On the contrary, SW - CRF in the MIROC3 - AS and NCAR - A are not reliable (Table 4), and the changes in SW - CRF is responsible for
relatively high climate sensitivity in the MIROC3.2 SME (Y10) and relatively low climate sensitivity in the standard NCAR CAM3 (e.g. Yokohata et al. 2008).
On the other hand, in the SMEs with
relatively high climate sensitivity (about 4 — 10 K), or the SMEs with relatively low climate sensitivity (about 2 — 3 K) compared to the studies in the literature, SW and LW radiation and cloud radiative forcing are not reliable.
The BEST team also found that the observed warming is consistent with an equilibrium climate sensitivity of 3.1 ± 0.3 °C for CO2 doubling, in line with the IPCC climate sensitivity range, and demonstrates once again that contrary to the persistent claims of Richard Lindzen, the Earth has warmed as much as we expect given
a relatively high climate sensitivity.
(c) Our current climate models can not replicate
the relatively high climate sensitivities, and Arctic Amplifications, of Super Interglacial periods, which are most relevant to our future in 2100;
Not exact matches
When the scientists compared the output of
climate models with a decade of satellite measurements of relative humidity, they found that the models that best reproduced observed conditions were built on the premise that
climate sensitivity is
relatively high — 7 degrees F or more.
As a result, a bigger worry is that there has been
higher levels of negative forcing masking much of our AGW and the warming we see so far is associated with
relatively low levels of net positive forcing coupled with a
high climate sensitivity.
The «flaw» of low - ECS
climate model studies may not be so much in aerosols, the NASA study suggests, as the effective radiative forcing scenario (with
high climate sensitivity) is accompanied with
relatively low value for aerosol efficacy:
If the model Curry and colleagues discussed had incorporated the latest ocean heat content data, their
relatively low best estimate for
climate sensitivity would have been more in line with previously reported,
higher estimates.
The 95 percent confidence range in this study was between about 1 and 7 °C equilibrium
sensitivity, so very low and very
high climate sensitivities could not be ruled out, but are
relatively unlikely, based on the historical record.
On the contrary, the authors stated that to show the robustness of the main conclusion of the paper — a
relatively small equilibrium
climate sensitivity — they deliberately adopted the regression model that gave the
highest climate sensitivity.
Indicating that models with low
climate sensitivity require a
relatively higher total anthropogenic forcing than models with
higher climate sensitivity...
A world with a
relatively low
climate sensitivity — say in the range of 2 C — but with
high emissions and with atmospheric concentrations three to four times those of pre-industrial levels is still probably a far different planet than the one we humans have become accustomed to.
The range of
climate sensitivity obtained by a HadSM3 SME is similar to that of the CMIP3 MME, at about 2 — 5 K (Webb et al. 2006, Randall et al. 2007), while that of another SME, using MIROC (K - 1 Model Developers 2004) is
relatively high (about 4 — 10 K, Annan et al. 2005a), and that of NCAR CAM (Collins et al. 2006b) is
relatively low (about 2 — 3 K, Jackson et al. 2008; Sanderson 2011).
On the other hand, the SMEs with
relatively narrow distribution, such as the MIROC3 - AS and NCAR - A tend to have
climate sensitivity that is either
relatively high (MIROC3.2: 3.7 — 9.8 K for 2 - sigma, Y10), or
relatively low (NCAR CAM3: 2.2 — 3.2 K, Sanderson 2011).
Although the
climate sensitivity of MIROC3.2 is
relatively high compared to other CMIP3 models at 4.0 K (Yokohata et al. 2008), that of MIROC5 is substantially lower at 2.6 K (Watanabe et al. 2010).