As a result, it's
the relative valuation between the two choices that matter because it's the relative risk - premium spread that drives much of investors decision making (whether they're conscious of it or not).
Ex-Fed Chairman Greenspan's favorite way of measuring
relative valuation between Stocks and Bond is the Earnings - Yield to Bond - Yield ratio.
The relative valuation between value and growth indices remains pretty extreme — within the widest quintile versus history, see chart below.
Interestingly, when
the relative valuations between the U.S. and Canada fall to these levels (using data since 1987), we find that Canadian stocks have tended to hold up pretty well relative to U.S. stocks over the following year (see the chart below).
Interestingly, when
the relative valuations between the U.S. and Canada fall to these levels (using data since 1987), we find that Canadian stocks have tended to hold up pretty well relative to U.S. stocks over the following year (see the chart below).
Down markets have a way of changing
relative valuations between stocks, industries and geographies.
Not exact matches
Sack and Elsasser attribute the low
relative valuation of TIIS over this period to several factors: investor difficulty adjusting to a new asset class, divergent supply trends
between TIIS and nominal Treasuries, and the lower liquidity of indexed debt.
The HFRI
Relative Value (Total) Index is managed by maintaining positions in which the investment thesis is predicated on realization of a
valuation discrepancy in the relationship
between multiple securities.
Accordingly, the main strategic difference
between «post-war» and «credit - strained» criteria is that
valuations take a larger role
relative to market action in a deleveraging cycle.
In general, they may seek to take advantage of market inefficiencies such as pricing differences and
relative discrepancies
between securities such as stocks and bonds, technical market movements, deep fundamental
valuation analysis, and other quantifiable trends and / or inconsistencies.
HFRI
Relative Value Index maintains positions in which the investment thesis is predicated on realization of a
valuation discrepancy in the relationship
between multiple securities.
A
valuation metric for determining the
relative trade - off
between the price of a stock, earnings generated per share (EPS), dividend yield and the company's expected growth.
It is this divergence -
between the
relative valuation of large and small companies - that looks unusually wide.
Valuation differences
between large and small - cap stocks lead
relative returns William Hester, CFA July 2006 All rights reserved and actively enforced.
We call this the «wedge,» the manifest spreading of the difference
between the blue
relative - performance line and the green
relative -
valuation line.
Yet even for momentum we observe correlations
between current
valuation and future one - year
relative returns at a highly significant 1 % level for aggregate
valuations and at a 5 % level using P / B
valuation.
Almost all of the factors and smart beta strategies exhibit a negative relationship
between starting
valuation and subsequent performance whether we use the aggregate measure or P / B to define
relative valuation.9 Out of 192 tests shown here, not a single test has the «wrong» sign: in every case, the cheaper the factor or strategy gets,
relative to its historical average, the more likely it is to deliver positive performance.10 For most factors and strategies (two - thirds of the 192 tests) the relationship holds with statistical significance for horizons ranging from one month to five years and using both
valuation measures (44 % of these results are significant at the 1 % level).
It might seem that a 3 - to - 1 ratio
between the
valuation of growth
relative to value is a big spread, but it's not; the spread averages closer to 5 to 1.
In this article, we present evidence that the relationship
between current
relative valuation and subsequent performance for both factors and smart beta strategies is robust over horizons shorter than five years and using
valuation measures other than price - to - book (P / B) ratio.
The dashed line shows the regression fit
between the two; a lower starting
valuation for value
relative to growth strongly correlates with higher subsequent five - year performance.
The performance of an exchange - traded fund may vary from the market index it attempts to replicate due to market volatility, transaction costs,
valuation differences, differences
between the assets held in the exchange - traded fund's portfolio
relative to the market index, and other factors.
While return dispersion is low, dispersion of
valuations remains relatively wide by historical standards... Furthermore, there has been a strong relationship
between valuation spreads and subsequent outperformance of value stocks (
relative to glamour stocks).
The foundation believes borrowers should understand the differences
between the
valuation products they may receive before closing on a home loan and the
relative reliability and applicability of each product.