Not exact matches
KATHARINE HAYHOE is an atmospheric scientist at Texas Tech University, where she studies climate modeling and the
regional impacts of global
warming.
Even if global
warming is limited to these levels, changes in
regional temperatures (and therefore climate change
impacts) can vary significantly from the global average.
Pokorny's work, coupled with a controversial new theory called the «biotic pump,» suggests that transforming landscapes from forest to field has at least as big an
impact on
regional climate as greenhouse gas — induced global
warming.
«And the
regional information is critical for climate forecasts and understanding future global
warming impacts.»
A reduction of
regional stress such as nutrient runoff or the loss of oxygen can mitigate the
impact of global stressors like ocean acidification and
warming.
The
impacts of this recent
regional rapid
warming around the Antarctic Peninsula have been dramatic, with the collapse of ice shelves [14], and with 87 % of glaciers in recession [15].
Current and likely future
impacts of global
warming on ecosystems and human activities are also considered, including biodiversity, system buffering and resilience, and
regional inequality and vulnerability.
In fact previous climate
warming after the last ice age did have significant negative
impacts on early human settlements (evidence of periods of significant and rapid
regional sea level rise).
Pressing the frontiers of climate science and related research is vital, but it's wishful thinking to expect further science to substantially narrow uncertainties on time scales that matter when it comes to
regional or short - term climate forecasting, the range of possible
warming from a big buildup of carbon dioxide, the
impact of greenhouse forcing on rare extremes and the like.
The climate scientists behind the report are less ready, however, to predict what the specific
impacts of global
warming will look like in the coming decades, meaning it won't be very useful for
regional planners.
Although
impacts of UHIs on the absolute annual and seasonal temperature are identified, UHI contributions to the long - term trends are less than 10 % of the
regional total
warming during the period.
As this map suggests, CO2 - caused «global»
warming is highly suspect since normal
regional weather / climate oscillations easily overwhelm its
impact.
We have been investigating the causes and
impacts of these trends, with a focus on determining if the
regional warming and cooling patterns result from natural variability or are due to human activities.
To quantify the
impact of changes in short - lived climate pollutants and
regional climate forcings, in addition to the
impact of
warming induced by greenhouse gases, on weather extremes in Africa.
-- Not later than 18 months after the date of enactment of this section, the Administrator, taking into consideration the public health and environmental
impacts of black carbon emissions, including the effects on global and
regional warming, the Arctic, and other snow and ice - covered surfaces, shall propose regulations under the existing authorities of this Act to reduce emissions of black carbon or propose a finding that existing regulations promulgated pursuant to this Act adequately regulate black carbon emissions.
Leaders of Asian industries wake up to
regional impact of global
warming The Financial Times, Nov. 19, 2004
In no way can my summary of the research regarding the
impact of
regional climate change on the Viking civilization and Europe during the Little Ice Age be used to «prove» the current global
warming is due to a natural cycle.»
The Gulf Stream transports
warm salty water from the subtropical region to mid-latitudes in the North Atlantic, and changes in its path can have a strong
impact on
regional marine ecosystems and fisheries.
«The reality of urban
warming on local and small
regional scales is not questioed by this work; it is the
impact of urban
warming on estimates of global and large
regional trends that is shown to be small.»
Though there can be significant differences in
regional surface
impacts between one SSW event and another, the typical pattern includes changes in sea level pressure resembling the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) / Arctic Oscillation (AO), (representing a southward shift in the Atlantic storm track), wetter than average conditions for much of Europe, cold air outbreaks throughout the mid-latitudes, and
warmer than average conditions in eastern Canada and subtropical Asia (see figure below, left panel).
«And the
regional information is critical for climate forecasts and understanding future global
warming impacts.»
Blue - Action will through its concerted efforts therefore contribute to the improvement of climate models to represent Arctic
warming realistically and address its
impact on
regional and global atmospheric and oceanic circulation.
I'm alternately told by «skeptics» (1) it's
regional impact that's important, (2) it's global data that's more important, (3) there is no such thing as «global temperatures,» (4) «skeptics» are not monolithic, (5) «skeptics» don't doubt that global temperatures are
warming (and that it is to some extent influenced by AC02), or alternately «we dismiss non-Global data), (6) all methodologyies used to determine global temps are unreliable, (7) global
warming has stopped, (8) we're experiencing global cooling, (9) what matters is long term trends, (10) short - term trends are significant, (11) what's happening in Arctic isn't important (because it's
regional), (12) what's happening in the Antarctic is important (despite it being
regional).
Black carbon (BC) and tropospheric ozone strongly
impact regional as well as global
warming.
«This, despite 2015 being (called) the «
warmest year on record» and the
regional impacts of a strong El Nino — which can be both negative and positive in terms of disasters.»
The Arctic's diminishing sea ice, thawing permafrost, and melting ice sheets and glaciers are amplifying both
regional and global climate
warming, as well as intensifying the
impacts.
«We analyzed the climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment Report, focusing on the projected
impacts at 1.5 C and 2 C
warming at the
regional level.
Note that I am not saying that
warming has not taken place just that it is not global — BEST admits that 30 % of the stations have cooled and that is true of severla of therse long term stations — but that we should concentrate on finding a useful set of temperature trends in
regional and zonal areas that reflect the
impacts of climate change, as for example the Sahel, and understand the true reasons without assuming carbon dioxide to be the culprit.
Modeled
regional and global climate responses to simulated (107, 110, 111) and reconstructed historical land cover changes over the past century (112) and millennium (113) generally agree that anthropogenic deforestation drives biogeophysical cooling at higher latitudes and
warming in low latitudes and suggest that biogeochemical
impacts tend to exceed biogeophysical effects (113).
Although the authors don't doubt that anthropogenic
warming is happening, they caution that the droughts don't seem to be one of its
impacts, a fact that could affect
regional forecasting efforts.
While the window for global decisive action is rapidly closing, climate scientists should not make careless promises about their ability to reduce uncertainties in climate scenarios over the next few years, and thereby provide our governments with excuses to shun their responsabilities until they know more detail about how fast and adverse their
regional impacts of global
warming will be (compared to those in other countries).
[82] Future
warming is projected to have a range of
impacts, including sea level rise, [83] increased frequencies and severities of some extreme weather events, [83] loss of biodiversity, [84] and
regional changes in agricultural productivity.
The abstract to this 2010 paper, including Jones, http://www.springerlink.com/content/kr5w2616551w7810/ explicitly states: «Although
impacts of UHIs on the absolute annual and seasonal temperature are identified, UHI contributions to the long - term trends are less than 10 % of the
regional total
warming during the period.»
My favorite quote from that paper is: «Because ENSO is the dominant mode of climate variability at interannual time scales, the lack of consistency in the model predictions of the response of ENSO to global
warming currently limits our confidence in using these predictions to address adaptive societal concerns, such as
regional impacts or extremes (Joseph and Nigam 2006; Power et al. 2006).»
An alternative approach uses simple climate model projections of global
warming under stabilisation to scale AOGCM patterns of climate change assuming unmitigated emissions, and then uses the resulting scenarios to assess
regional impacts (e.g., Bakkenes et al., 2006).