Nevertheless, even if the best scenario does not play out, we at least want to see some type
of bullish reversal candle before buying because it would confirm near - term
momentum has
returned to the bulls.
Indeed we propose a simple model
of the price dynamics in which the
return growth depends on three components: a) a
momentum component, naturally justified in terms
of agents» belief that expected
returns are higher in
bullish markets than in bearish ones; b) a fundamental component proportional to the log earnings over price ratio at time zero.