This analysis compares the returns of the largest commodity ETFs to
the returns of the commodity futures contracts represented in each ETF.
Not exact matches
It currently consists
of one
futures contract on sugar that is included in the Bloomberg
Commodity Index Total
Return.
An ETF that employs a basic strategy
of investing in the front - month
futures contract of a given
commodity, for example, will either see its
returns decrease in the case
of contango, or increase in the case
of backwardation.
The steeper the contango, the worse the relative
return on the rolling
futures contracts compared to the spot price
of the
commodity.
With
futures contracts showing higher
returns and comparable or lower risks to ETFs, the case surely can be made that
commodity investors may be well - served by holding
commodity futures contracts instead
of ETFs.
Using daily and monthly
futures index levels and
contract prices for the 24
commodities in the S&P GSCI as available during January 1979 through June 2012, along with contemporaneous
returns for a broad sample
of U.S. stocks, they find that: Keep Reading
This paper asks some critical questions
of the concept
of commodities as an asset class, noting that, historically,
futures contracts have been an inconsistent hedge against inflation, and the historically high average
returns of commodity futures portfolios were driven largely by choice
of weighting schemes.
All
of the PowerShares DB Crude Oil ETNs are based on a total
return version
of the Deutsche Bank Liquid
Commodity Index — Oil, which is designed to reflect the performance
of certain crude oil
futures contracts plus the
returns from investing in 3 month United States Treaury Bills.
The purchased
commodity will usually be obtained at a good price, while the
commodity sold will earn a good
return on investment that covers the cost
of the
commodity futures contract.
Its performance (before expenses) is designed to correspond with the
returns of the S&P Goldman Sachs
Commodity Index GSCI, which is comprised of 24 different commodity futures c
Commodity Index GSCI, which is comprised
of 24 different
commodity futures c
commodity futures contracts.
The Dow Jones - UBS
Commodity Index Total
Return Service Mark (the «Index») reflects the
returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the
futures contracts on physical
commodities comprising the Index plus the rate
of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills.
The DJ - UBS
Commodity Index Total Return measures the collateralized returns from a basket of 19 commodity futures contracts representing the energy, precious metals, industrial metals, grains, softs and livestock
Commodity Index Total
Return measures the collateralized
returns from a basket
of 19
commodity futures contracts representing the energy, precious metals, industrial metals, grains, softs and livestock
commodity futures contracts representing the energy, precious metals, industrial metals, grains, softs and livestock sectors.
By definition, total
return versions of commodity indices, such as the DJ - UBS CI and the S&P GSCI ®, that incorporate the returns of the excess return (ER) plus the Treasury Bill Return are positively impacted by rising interest rates which earn interest on the collateral of the futures cont
return versions
of commodity indices, such as the DJ - UBS CI and the S&P GSCI ®, that incorporate the
returns of the excess
return (ER) plus the Treasury Bill Return are positively impacted by rising interest rates which earn interest on the collateral of the futures cont
return (ER) plus the Treasury Bill
Return are positively impacted by rising interest rates which earn interest on the collateral of the futures cont
Return are positively impacted by rising interest rates which earn interest on the collateral
of the
futures contracts.
The Index reflects the
returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in
futures contract on physical
commodities comprising the Index plus the rate
of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills.