature reconstructions from the Greenland Ice Core Project that
record Dansgaard - Oeschger
events, often indicate faster
regional rates of climate change than the overall global average for glacial - interglacial transitions, just as today warming is more pronounced in Arctic regions than in equatorial regions (Barnosky et al., 2003; Diffenbaugh and Field, 2013).
[Response: No, the issue is the attribution of a local /
regional record event to a local /
regional trend.
So until you can quantify the probability that this
event was analysed given that it was a
record, you can not make post-hoc attributions of a
record to a
regional climate trend.
Tectonic - magmatic (rift to drift)
events on both the West and East Greenland margins are
recorded by Paleocene and Early Eocene flood basalts,
regional dike swarms, central intrusions and sill complexes in Paleozoic - Mesozoic rift basins that have been exposed by Tertiary uplift.