She said: «But it is my judgment that the lower level of the unemployment rate today probably does not fully capture the extent of slack
remaining in the labor market — in other words, how far away we are from a full - employment economy.»
But the prescription offered by the Taylor rule changes significantly if one instead assumes, as I do, that appreciable slack still
remains in the labor market, and that the economy's equilibrium real federal funds rate — that is, the real rate consistent with the economy achieving maximum employment and price stability over the medium term — is currently quite low by historical standards.
Its elevated level suggests that slack
remains in the labor market that could prevent wages from breaking out.
Not exact matches
Claims had fallen to 229,000
in the prior week, near a 44-1/2 - year low, and
remain well below the 300,000 level generally regarded as signaling a healthy
labor market.
«With gasoline prices
remaining low (providing a huge windfall to U.S. consumers), confidence sky - high and the buoyancy
in labor market activity likely to bolster household income, we expect consumer spending activity to rebound strongly
in the coming months,» Mulraine said.
«We will know the
labor market is getting tight when we do see a more meaningful upward move
in wages,» Powell said
in response to a reporter's question as to whether he was satisfied with the pace of wage growth, which
remains lackluster by most accounts.
If the economy were to grow at the pace I discussed earlier, this would likely translate into sufficient job gains to continue to remove any
remaining slack
in the
labor market — which, by my assessment, is already operating quite close to a level that is consistent with what is achievable on a sustainable basis.
But even 150,000 job gains per month would be consistent with gradually using up any
remaining slack present
in the U.S.
labor market.
The economists did offer some caveats to their view, adding that risk - reward tradeoffs don't necessarily look attractive, valuations
remain high — particularly
in U.S. high - yield credit — and there's a growing risk of an overheated
labor market and recession down the road.
In other words, the links in the chain that go from a tight labor market, to faster wage growth, to faster inflation, remain uniquely wea
In other words, the links
in the chain that go from a tight labor market, to faster wage growth, to faster inflation, remain uniquely wea
in the chain that go from a tight
labor market, to faster wage growth, to faster inflation,
remain uniquely weak.
If that doesn't happen, the extent to which wage inequality
remains embedded
in our economy and
labor market means that these recent gains are likely be short - lived.
Labor market reforms have expanded the workforce
in Japan, helping explain why wage growth
remains limited even with the country's unemployment rate at three - decade lows.
This reflects the fact that, while value is hard to find
in the current
market — be it
in stocks, bonds or cash — there are positive underpinnings: earnings have improved, the
labor market has been resilient, technology continues to drive improvement
in profitability, and monetary policy across the world
remains accommodative.
Unemployment data underlined the extent of the recovery
in labor markets, with the ratio of jobless workers falling to its lowest level since 2009, although around a tenth of the workforce still
remained out of work.
With an energy - related rebound
in inflation fading, signs of improving economic conditions need to be put into perspective, as the output gap across the region as a whole
remains large, and so does the slack
in its
labor market.
With an energy - related rebound
in inflation fading, signs of improving economic conditions need to be put into perspective — despite the strong performance of Germany, the bloc's largest economy — as the output gap across the region as a whole
remains large, and so does the slack
in its
labor market.
If growth
in America is accelerating, which it seems to be, and any
remaining slack
in the
labor markets is disappearing — and wages start going up, as do commodity prices — then it is not an unreasonable possibility that inflation could go higher than people might expect.
The central bank further affirmed that
labor market conditions
remained weak, that household spending was gaining just modestly, that investment
in nonresidential structures was still limited, and that the housing
market was staying depressed.
«The Committee
remains concerned that, without sufficient policy accommodation, economic growth might not be strong enough to generate sustained improvement
in labor market conditions,» the Federal Open Market Committee's statement
market conditions,» the Federal Open
Market Committee's statement
Market Committee's statement said.
In the announcement following this month's policy meeting, the Fed stuck mainly to its script, saying that spending is firming, the
labor market is stabilizing, and prices
remain muted.
But the longer - term story
in the
labor market remains one of strengths: The United States is creating jobs at an average of more than 250,000 a month.
With the favorable backdrop for US consumers supported by the robust
labor market and the ongoing strength of housing and stocks, we think fundamentals
remain in good shape.
The statement repeated that «with further gradual adjustments
in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace
in the medium term and
labor market conditions will
remain strong.»
The retirement age, pension cuts, privatizations and the government's intention to reinstate collective bargaining restrictions
in the
labor market are all areas where Greece and and its creditors
remain far apart, the official said.
They have also made some progress
in improving their international competitiveness, though there
remains an opportunity for further structural reforms
in labor and product
markets — and not just
in the periphery — to increase productivity and strengthen long term growth prospects.
Via Reihan Salam, Jed Graham argues that the
labor market faces some serious downside risks
in the coming year as a result of Obamacare regulations and taxes coming on line
in the while the economy
remains fragile.
Abstract: This article analyzes the impact of classroom characteristics and opportunity wages on four possible
labor market choices of teachers
in Florida:
remaining at their present school, switching schools within a school district, changing school districts, and leaving teaching.
Labor market conditions have improved
in recent months; the unemployment rate has declined but
remains elevated.
The Committee
remains concerned that, without sufficient policy accommodation, economic growth might not be strong enough to generate sustained improvement
in labor market conditions.
As the release stated, «
Labor market conditions have shown further improvement
in recent months, on balance, but the unemployment rate
remains elevated.
Labor market conditions have shown some improvement
in recent months, on balance, but the unemployment rate
remains elevated.
Recent indicators point to continuing weakness
in overall
labor market conditions, and the unemployment rate
remains elevated.
Inflation is expected to
remain low
in the near term,
in part because of earlier declines
in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of past declines
in energy and import prices dissipate and the
labor market strengthens further.
Inflation is expected to
remain low
in the near term,
in part because of earlier declines
in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of declines
in energy and import prices dissipate and the
labor market strengthens further.
The stance of monetary policy
remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening
in labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.
Inflation is anticipated to
remain near its recent low level
in the near term, but the Committee expects inflation to rise gradually toward 2 percent over the medium term as the
labor market improves further and the transitory effects of declines
in energy and import prices dissipate.
Inflation is anticipated to
remain near its recent low level
in the near term, but the Committee expects inflation to rise gradually toward 2 percent over the medium term as the
labor market improves further and the transitory effects of earlier declines
in energy and import prices dissipate.
Labor market conditions have shown signs of improvement
in recent months but the unemployment rate
remains elevated.
In the announcement following this month's policy meeting, the Fed stuck mainly to its script, saying that spending is firming, the
labor market is stabilizing, and prices
remain muted.
U.S. employers added a modest 103,000 jobs
in March after several months of robust gains, though the government's overall jobs report suggests that the
labor market remains fundamentally healthy.
Although builders are struggling with shortages of
labor and lots, as well as higher lumber prices,
market conditions on balance
remain favorable, and we expect solid growth
in the 55 - plus housing sector.»
Today, with most measures of the
labor market signaling full employment
in the U.S., wage growth has
remained weak.
«The stance of monetary policy
remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening
in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.»
«Consumers» assessment of the current state of the economy and
labor market remains tepid, and their outlook
remains cautious,» said Lynn Franco, director of Conference Board's consumer research center,
in a statement.
College - age population growth and subsequent enrollments are expected to
remain positive
in coming years and balanced with larger
labor market trends.
Hospitality fundamentals
remain healthy, buoyed by the robust
labor market and expanding economy, but this cyclical tailwind
remains the last pillar on which hospitality demand rests, as evidenced by the deceleration
in revenues.
«Though the main long - term drivers of housing activity
remain stalled — namely below average growth
in median household income,
labor force participation, bank lending and household formation — metro
markets continue to get a boost from pent - up demand caused by the low inventory that plagued housing for the past two years,» Redfin researchers note.
However, conditions
remain uneven, with strengthening
labor markets supporting solid price gains
in some member countries, notably Ireland, Spain and Germany, while other
markets, including France and Italy, continue to languish alongside a weaker economic recovery.
Although certainly an improvement from the depressed levels of 2009, until 1) the
labor market recovery gains any serious traction, 2) lending standards are less stringent and 3) the glut of distressed properties is worked off, gains
in homebuilding activity will
remain modest.
The stance of monetary policy
remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening
in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation,» according to a statement by the Fed.