Sentences with phrase «regional seasonal climate»

The main goal of RCOFs is to provide consensus regional seasonal climate outlooks for applications in key socioeconomic sectors in support of resilience building for sustainable development.

Not exact matches

By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut of estimating changes in hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with seasonal skill in regional hurricane prediction.

After all, people readily tolerate much larger regional and seasonal climate variations.

«Given the current uncertainties in both the reconstruction and model sensitivity, however, this model - data discrepancy could be attributed to either the seasonal bias in the SST reconstructions or the model bias in regional and seasonal climate sensitivity.

There can / will be local and regional, latitudinal, diurnal and seasonal, and internal variability - related deviations to the pattern (in temperature and in optical properties (LW and SW) from components (water vapor, clouds, snow, etc.) that vary with weather and climate), but the global average effect is at least somewhat constrained by the global average vertical distribution of solar heating, which requires the equilibrium net convective + LW fluxes, in the global average, to be sizable and upward at all levels from the surface to TOA, thus tending to limit the extent and magnitude of inversions.)

In Texas, it is now being reported, indications are of many lost crops and lost beef production due to a drier regional climate (see graphic above for latest seasonal drought trend).

With this service, seasonal predictions, reanalyses and climate projections will be provided free of charge in the form of global and regional plots in real time.

A top - down climate effect that shows long - term drift (and may also be out of phase with the bottom - up solar forcing) would change the spatial response patterns and would mean that climate - chemistry models that have sufficient resolution in the stratosphere would become very important for making accurate regional / seasonal climate predictions.

Recent government contracts for CFAN include a DOE contract to develop extended range regional wind power forecasts, a DOD contract to predict extreme events associated with climate variability / change having implications for regional stability, and a NOAA contract to improve sub seasonal forecasting.

Moreover, our simulation captures major seasonal and regional characteristics of the hiatus, including the intensified Walker circulation, the winter cooling in northwestern North America and the prolonged drought in the southernUSA.Our results show that the current hiatus is part of natural climate variability, tied specifically to aLa - Nina - like decadal cooling.

Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) will produce and share regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecasts, global and regional climate projections and health specific climate indiClimate Change Service (C3S) will produce and share regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecasts, global and regional climate projections and health specific climate indiclimate reanalyses, seasonal forecasts, global and regional climate projections and health specific climate indiclimate projections and health specific climate indiclimate indicators.

The use of anomalies avoids this seasonal / regional variation, because when the climate isn't changing, neither will be the anomalies except for local noise.

The regional arrays provide a sampling of ocean conditions around the world that is designed to produce an integrated data set that can be used to address questions related to physical - biogeochemical coupling in eddies, phytoplankton phenology (cyclic and seasonal phenomena), nutrient supply, and climate effects on ocean carbon cycling in selected regions.

«A climate pattern may come in the form of a regular cycle, like the diurnal cycle or the seasonal cycle; a quasi periodic event, like El Niño; or a highly irregular event, such as a volcanic winter... A mode of variability is a climate pattern with identifiable characteristics, specific regional effects, and often oscillatory behavior... the mode of variability with the greatest effect on climates worldwide is the seasonal cycle, followed by El Niño - Southern Oscillation, followed by thermohaline circulation.»

Using an ensemble of four high resolution (~ 25 km) regional climate models, this study analyses the future (2021 - 2050) spatial distribution of seasonal temperature and precipitation extremes in the Ganges river basin based on the SRES A1B emissions scenario.

The mitigation focus is on global climate and the century time scale, whereas the adaptation focus is regional and on timescales from the seasonal to decadal.

«Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea - ice forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales» Climate Dynamics (49: 1399, doi: 10.1007 / s00382 -016-3388-9).

«Skeptics» have not produced GCMs so that they can evaluate its seasonal and regional variations before going on to climate change.

After all, people readily tolerate much larger regional and seasonal climate variations.

This paper aims to address the question of how the runoff extremes change in the future compared to the historical time period, investigate the different behaviors of the regional climate models (RCMs) regarding the runoff extremes and assess the seasonal variations of runoff extremes.

Designed as a distributed system, providing improved access to existing datasets through a unified web interface, the CDS will include, but is not limited to, observations, global and regional climate reanalyses, global and regional climate projections and seasonal forecasts.

Simulations by regional climate models show good agreement with observations in the seasonal and spatial variability of the joint distribution, especially when an ensemble of simulations was used.

That we tend to see much more discussion about global warming is I think because of the limitations of the climate models when they go to more regional and seasonal predictions and refinements of max versus min temperature trends.

ECMWF as the Entrusted Entity for the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) is building a Climate Data Store (CDS) that will provide open and free access to quality - assured climate observations, global and regional Essential Climate Variable (ECV) products derived from observations, global and regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecast data and model - generated future climate change sceClimate Change Service (C3S) is building a Climate Data Store (CDS) that will provide open and free access to quality - assured climate observations, global and regional Essential Climate Variable (ECV) products derived from observations, global and regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecast data and model - generated future climate change sceClimate Data Store (CDS) that will provide open and free access to quality - assured climate observations, global and regional Essential Climate Variable (ECV) products derived from observations, global and regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecast data and model - generated future climate change sceclimate observations, global and regional Essential Climate Variable (ECV) products derived from observations, global and regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecast data and model - generated future climate change sceClimate Variable (ECV) products derived from observations, global and regional climate reanalyses, seasonal forecast data and model - generated future climate change sceclimate reanalyses, seasonal forecast data and model - generated future climate change sceclimate change scenarios.

Our results point to the need for future observational and modeling studies to focus on the regional and seasonal characteristics of Antarctic climate change, the regional response to ozone depletion, the influence of tropical variability and climate change on Antarctic climate, and on the mechanisms that link sea ice and air temperature in Antarctica.

The seasonal and regional characteristics of the Antarctic temperature datasets make them useful for interpreting the physical mechanisms that drive Antarctic climate variability, and for informing future interpretations and model evaluations of Antarctic climate change.

This is especially true for smaller (seasonal and regional) scales and weather and climate extremes, and for important hydroclimatic variables such as precipitation and water availability.

The climate information provided for this purpose is derived from observations, global and regional reanalyses, seasonal forecast data, climate model simulations, and other data needed to estimate or project sectoral impacts.

Using seasonal forecast SSTs instead of observations to drive the regional climate model allows scientists to disentangle the influence of low - frequency climate modes like El Nino from human - induced warming.

In particular, the research indicates that seasonal and regional changes in temperature and, to a certain degree, precipitation can be estimated solely on the basis of carbon dioxide emissions, which makes it simpler to study the effects of climate change.

Persistent small climate changes are difficult to detect within the diurnal, regional, and seasonal variance of Earth's reflected (shortwave) and emitted (longwave) energy — hence a continuous long - term (decades) record of Earth's radiation budget (ERB) is needed to identify subtle long - term shifts related to climate change.4 With the demanifesting of TSIS and ERBS from NPOESS, ERB measurements will end with the last CERES on Aqua (or perhaps NPP, pending addition of CERES FM - 5 onto NPP), the TIM record will end with Glory, and the SIM record with SORCE.

Providing reliable climate projections on regional and local, seasonal and decadal scales is a complex scientific challenge that the Met Office is in a unique position to meet.

GFDL scientists focus on model - building relevant for society, such as hurricane research, weather and ocean prediction, seasonal forecasting, and understanding global and regional climate change.

«One of the perennial concerns about possibilities for modifying the earth's radiation balance has been that even if these methods could compensate for increased GHGs in the global and annual mean, they might have very different spatial and temporal effects and impact the regional and seasonal climates in a very different way than GHGs.

Recent analyses using the CCM3 climate model (Govindasamy and Caldeira, 2000) suggest, however, that a 1.7 % decrease in solar luminosity would closely counterbalance a doubling of CO2 at the regional and seasonal scale (in addition to that at the global and annual scale) despite differences in radiative forcing patterns.»