We can't wait until we get start getting hit with large hurricanes, experience even more severe blackouts and heat waves, or infestations
resulting from warmer climates for people to act responsibly when given the full picture.
The study, published in the journal Global Change Biology, examined the impacts of rising ocean temperatures, changes in salinity and currents
resulting from a warming climate.
Milder winters
resulting from a warming climate can reduce illness, injuries, and deaths associated with cold and snow.
For the sea of humanity that is increasingly feeing the changing conditions
resulting from a warmer climate brought on by anthropogenic interference, it is clear what must be done — reduce emissions dramatically in the developed countries.
Not exact matches
A couple of weeks later, our main
climate change page jumped
from around position 220 in the
results for the search phrase «global
warming» to around position 75.
Despite all these variables, scientists
from Svante Arrhenius to those on the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change have noted that doubling preindustrial concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere
from 280 parts per million (ppm) would likely
result in a world with average temperatures roughly 3 degrees C
warmer.
Driven by stronger winds
resulting from climate change, ocean waters in the Southern Ocean are mixing more powerfully, so that relatively
warm deep water rises to the surface and eats away at the underside of the ice.
These findings
from University of Melbourne Scientists at the ARC Centre of Excellence for
Climate System Science, reported in Nature
Climate Change, are the
result of research looking at how Australian extremes in heat, drought, precipitation and ocean
warming will change in a world 1.5 °C and 2 °C
warmer than pre-industrial conditions.
But the
warming that would
result from adding such large amounts of carbon to the
climate system would be much greater today than during the PETM and could reach up to 10 degrees.
Global
warming became big news for the first time during the hot summer of 1988 when now - retired NASA
climate scientist James Hansen testified before Congress that the trend was not part of natural
climate variation, but rather the
result of emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gasses
from human activities.
One possible source is a 1938 study by pioneering
climate scientist Guy Callendar in which he predicted that doubling the global concentration of carbon dioxide
from pre-industrial levels would
result in around 2 °C of
warming.
The report, written and reviewed by leading U.S. scientists as part of the National
Climate Assessment, reinforces that
warming temperatures and extreme weather around the globe are «extremely likely» to be the
result of carbon pollution
from human activities.
But
results from a Canadian government
climate modeling study published last month suggest that «it is unlikely that
warming can be limited to the 2 ˚C target,» the scientists who wrote the study say.
The findings
from researchers at the University of Miami (UM) Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science provide new evidence that
climate change in the tropical Pacific will
result in changes in rainfall patterns in the region and amplify
warming near the equator in the future.
«The
result reverses understanding of solar cycle
climate effects,» which had been that the sun generally
warms the
climate on the way up
from minimum to maximum and generally cools the
climate on the way down
from maximum to minimum, explains atmospheric scientist Piers Forster of the University of Leeds in England.
This means that even relatively small marine - protected areas could be effective in protecting the top - level predators and allowing coral reefs to more fully recover
from coral bleaching or large cyclones which are increasing in frequency due to the
warming of the oceans as a
result of
climate change.
Climate change,
resulting in more frost - free days and
warmer seasonal air temperatures, can contribute to shifts in flowering time and pollen initiation
from allergenic plant species, and increased CO2 by itself can elevate production of plant - based allergens.137, 15,16,17,18,19,138 Higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons can increase allergic sensitizations and asthma episodes, 20,21,155,22 and diminish productive work and school days.138, 22,23
Because of the
climate record is still short, more work needs to be done to determine how much of the
warming results from natural
climate swings and how much
from the
warming effects of carbon dioxide released by the burning of fossil fuels, Dr. Steig said.
In addition, our deficient understanding of aerosol forcing also hinders our ability to use the modern temperature record to constrain the «
climate sensitivity» — the operative parameter in determining exactly how much
warming will
result from a given increase in CO2 concentration.
«If we assume an optimistic scenario for greenhouse gas emissions — the RCP 2.6 scenario, [see Fact Box] which would
result in a
warming of about two degrees Celsius — then we can expect an increase in sea level similar to what we see in this video,» says
climate modeller Martin Stendel
from the Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen.
-- 7) Forest models for Montana that account for changes in both
climate and
resulting vegetation distribution and patterns; 8) Models that account for interactions and feedbacks in
climate - related impacts to forests (e.g., changes in mortality
from both direct increases in
warming and increased fire risk as a
result of
warming); 9) Systems thinking and modeling regarding
climate effects on understory vegetation and interactions with forest trees; 10) Discussion of
climate effects on urban forests and impacts to cityscapes and livability; 11) Monitoring and time - series data to inform adaptive management efforts (i.e., to determine outcome of a management action and, based on that outcome, chart future course of action); 12) Detailed decision support systems to provide guidance for managing for adaptation.
If
climate change were to trigger large emissions of methane to the atmosphere
from these old carbon reservoirs, the
result would be even more
warming.
The latter is not equivalent to
climate change not playing a role, because such
results are obtained when the effect
from a
warmer atmosphere is in the opposite direction to the effect on the atmospheric circulation.
Extraction of the excess CO2
from the air in this case would be very expensive and perhaps implausible, and
warming of the ocean and
resulting climate impacts would be practically irreversible.
Global
climate change will occur as a
result of global
warming resulting from the greenhouse effect caused by the retention of heat in the lower atmosphere of the Earth caused by the concentration of gases of various kinds.
Just as many of the home runs hit by a baseball player on steroids were almost certainly due to the taking of steroids — even if you can't prove that any one home run
resulted from it — so too is it likely that the record - breaking heat we are seeing in the U.S. this summer of 2012 is very likely due, in substantial part, to the impact of human - caused
climate change and global
warming.
It is the
climate is more sensitive to the «
warming»
resulting from the GHGs.
Absorption of thermal radiation cools the thermal spectra of the earth as seen
from space, radiation emitted by de-excitation is what
results in the further
warming of the surface, and the surface continues to
warm until the rate at which energy is radiated
from the earth's
climate system (given the increased opacity of the atmosphere to longwave radiation) is equal to the rate at which energy enters it.
Model
results don't depend critically on resolution — the
climate sensitivity of the models is not a function of this in any obvious way, and the patterns of
warming seen in coarse resolution models
from the 1980s are very similar to those
from AR4 or the upcoming AR5 (~ 50 times more horizontal grid points).
The curves, displaying
results using both Goddard's temperature data and those
from the Hadley Center for
Climate Prediction in England, show a much smoother trend toward a
warmer world (with very clear drops associated with volcanic eruptions).
Gerald Marsh offered this opinion in «A Global
Warming Primer» (page 4 - excerpt) «Radiative forcing is defined as the change in net downward radiative flux at the tropopause
resulting from any process that acts as an external agent to the
climate system; it is generally measured in W / m2.
These
results suggest that sea surface temperature pattern - induced low cloud anomalies could have contributed to the period of reduced
warming between 1998 and 2013, and offer a physical explanation of why
climate sensitivities estimated
from recently observed trends are probably biased low 4.
We climatologists describe this in terms of the
climate sensitivity, the
warming that
results in equilibrium
from a doubling of CO2.
Here are some fresh thoughts on the enduring and important questions surrounding «
climate sensitivity» — how much
warming will
result from a substantial buildup of greenhouse gases.
In its own bizarre way, then, the rising noise level of
climate denial provides further evidence that global
warming resulting from human CO2 emissions is indeed a fact, however inconvenient it may be.
«The climatic forcings
resulting from such solar — terrestrial links may have had a significant impact on
climate prior to the onset of anthropogenic
warming».
For 15 years the prediction of
warming resulting from a doubling of CO2 has varied by 300 %
from 1.5 to 4.5 K. For 15 years the
climate modellers have been claiming it will take them 15 years to get the clouds and aerosols right.
The observed CO2 increase in the world ocean disproves another popular #fakenews piece of the «
climate skeptics»: namely that the CO2 increase in the atmosphere might have been caused by the outgassing of CO2
from the ocean as a
result of the
warming.
Thomas Lee Elifritz (# 70), you quote the authors: «The climatic forcings
resulting from such solar — terrestrial links may have had a significant impact on
climate prior to the onset of anthropogenic
warming».
As a
result, the partisan divide on the issue dropped
from 42.9 percentage points under a «global
warming» frame to 26.2 percentage points under a «
climate change» frame.
Looking at evidence
from past
climate swings and greenhouse - gas concentrations, he concludes that a sustained concentration of carbon dioxide at double the 280 parts per million that prevailed for hundreds of millenniums before the industrial revolution would — after a host of slowly - responding feedbacks kicked in to amplify the temperature rise —
result in an enormous
warming of some 11 degrees Fahrenheit (6 degrees Celsius).
The pace of ice loss — both its extent and the amount of the older, thicker ice that survives
from summer to summer — has been faster than most models predicted and clearly has, as a
result, unnerved some polar researchers by revealing how much is unknown about ice behavior in a
warming climate.
The take - home message, directly in sync with the core findings of the last two assessments
from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, can be distilled to a fairly straightforward statement: Rising concentrations of carbon dioxide will
result in long - lasting
warming that will progressively produce more harmful impacts on conditions and systems that influence human wellbeing.
Sadly, in recent years we have become accustomed to a ritual in which the publication of each new
result on anthropogenic
climate change is greeted by a flurry of activity
from industry - funded lobby groups, think tanks and PR professionals, who try to discredit the science and confuse the public about global
warming.
[Response: There is evidence that the enhanced continental winter
warming in the Northern Hemisphere, which has
resulted at least in part
from a recent trend towards the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO), may in fact also represent a response to anthropogenic impacts on
climate.
He works collaboratively with the Bren School and UC Santa Barbara to model
climate impacts on species in California, and with the National Botanical Institute in Cape Town, South Africa to model biotic change
resulting from global
warming in biodiversity hot spots in that region.
It is generally accepted that a
warmer climate will
result in more water evaporating
from the land and sea and therefore
resulting in a higher level of water in the atmosphere, partly because the
warmer the air is the more water it can hold.
Climate models suggest increasing frequency of, and greater damage
from, violent storms is the
result of global cooling, not
warming... and so on and so forth.
Comparing model predictions of GHG - induced
warming with recent natural temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made
climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change
resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.
The trend in the southern hemisphere shows a clearer
warming trend beginning around the turn of the century, but it is still very uneven.The size of the observed
warming is compatible with what
climate models suggest should have
resulted from past GHG emissions.