That should dovetail into
regional hurricane models, for example, shouldn't it?
Not exact matches
By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut of estimating changes in
hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a
modeling system with seasonal skill in
regional hurricane prediction.
By running their
model, Fisk and his colleagues found that
hurricanes hitting the eastern US have been a net source of carbon over the latter half of the 19th century, but provided a
regional carbon sink through much of the 20th century.
My work is in risk management and emergency preparedness, and my question is about
model uncertainty for local and
regional planners in
hurricane - prone regions.
Remember, for these «
hurricane models», you are trying to deal with a much higher resolution (or more
regional effects which are more weakly
modeled so far) than «climate
models» which deal with easier - to -
model larger affects... ie.
In a series of Atlantic basin - specific dynamical downscaling studies (Bender et al. 2010; Knutson et al. 2013), we attempted to address both of these limitations by letting the Atlantic basin
regional model of Knutson et al. (2008) provide the overall storm frequency information, and then downscaling each individual storm from the
regional model study into the GFDL
hurricane prediction system.
The GFDL
hurricane model (with a grid spacing as fine as 9 km) is able to simulate the frequency, intensity, and structure of the more intense
hurricanes, such as category 3 - 5 storms, much more realistically than the
regional (18 km grid)
model.
GFDL researchers have developed a
regional dynamical downscaling
model for Atlantic
hurricanes and tested it by comparing with observed
hurricane activity since 1980.
GFDL scientists focus on
model - building relevant for society, such as
hurricane research, weather and ocean prediction, seasonal forecasting, and understanding global and
regional climate change.
Turning now to the question of the frequency of very intense
hurricanes, the
regional model of Knutson et al. (2008) has an important limitation in that it does not simulate such very intense
hurricanes.