Sentences with phrase «regression to the mean from»

Even factoring in regression to the mean from certain players, this team looks really fucking good.

Not exact matches

With so many cheap stocks to choose from in 2009, even value managers who didn't want to buy financials could easily build a portfolio full of cheap stocks and wait for regression to the mean.
From what has gone before, the meaning of «its own realization» is obviously a part of what has been characterized as «ideal» realization, which was seen to be linked to conceptual regression (cf. PR 87 / 134).
A home - heavy schedule, excellent basketball by Bradley prior to an enormous regression to the mean, excellent basketball from Tobias before a similar but substantially smaller regression, hot shooting by Tolliver, Ish (for him) and Galloway, an offense that opponents hadn't already totally figured out, and overall solid health (sans perhaps Bradley's pre-absence groin injury, which was of unspecified severity).
But considering how poor this unit was for much of the year, we'll assume improvement, from a progression - to - the - mean standpoint, is more likely than regression.
We also estimated relative indices of inequality (RII) and slope indices of inequality (SII) as summary measures of relative and absolute inequalities of breastfeeding outcomes, respectively, across the entire distribution of maternal education.24 For child IQ, linear regression analyses using GEEs were performed to estimate mean IQ differences in lower maternal education from the reference category in each intervention group and compared between the groups.
These coefficients differ from the mean special education rates in Figure 1 because they refer to differences from the mean for whites, the excluded group in the regressions.
Thus in math there seems to be no effect from regression to the mean.
If we used «vehicles» to move gravel from point A to point B... and we calculated an effect size on vehicles... we suffer from «regression towards the mean»; the child's wagon will look more powerful than it is (a higher effect size) and the 5 ton truck will look worse (a lower effect size).
Based on recent information provided by the Accountability Technical Advisory Committee's (TAC) recommendations to ISBE, it is likely that ISBE will move away from linear regression toward Student Growth Percentiles (SGPs) as a means to measure student growth under the new school improvement and accountability system.
Those uncertainties were from the OLS regression fitting to the mean reconstructions.
I have linearly extended the ensemble mean model values for the post 2003 period (using a regression from 1993 - 2002) to get a rough sense of where those runs might have gone.
As it is, a forcast for 2005 based on OLS regression for 1988 to 2006 has a mean of 0.61 C with a 95 % CI from 0.37 C to 0.84 C.
Whether linear or curvilinear correlations, and regardless of the regression method, or outlier elimination process for values in a data set + / - 3 s.d.'s from the mean, error analysis and going back to raw data are essential procedures.
Their approach requires an estimate of the forced global mean temperature in a given year (excluding any natural variability), which are derived from Otto et al (2015), who employ a regression approach to reconstruct a prediction of global mean temperatures as a function of anthropogenic and natural forcing agents.
Anyway, the change from the usual certainty level also means — I'm estimating here — that the coefficient of the regression associated with time is estimated at 0.5 W - 2 with a 95 % chance of being anywhere in the interval -(some - number) to one - point - something Wm - 2.
They draw a line on a graph showing the rate of warming from that unnatural peak in 1998 to now, and make it look like warming has continued at a steady pace, and not accelerated as expected (an argument that would fail any Statistics 101 class, as it ignores «regression to the mean»).
Then we add / subtract this scaled interannual regression map to / from the anthropogenically - forced component of the trend over the next 30 years, the latter estimated from the ensemble - mean of the CESM - LE (Fig. 8) or the ensemble - mean of the 38 CMIP5 models (Fig. 9).
Hamilton, 4.0 + / - 0.3, Statistical A simple regression model for NSIDC mean September extent as a function of mean daily sea ice area from August 1 to 5, 2012 (and a quadratic function of time) predicts a mean September 2012 extent of 4.02 million km2, with a confidence interval of plus or minus.32.
The data is annual data from 1955 to 1995, with a mean of 23.025 C, a Standard Deviation of 0.2981 C, and a trend of 0.05 + / - 0.08 C / 10 years, as determined by simple linear regression.
This range is constructed by computing the standard deviation (σ) of the 40 regression values at each grid box for each variable (SLP, SAT and P) based on detrended data during 1920 — 2012, and subtracting / adding these values (multiplied by two) from / to the ensemble mean regression value.
If we have, indeed, only had polar ice for 20 % of the last 6 - million years (from Ian Plimer), then regression - to - the - mean dictates betting on «up» would likely yield better odds at times when we have ice caps to ponder.
We also carried out analyses to examine the effect of potential influence of regression to the mean arising from the fact that high injury numbers might have been a factor in the decision to implement a 20 mph zone in some areas.
We implemented unadjusted and adjusted analyses (potential prognostic factors listed in table 2) of the outcomes (all quantitative) by using random effects linear regression models fitted by maximum likelihood estimation to allow for the correlation between the responses of participants from the same maternal and child health centre.29 We present means and standard deviations for each trial arm, along with the mean difference between arms, 95 % confidence intervals, and P values.
Our results might be partly attributable to regression to the mean and / or to improvement in scores resulting from expected maturational change.26 Such effects, however, would have been expected to be maximal during the first six months of the trial, and the further improvement in control group scores after six months was therefore unexpected.
Effect sizes for combining results are within treatment and therefore inflated by sources of bias (eg, type I error of diagnosis, regression to the mean, and improvements not from therapy).
A decomposition methodology examined the contribution from different sources in explaining the SES gradient in early cognitive outcomes.34 Similar to the methodology used in the UK Millennium Cohort Study, we focus on the quintile 1 — quintile 5 (Q1 — Q5) and quintile 1 — quintile 3 (Q1 — Q3) gaps and calculate the percentile points and the percentage of the raw gaps explained by each candidate explanatory factor and each domain of factors.2 This was done by taking the product of the mean gap in each explanatory factor (mean difference between Q1 — Q5 and Q1 — Q3) by the β coefficients from linear regression models that predict reading and math ability from SES and all candidate explanatory factors.
Probit regression coefficients range from − 1 to 1: 1 - point increases in predictors equate to increases in the outcome z score (SDs above the mean) at the magnitude of the regression coefficient.
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