You can check this for yourself by writing down the trailing
return of a Couch Potato Building Block portfolio and then comparing it against the «Category Average» figures on the Morningstar website.
Not exact matches
sred: I track a couple
of couch potato portfolios — for smaller portfolios, I use the TD e-Series Index Funds and for larger portfolios I use low - cost, broad - market index funds and more diversification by adding real -
return bonds, REITs and emerging markets:
We usually recommend that
Couch Potato investors follow a classic balanced strategy, which consists
of putting 60 %
of your money in stocks and 40 % in bonds, but you may want to adjust the stock component upward if you're young and willing to take on additional risk in pursuit
of larger
returns.
Whether a dividend strategy can be expected to deliver higher
returns than the traditional
Couch Potato is debatable, but I recognize the intuitive appeal
of investing for income.
Assuming typical rates
of return, the money you would save by becoming a
Couch Potato would be more than enough to buy you a luxury car in 10 years» time even if you were never to invest another cent in your portfolio.
I've only used the two Global
Couch Potato returns, as they were closer to the median between the lowest and highest annualized rate
of returns for balanced equity portfolios over the last 10 years:
I recommend our Classic
Couch Potato Portfolio, which has the lowest fees going, and has produced an average annual
return of 11.8 % since 1976.
Applying a somewhat spicier approach to the original three - asset - class
Couch Potato portfolio, with annual changes, resulted in average annual
returns of 10.6 %.
Passive investors expect «annual
returns of 6 % to 8 % like clockwork» and therefore the Global
Couch Potato's recent 10 - year performance was «somewhat lower than advertised.»
Two core funds in the Complete
Couch Potato are the Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) and the Vanguard Total International Stock (VXUS), and last year these funds delivered
returns of 16.40 % and 18.22 % respectively.
The recent performance
of my model portfolios has been excellent: in 2013, the humble Global
Couch Potato returned more than 15 %, and over the last five years, a balanced index portfolio could easily have achieved 10 % annualized
returns.
The iShares DEX Universe Bond Index Fund (XBB), which makes up 30 %
of the Complete
Couch Potato, has
returned 7.20 % on the year (all figures as
of September 30).
John also ran the same simulation with the trusty old Global
Couch Potato — which includes just three or four funds — and the results fell right in the middle: an annualized
return of 6.40 %.
It contains a proven strategy for achieving outstanding
returns, and the advisor has agreed to share it with readers
of Canadian
Couch Potato: Recently, a small group
of investors has unlocked the secret to investing success.
Just shy
of two years ago — in October 2011 — I wrote a post that laid out the year - to - date
returns for the Complete
Couch Potato portfolio.
But the market has exploded to include dozens
of new products that have nothing to do with
Couch Potato investing: some add leverage (which doubles your potential
returns, but also your potential losses), promise inverse
returns (they go up when the assets they track go down), while others are actively managed.
The classic Global
Couch Potato portfolio provided healthy average annual
returns of 10.0 % from the start
of 1981 through 2015, assuming the portfolio's four indexes were rebalanced back to equal dollar amounts each month instead
of annually.
A simple
Couch Potato portfolio
of 40 % bonds and 60 % equities (split evenly between Canadian, U.S. and international stocks) did, in fact,
return between 6 % and 7 % annually over the last 10 - and 20 - year periods.
@Canadian
Couch Potato: Since I reported VEA and VWO index
returns in USD terms, the loss in value
of CAD against the USD helped in cushioning the drops in US dollar terms for the Canadian investor.
The article she refers to included stats that showed the Classic
Couch Potato portfolio would have had an annualized
returns of 11.8 % from 1976 through 2006.
If you deduct fees from your
return assumptions, you're probably still in the ballpark
of a 4 % withdrawal rate if you use low - cost index funds and follow a disciplined
Couch Potato approach.
Have you done any comparisons
of returns compared to those in the MoneySense
Couch Potato portfolios?
Investment performance figures for the Classic
Couch Potato Portfolio by annual nominal value, annualized rate
of return and annual
return.
«I know it's a more aggressive form
of the
couch potato, but I looked at historical investment
returns and because I'm younger, I know I can take on more risk,» says Rousseau.
Up until I read about the buzz around Vanguard and it's lower MERs, I was planning on investing all
of our money in the Complete
Couch Potato portfolio as suggested in the 2011 Edition
of the MoneySense Guide To The Perfect Portfolio: i.e. — Canadian equity 20 % iShares S&P / TSX Capped Composite (XIC) US equity 15 % Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) International equity 15 % Vanguard Total International Stock (VXUS) Real estate investment trusts 10 % BMO Equal Weight REITs (ZRE) Real -
return bonds 10 % iShares DEX Real - Return Bond (XRB) Canadian bonds 30 % iShares DEX Universe Bond
return bonds 10 % iShares DEX Real -
Return Bond (XRB) Canadian bonds 30 % iShares DEX Universe Bond
Return Bond (XRB) Canadian bonds 30 % iShares DEX Universe Bond (XBB)
Over the 40 years closed at the end
of 2015, the basic
Couch Potato would have
returned an annualized 9.78 percent — its best performance.
Based on
returns for the asset class (not the funds), a
Couch Potato that used the total bond market index would have earned at a compound annual rate
of 9.27 percent over the last 30 years while one that used inflation - protected bonds would have earned at a compound rate
of 9.24 percent.
You can see the impact
of big differences in stock allocations by studying the
returns of two variations
of the
couch potato portfolio.
But if you're a
Couch Potato with a taxable account, you may be able to reduce the Canada Revenue Agency's share
of your investment
returns with a strategy called tax - loss selling.
Investors fall into this same trap when they second - guess the
Couch Potato strategy during every period
of poor
returns.
I thought about this recently as I calculated the
returns of the Global
Couch Potato since 2009.
Going a back a little further, the aftermath
of the dot - com bubble meant the Global
Couch Potato returned -3.2 % annually for the three years ending in 2002.
As it happens, this has the added benefit
of allowing us to look at longer - term
returns for the Global
Couch Potato, since the e-Series has been around much longer than most
of the ETFs on the list.
Lamenting his model portfolio's 1 % annualized
return from 2008 to mid-2011, Pape says: «This is the reality
of couch potato investing — timing counts for a lot.
But, as noted earlier, the record shows that
Couch Potato investing has a very high probability
of providing a higher
return than 60 to 75 percent
of all managed funds — and still more if you are paying significant fees for managing your portfolio
of funds.
The following graph shows the
return pattern
of both the
couch potato portfolio and the bond index portfolio.
For many Canadians, Kirzner, now 73, is thought
of as the grandfather
of «
Couch Potato» investing, or as Kirzner refers to it, the «Easy Chair» — defined as that comfortable spot where investors like to sit and stay put for many years while the good
returns roll in.
In 2014, the basic
Couch Potato Portfolio, a 50 - 50 mix
of two low - cost index funds,
returned 8.16 percent while the Morningstar average for all «moderate allocation» funds was only 6.21 percent.
We flirted with the idea, even going so far as programming a
couch -
potato style DIY portfolio into the calculator, but ultimately decided against it, because the DIY option is hands - down the cheapest across almost all cases, and we didn't want to waste all
of the time and effort we put into building the calculator for it to always and forever
return a DIY portfolio as the result.