Several organizations worldwide collect and
report global average temperature data for each month.
Meanwhile, NOAA researchers» assessment placed 2017 as the third warmest year,
reporting global average temperatures as 1.51 degrees F (0.84 degrees C) above average.
I simply explain that I do indeed deny CAGW, the accuracy of of climate models, the accuracy of
reported global average temperature records, and paleo proxies....
Not exact matches
A federal
report released in November 2016 laid out a strategy for the United States to «deeply decarbonize» its economy by 2050, and said that developing carbon dioxide removal techniques «may be necessary in the long run to constrain
global average temperature increases to well below 2 °C.»
Climate Central scientists and statisticians made these calculations based on an
average of
global temperature data
reported by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
A U.N. Environment Program
report released last week showed that, taken together, the NDCs only account for a third of the necessary emissions reductions needed to keep
global average temperatures from heating 2 degrees C above preindustrial levels.
A recent
report by two leading nonprofits, the Rocky Mountain Climate Organization and the Natural Resources Defense Council, details how the 11 U.S. western states together have experienced an increase in
average temperature during the last five years some 70 percent greater than the
global average rise.
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA — In the run - up to national elections on 21 August, the country's top science body, the Australian Academy of Science (AAS), has weighed in on the climate change debate with a
report backing the mainstream scientific view that human - induced climate change is real and that a business - as - usual approach to carbon emissions will lead to a «catastrophic» four - to five - degree increase in
average global temperatures.
Laaksonen and his colleagues did not try to predict how Finland's
temperatures will change in the coming decades, but according to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's latest
report, Arctic
temperatures are likely to continue rising faster than the
global average through the end of the 21st century.
Limiting increases in
global average temperatures to a 3.6 F target would require significant reductions in carbon pollution levels and ultimately eliminating net greenhouse gas emissions altogether, the
report says.
Considering all these factors, Smith and Mizrahi suggest that targeting methane and soot will cause
global average temperatures to be only 0.16 °C lower by 2050 than they would have been otherwise, the researchers
report today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
In November 2017, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced that the year was likely to rank second hottest, noting that
average global temperatures from January to September peaked above preindustrial levels by 1.98 degrees F (1.1 degrees C), Live Science previously
reported.
But
average global temperatures will increase dramatically if nations just sit and wait until then, concludes the
report, Redrawing the Energy - Climate Map.»
So the
report notes that the current «pause» in new
global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
The findings show a slight but notable increase in that
average temperature, putting a dent in the idea that
global warming has slowed over the past 15 years, a trend highlighted in the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
report.
As New Scientist has previously
reported, this means we are passing an ominous milestone, with
global surface
temperatures now more than 1 °C above the pre-industrial
average.
The State of the Climate November 2015
report noted that in order for 2015 to not become the warmest year in the 136 - year period of record, the December
global temperature would have to be at least 0.81 °C (1.46 °F) below the 20th century
average — or 0.24 °C (0.43 °F) colder than the current record low December
temperature of 1916.
The graphic displays monthly
global temperature data from the U.K. Met Office and charts how each month compares to the
average for the same period from 1850 - 1900, the same baselines used in the most recent
report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
The Fourth Assessment
Report finds that «Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in
global average air and ocean
temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising mean sea level.
The
report warns that cuts are needed in greenhouse gas emissions to keep an increase in
average global temperature below 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) by 2100.
In my experimentation with techniques to «showcase» the robustness of the
global -
average temperature results, I found that it is also important to show the actual number of stations
reporting data for each year.
The most recent
report concluded both, that
global temperatures are rising, that this is caused largely by human activities and, in addition, that for increases in
global average temperature, there are projected to be major changes in ecosystem structure and function with predominantly negative consequences for biodiversity and ecosystems, e.g. water and food supply.
According to the published
report, there is no longer a discrepancy in the rate of
global average temperature increase for the surface compared with higher levels in the atmosphere.
So, how should somewhat complex matters relating to
average global surface
temperature anomalies be
reported in the media?
According to the 2007 IPCC
Report, the
global average temperature could increase by 3 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100.
Figure 3 Comparison of
global temperature (
average over 5 data sets, including 2 satellite series) with the projections from the 3rd and 4 IPCC
reports.
Recognizes that warming of the climate system is unequivocal and that most of the observed increase in
global average temperatures since the mid twentieth century is very likely due to the increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations, as assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change in its Fourth Assessment
Report;
An Error In The Construction Of A Single
Global Average Surface
Temperature — / / tinyurl.com/2d3uf8 e, From Hall of Record: Emissions Already Affecting Climate,
Report Finds By JAMES KANTER and ANDREW C. REVKIN Published: April 6, 2007
«Another recent paper used a different NOAA ocean surface
temperature data set to find that since 2003 the
global average ocean surface
temperature has been rising at a rate that is an order of magnitude smaller than the rate of increase
reported in Karl's paper.»
In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment
Report stated a clear expert consensus that: «It is extremely likely [defined as 95 - 100 % certainty] that more than half of the observed increase in
global average surface
temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic [human - caused] increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»
Combined with the predictive equation which has matched 97 % with measured
average global temperatures since before 1900 this all looks like a steepening downtrend of
reported average global temperatures within a few months and accelerated increase of «months without warming».
A 2008
report commissioned by WWF warned that if
global temperatures rise 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) above pre-industrial
averages, sea ice in the Southern Ocean could shrink by 10 to 15 percent.
But an April
report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change finds that the current trajectory would translate to a rise in
average global temperatures in the 3.7 - 4.8 degrees Celsius range (6.7 - 8.4 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of this century.
Such
reports could be on topics like climate change's influence on hurricanes, the so - called «pause» in the increase of
average global surface
temperatures or the climate implications of natural gas.
The Fifth Assessment
Report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)-- the world's leading climate science body — projected a number of scenarios, each plotting amounts of carbon emissions and the resulting future
global average temperatures.
They
report in the journal Climatic Change that, if humans continue to burn fossil fuels at an accelerating rate, and as
average global temperatures creep up by the predicted 4 °C above historic levels, then on the hottest days, between 10 % and 30 % of fully - loaded planes may have to remove fuel, cargo or passengers before they can take off: either that, or flights will have to be delayed to the cooler hours.
Proof that CO2 has no effect on climate and identification of the two factors that do cause
reported climate change (sunspot number is the only independent variable) are at http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com (now with 5 - year running -
average smoothing of measured
average global temperature (AGT), the near - perfect explanation of AGT since before 1900; R ^ 2 = 0.97 +).
This paper examines in detail the statement in the 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment
Report that «Most of the observed increase in
global average temperatures since the mid-twentieth century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations».
These facts were enough for an NAS panel, including Christy, to publish a
report Reconciling Observations of
Global Temperature Change which concluded that «Despite differences in temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 y
Temperature Change which concluded that «Despite differences in
temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 y
temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface
temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than
average for the past 100 years»
The economic constraint on environmental action can easily be seen by looking at what is widely regarded as the most far - reaching establishment attempt to date to deal with The Economics of Climate Change in the form of a massive study issued in 2007 under that title, commissioned by the UK Treasury Office.7 Subtitled the Stern Review after the
report's principal author Nicholas Stern, a former chief economist of the World Bank, it is widely viewed as the most important, and most progressive mainstream treatment of the economics of
global warming.8 The Stern Review focuses on the target level of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) concentration in the atmosphere necessary to stabilize
global average temperature at no more than 3 °C (5.4 °F) over pre-industrial levels.
This is the standard source used in most journalistic
reporting of
global average temperatures.
Identification of the two factors that do explain (R ^ 2 = 0.97 since before 1900)
reported average global temperature trajectory (sunspot number is the only independent variable) are at http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com
Requires the President, if the NAS
report finds that emission reduction targets are not on schedule or that
global actions will not maintain safe
global average surface
temperature and atmospheric GHG concentration thresholds, to submit a plan by July 1, 2015, to Congress identifying domestic and international actions that will achieve necessary additional GHG reductions.
As I mentioned previously, the recent IPCC
report has plenty of detractors and failed to mention the issue of melting methyl hydrates and methane emissions from melting permafrost, over strong objections, which the June, 2013 IEA - WEO follow - up climate change
report did include when it forecast a 3.6 - 5.3 degree Celsius jump in
average global temperatures by 2100.
Last week, a leaked draft
report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change showed
global average temperatures could be more than 2C above
average by 2100 and may reach 4.8 C.
As professional scientists, from students to senior professors, we uphold the findings of the IPCC Fourth Assessment
Report, which concludes that «Warming of the climate system is unequivocal» and that «Most of the observed increase in
global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations».
The
report chooses a scenario with 66 % probability of keeping the
average global surface
temperature rise throughout the 21st century to below 2C.
The «real»
average global temperature may be a little above or below the
reported value.
Since IPCC's first
report in 1990, assessed projections have suggested
global average temperature increases [at least, because of IPCC's accelerated warming claim] between about 0.15 °C and 0.3 °C per decade for 1995 to 2010.
-- In the event that the Administrator or the National Academy of Sciences has concluded, in the most recent
report submitted under section 705 or 706 respectively, that the United States will not achieve the necessary domestic greenhouse gas emissions reductions, or that
global actions will not maintain safe
global average surface
temperature and atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration thresholds, the President shall, not later than July 1, 2015, and every 4 years thereafter, submit to Congress a plan identifying domestic and international actions that will achieve necessary additional greenhouse gas reductions, including any recommendations for legislative action.