In
a richly valued market, that sort of risk control is most appropriately established using call options having a strike price situated at about the point where various trend - following measures would turn negative — what is known in finance as a «contingent position» because the position creates its own exit if the market deteriorates further without an interim recovery - and particularly if it deteriorates abruptly.
Unless investors believe that bear markets are a thing of the past, it's not sensible to worry about missed long - term returns in a mature,
richly valued market.
And despite today's
richly valued markets, Tim has still found three companies currently trading for less than their net cash and cash equivalents.
Not exact matches
Oh sure, the
market has been
richly valued for a long time, but that's different than euphoria.
And while the deal is expensive for JAB as Panera commanded a premium on the
market, executives at the bakery - cafe chain have argued that the business has been
valued so
richly because it performs so consistently.
While the behavior of
market action isn't overwhelmingly negative here, it isn't sufficient to warrant a speculative exposure to
market fluctuations with stocks so
richly valued.
Even though the
market is
richly valued, there are still plenty of good stock picks out there.
The Funds have typically achieved their full - cycle returns through effective security selection, and by expanding exposure to risk on
market weakness and clipping it in
richly valued or otherwise hostile conditions.
There are two primary reasons to be cautious about investing fresh capital in today's
richly valued US equity
markets, in my view.
Presently, the
market remains
richly valued on normalized earnings, and is coming off of a speculative peak with an abrupt and persistent initial decline.
Shiller's P / E, prices to sales ratio, price to book
value,
market cap to GDP, price to cash flow, take your choice, all show a
market very
richly valued.
But it could make
richly valued stock
markets less attractive relative to more conservative holdings.
«The investor buyer in new developments is slowly returning as equity
markets appear
richly valued and the dollar has weakened,» he said.
When this group is
richly valued - as it is now - high beta stocks underperform the
market by an incredible 28.5 percent.
But once the
market becomes not only
richly valued, but sentiment becomes broadly bullish and stocks become overbought on a shorter - term basis, the return / risk profile of the
market becomes unfavorable even for speculation» (see Baron Rothschild).
I noted back in 2007, during a similar period of frustration, that less than half of the typical bull
market gain is retained by the end of the subsequent bear
market - «Once stocks become
richly valued, the remaining gains achieved by the
market are almost always purely speculative - they are generally erased over the remaining course of the
market cycle.
Some measures indicate the
market is
richly valued by historical standards, but no one knows what the future holds.
However, If the
market continues to be
richly valued I think I will pursue BP.