Here, we see that Steve McIntyre is able to make
reliable predictions of a climate scientist's actions using the simple prediction heuristic «if the study does not end up getting published, it means that the results did not support the catastrophic man - made global warming proposition.»
They do not provide
reliable predictions of future climate.
Lenders want
reliable predictions of future behavior.
Decision - and policy - makers and stakeholders are increasingly asking for
reliable predictions of extremes on time scales from days to seasons to centuries.
Whilst this is an important step towards
reliable prediction of volcanic eruptions, a number of challenges still exist.
Not exact matches
The stock market,
of course, is no
reliable oracle — its
prediction for the presidential election turned out to be wrong.
While each piece
of such information is too weak to produce a
reliable prediction, when tens, hundreds, or thousands
of individual data points are combined, the resulting
predictions become really accurate.
Utilizing the services
of a
reliable signal provider can provide you with the ability to make acute trade
predictions as well as to have the ability to access the latest signals via email, SMS, or online platforms which provide you with the ability to quickly place a trade on those signals.
The website, created by physicists Anthony Aguirre and Gregory Laughlin
of the University
of California, Santa Cruz, along with former postdoc Max Wainwright, is an experiment to test whether our pooled instincts can produce
reliable predictions.
The researchers expect that the new equations will be a basis for formulating more
reliable and efficient
predictions of the usable lifetime
of materials in nuclear reactors and other environments with high levels
of ionizing radiation.
The approach, which was validated in well - known contexts, can now be used for more
reliable protein structure
predictions as well as to shed light on the functional implications
of structural domains.
PET scans which use fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) as a tracer can be used for neuronal loss, and are useful when a
reliable short - term
prediction of cognitive decline is needed.
All
of this scientific effort is being driven by Dr. Mahalingam's quest for
reliable, scientific computerized fire
prediction.
The researchers were able to develop a simple approach for
reliable real - time tracking and
prediction of viral evolution based on whole - genome sequences
of influenza viruses.
Now, the team
of Frédéric Guillaume
of the Department
of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Sciences
of the University
of Zurich, in cooperation with research groups from Grenoble and Vienna, has developed a new model that takes eco-evolutionary mechanisms into consideration, therefore permitting more
reliable predictions.
Woodworth couldn't find any evidence to support the proposed sea level fall posited by Mörner and concludes that the IPCC's
prediction remains the most
reliable scenario for to the future
of the Maldives.
Funny thing, tho... the La Nina
prediction is still very questionable, with most models NOT predicting a La Nina, according to the Australians: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ In fact, we're still outside the window
of reliable ENSO predictability — not that any press articles mentioned that.
Soluble methods are not
reliable when building a general
prediction method because they do not address potential membrane spanning regions
of a protein.
We reason that if all tissues predict consistently very similar PMIs, the
prediction of the PMI for the individual is more
reliable than if the tissue PMI
predictions are very variable across tissues.
Even with the best numerical model
of ice flow available, if the data going into it is not accurate, then the
predictions will not be
reliable.
To assess the consistency
of the tissue PMI
prediction for a given individual we compute the coefficient
of variation (cv), lower values thus indicating more
reliable predictions.
In contrast, the OvaCue technology provides a
reliable ovulation
prediction method for trying - to - conceive women with irregular cycles (as well as women with regular cycles,
of course).
The documentary, Return
of the Plagues, follows individual researchers in Germany, Austria, and Colorado who are trying to determine the conditions that cause these disasters, laying the groundwork for possibly controlling them in the future, or at least making more
reliable predictions.
CAPTAIN PHILLIPS»S Best Adapted Screenplay win proves less
of a
reliable prediction for the Academy Awards, as its biggest contender in this category, 12 YEARS A SLAVE, was not eligible for the WGA award.
For an indicator to be
reliable, it should yield accurate
predictions nearly all, or at least most,
of the time.
Success would be much easier if you could simply find a
reliable source
of market
predictions.
The science
of market
prediction is as
reliable as astrology.
It should be pointed out that not many trading systems can make sure term price
predictions with that kind
of degree
of accuracy, many traditional trading systems are much less
reliable but overcome their unreliability through proper risk management.
The CMHC also offers a projected GDP growth for each
of the top 35 cities in Canada, but since no
prediction is 100 %
reliable we give this variable a slightly lower weighting.
When all is said and done, results
of questionnaires or survey can not be used to make
reliable predictions.
There is a tremendous amount
of genetic variability within every breed — so much so that it's not possible to make any
reliable predictions about behavior based solely on breed identification.
they are saying that extrapolation
of complex non-linear systems using straight lines (or sigmoids etc.) are not
reliable methods
of prediction.
We apparently agree that
predictions about regional climate are not yet that
reliable (again, moderators, correct me if I'm mistaken), but disagree here on how to weigh this in terms
of where the science is.
And about as robust and
reliable as Gypsy Rose Lee's
predictions of meeting a tall dark stranger.......................
A Global Climate Model (GCM) can provide
reliable prediction information on scales
of around 1000 by 1000 km covering what could be a vastly differing landscape (from very mountainous to flat coastal plains for example) with greatly varying potential for floods, droughts or other extreme events.
When
reliable direct observations are not available, but theories produce plausible
predictions, the most prudent approach is to take advantage
of the theories doing it objectively and taking great effort to avoid biases that could seriously affect the outcome.
This suggests that ongoing improvements in model formulation driven primarily by the needs
of weather forecasting may lead also to more
reliable climate
predictions.
While CAGW
predictions fail to materialize and mis - guided nations and leaders continue to focus on beneficial warming as if it's the end
of the world and ignore reality, the push for renewables like solar / wind, will end up making our power grid unstable - leaving millions without
reliable power during the times when they'll need it the most - ie., during very cold winters.
Their use leads to less
reliable predictions because
of restriction
of fewer observations.
She presented different diagrams to illustrate the concept
of forecast reliability, ranging from a perfectly
reliable prediction to a non-
reliable one.
For any statistical forecasting model, a large number
of observations are necessary to get
reliable predictions.
But also here, RCMs can be
of great help, not necessarily by providing
reliable predictions, but also by supporting evidence about the salience
of planned measures or policies (Berkhout et al, 2013).
Your readers do need a source
of reliable information about whether ANY substantial observational evidence confirms the
predictions of climate models.
• The readiness
of the nation to predict and avoid public and occupational health problems caused by heat waves and severe storms • Characterization and quantification
of relationships between climate variability, health outcomes, and the main determinants
of vulnerability within and between populations • Development
of reliable methods to connect climate - related changes in food systems and water supplies to health under different conditions •
Prediction of future risks in response to climate change scenarios and
of reductions in the baseline level
of morbidity, mortality, or vulnerability • Identification
of the available resources, limitations
of, and potential actions by the current U.S. health care system to prevent, prepare for, and respond to climate - related health hazards and to build adaptive capacity among vulnerable segments
of the U.S. population
Because the alleged IPCC «consensus» is so widely trusted, many climate scientists who haven't studied man - made global warming theory or the
predictions of the computer models assume that they must be
reliable merely «because the IPCC says so», rather than checking for themselves.
• Can a system with hundreds
of interacting feedbacks
of different scopes and time scales really be modeled and drive
reliable predictions?
We believe that more accurate and
reliable weather
predictions will be
of tremendous benefit to society, in everything from people being able to make better day - to - day plans to improved agricultural planning to being better able to predict and cope with extreme weather disasters.
Finally, some recommendations for future progress towards more confident and
reliable predictions in the face
of uncertainty are considered.»
In other words, weather really isn't a
reliable indicator
of long - term climate trends — but that isn't going to stop Walsh and his ilk from making sweeping
predictions and (which is much more important) insisting upon sweeping policy changes just in case they turn out to be right one
of these millennia.
``... the credibility
of these computer model
predictions took a significant hit in June 2007 when Dr. Jim Renwick, a top UN IPCC scientist, admitted that climate models do not account for half the variability in nature and thus are not
reliable.