Morice, C. P., J. J. Kennedy, N. A. Rayner, and P. D. Jones (2012), Quantifying uncertainties in global and
regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 dataset, J. Geophys.
Morice, C. P., J. J. Kennedy, N. A. Rayner, and P. D. Jones, 2012: Quantifying uncertainties in global and
regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 dataset.
Not exact matches
Production may be directly affected by
changes in crop photosynthesis and water
use due to rising CO2 and
changes in
regional temperature patterns.
Using models to distinguish between the forcing histories is thus likely to require a tighter focus on
regional changes, or in climate patterns, more than the just the mean
temperature.
First, never
use a local
regional temperature record to diagnose global
change.
A central topic will be teleconnections in the climate system, i.e. how a
change in climate in one part of the globe (e.g.
temperatures in the Atlantic or shrinking sea ice cover in the Arctic) can influence climate on other parts of the globe (e.g. Eurasian winter
temperatures), and how we can
use this information to improve
regional climate prediction and therefore
regional climate service.
During the past century land
use change has given rise to
regional changes in the local surface climatology, particularly the mean and variability of near surface
temperature (Pitman et al, 2012).
The IPCC and its closely controlled peer review journals have now admitted that land -
use changes do indeed have a major impact on climate
change and local /
regional and even global
temperatures.
A 2015 study
using regional ice core data reveals no unusual
temperature changes but an exceptional 30 % increase in snow accumulation during the twentieth century, again supporting Zwally's analysis of mass gain in interior west Antarctica.
In this study, more than 1000 tree - ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres were
used to construct
regional temperature change over the past 1500 years.
The same should be true for climate
change we should evaluate the
changes in
temperature (not anomalies) over time at the same stations and present the data as a spaghetti graph showing any differing trends and not assume that
regional or climates in gridded areas are the same — which they are not as is obvious from the climate zones that exist or microclimates due to
changes in precipitation, land
use etc..
Lower case a-h refer to how the literature was addressed in terms of up / downscaling (a — clearly defined global impact for a specific ΔT against a specific baseline, upscaling not necessary; b — clearly defined
regional impact at a specific
regional ΔT where no GCM
used; c — clearly defined
regional impact as a result of specific GCM scenarios but study only
used the
regional ΔT; d — as c but impacts also the result of
regional precipitation
changes; e — as b but impacts also the result of
regional precipitation
change; f —
regional temperature change is off - scale for upscaling with available GCM patterns to 2100, in which case upscaling is, where possible, approximated by
using Figures 10.5 and 10.8 from Meehl et al., 2007; g — studies which estimate the range of possible outcomes in a given location or region considering a multi-model ensemble linked to a global
temperature change.
Using existing output data from global climate models, the researchers plotted projections of
changes in global average
temperature and rainfall against
regional changes in daily extremes.