Drought experiments, where a roof is built under the forest canopy to reduce rainfall, show that most forest trees survive a single year's intense drought, in agreement with the ground observations in the 2005 drought, but can't persist with
repeated years of drought.
Timothy Egan discusses his National Book Award winning work
of non-fiction, The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story
of Those Who Survived The Great American Dust Bowl; he talks about the people he interviewed, the trigger events that led up to the 10 -
year drought and whether history is likely to
repeat itself.
But was it not scientists, with their words printed in the Guardian,
repeated by policy - makers, which warned
of «Arctic death spirals»; «ice - free Arctic summers»; the proliferation
of disease; worsening, intensifying and increasing frequency
of storms, flood,
drought and fire; dramatic decreases in agricultural productivity in Africa; increased warming between 2009 - 14; the immanent demise
of Himalayan glaciers and the consequent denial
of water to over a billion people; The deaths
of 150,000 and then 300,000 people in the developing world each
year; and so on?
As noted in a commentary from Simon Lewis, University
of Leeds, «the critical question is how these forests respond to
repeated droughts, not merely single -
year droughts.»