This may not be palatable to fixed income investors, especially those who
rely on their bond portfolio as a source of relative safety and stability.
Not exact matches
She
relies on a database of 1,000 simulations of future returns to conclude that, 75 years from now, a Social Security trust fund
portfolio that includes stocks will produce a healthy ratio of assets to benefits, while a trust fund consisting of only
bonds will be completely exhausted.
Given those durations, an investor with 15 - 20 years to invest could literally plow their entire
portfolio into stocks and long - term
bonds, in expectation of very high long - term returns, with the additional comfort that their financial security did not
rely on the direction of the markets, thanks to the ability to reinvest generous coupon payments and dividends.
I've used John Hussman's method of estimating expected returns for stocks (using a simplified version the model that
relies on just the CAPE ratio) and the beginning
bond yield for the expected return for the
bond portion of the
portfolio.
We'll
rely on equities and property to keep us ahead of inflation over the long - term and look into more short - term conventional
bond funds as our model
portfolio's time horizon ticks down.2
If your
portfolio is well diversified with assets that tend to perform differently from each other — international stocks, small company stocks, large company stocks,
bonds and real estate — then when one asset class is losing value, you can
rely on holdings in another asset class that are more stable or perhaps increasing in value.
With that sort of disparity, many retirees prefer to go with the higher fixed payment and
rely on draws from savings invested in a diversified
portfolio of stocks and
bonds to prevent inflation from eroding their purchasing power.
I
rely on them for stock,
bond, mutual fund and ETF analysis and to adjust my
portfolios accordingly.
The debt portion provides the safety to the
portfolio where it
relies on bonds to bring in more certainty.
In which case you can
rely on your
portfolio of stock and
bond funds for any income needs beyond what Social Security provides.
Besides, even if
bond yields do rise, as they will eventually, you'll still be
relying mostly
on the stocks in your
portfolio for long - term growth.
«Investors who
rely on bond products to keep them safe and provide a reasonable rate of return could be very disappointed for many years,» explains Miles Clyne, a
portfolio manager with the Tycuda Group at MacDougall Investment Counsel Inc. in Langley, B.C. Current low interest rates and the impact of rising rates in the future, are «foretelling a not - so - pretty picture.»
I've used John Hussman's method of estimating expected returns for stocks (using a simplified version the model that
relies on just the CAPE ratio) and the beginning
bond yield for the expected return for the
bond portion of the
portfolio.
If you
rely solely
on a
portfolio of stocks and
bonds for retirement income, you have to set a conservative withdrawal rate in case markets perform unusually poorly or you live exceptionally long (or both).
And while small business owners may be tempted to
rely on the success of their business as their sole source of income and retirement savings or only diversify their
portfolios among stocks and
bonds, there are other options they should consider to secure their retirement savings in today's market.
As an investor gets older they will need to
rely on their investment
portfolio for a steady income, which is where a higher allocation to
bonds comes into play.