But the fact remains that they are distinct, showing that
rising global ocean surface temperatures directly influence UK winter rainfall.
Not exact matches
Evidence from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) shows that
global sea levels in the last two decades are
rising dramatically as
surface temperatures warm
oceans and...
A working group known as PALSEA2 (Paleo constraints on sea level
rise) used past records of local change in sea level and converted them to a
global mean sea level by predicting how the
surface of the Earth deforms due to changes in ice -
ocean loading of the crust, along with changes in gravitational attraction on the
ocean surface.
The reason could be linked to
rising sea
surface temperatures — fueled in part by
global warming — as seen in
ocean buoy data collected along the U.S. coast.
These
rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have led to an increase in
global average temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much of which has been absorbed by the
oceans, whilst the oceanic uptake of atmospheric CO2 has led to major changes in
surface ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
The former is likely to overestimate the true
global surface air temperature trend (since the
oceans do not warm as fast as the land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air temperature over the
ocean is predicted to
rise at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
At that point in geological history,
global surface temperatures were
rising naturally with spurts of rapid regional warming in areas like the North Atlantic
Ocean.
Geoengineering proposals fall into at least three broad categories: 1) managing atmospheric greenhouse gases (e.g.,
ocean fertilization and atmospheric carbon capture and sequestration), 2) cooling the Earth by reflecting sunlight (e.g., putting reflective particles into the atmosphere, putting mirrors in space to reflect the sun's energy, increasing
surface reflectivity and altering the amount or characteristics of clouds), and 3) moderating specific impacts of
global warming (e.g., efforts to limit sea level
rise by increasing land storage of water, protecting ice sheets or artificially enhancing mountain glaciers).
These parameters include
global mean
surface temperature, sea - level
rise,
ocean and ice sheet dynamics,
ocean acidification, and extreme climatic events.
The former is likely to overestimate the true
global surface air temperature trend (since the
oceans do not warm as fast as the land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air temperature over the
ocean is predicted to
rise at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
«Another recent paper used a different NOAA
ocean surface temperature data set to find that since 2003 the
global average
ocean surface temperature has been
rising at a rate that is an order of magnitude smaller than the rate of increase reported in Karl's paper.»
Clearly the rate at which TOA imbalance diffuses into and through the
global ocean is key to how much and how quickly
global average
surface temperature will
rise over any given span of time.
Cazenave, A., D. P. Chambers, P. Cipollini, L. L. Fu, J. W. Hurell, M. Merrifield, R. S. Nerem, H. P. Plag, C. K. Shum, and J. Willis, 2010: The challenge of measuring sea level
rise and regional and
global trends, Geodetic observations of
ocean surface topography,
ocean currents,
ocean mass, and
ocean volume changes.
The
global surface temperature is already starting to
rise even without an El Nino, and
ocean, land and Arctic temperatures have been
rising anyway with no pause.
If it was not, then there is a slowdown in
ocean 0 - 700m five years after
global surface temperatures stopped
rising.
The
oceans are undergoing a period of unprecedented change, facing
global stressors such as sea level
rise,
ocean acidification,
rising sea
surface temperatures, and plastic pollution.
The Linear Trend (with 95 % Confidence Level) for the Three Key Climate Indicators:
Global Mean
Surface Temperature (GMST),
Ocean Heat Content (OHC), and Sea Level
Rise (SLR) a
Global Warming is the century - scale
rise in the average temperature of the Earth's
surface,
oceans, and atmosphere due to an increase in the greenhouse effect.
, which is well reminiscent of the Moses» miracle, should be «the
global oceans could warm and cool» or «the
surface temperature of
global oceans could
rise and fall.»
jimmi says: «If the sea
surface temperature
rise is correctly observed, as the paper assumes, and if it is truly
global, as is stated, then a large amount of energy has been added to the top layer of the
ocean.»
-- It was on Panorama about 7 years ago that I heared about James Hansen talking about how he was being «gagged» by NASA re AGW and about
global dimming and how methane calthrates could eventually
rise to the
surface with a vision of the
oceans igniting in flames — I kid you not.
So how our environmental future plays out now is that as the poles melt, the
ocean heats, and water
surface area increases, atmospheric H2O skyrockets and some time later as the temperature passes through 4 deg C heading for 5 deg C
global temperature
rise, the
ocean currents start to stall.
If the sea
surface temperature
rise is correctly observed, as the paper assumes, and if it is truly
global, as is stated, then a large amount of energy has been added to the top layer of the
ocean.
They conclude that while the rate of increase of average
global surface temperatures has slowed since 1998, melting of Arctic ice,
rising sea levels, and warming
oceans have continued apace.
But this post has shown that ALL of the
rise in
global sea
surface temperatures since 1900 can be explained by the
oceans integrating the effects of ENSO.
Rising surface temperatures in the last three decades of the 20th century were roughly half caused by man - made
global warming and half by the
ocean currents keeping more heat near the
surface, it finds.
The IPCC tells us that Over the period 1961 to 2003,
global ocean temperature has
risen by 0.1 °C from the
surface to a depth of 700 m.
Global warming leads to
rising temperatures of the
oceans and the earth»
surface causing melting of polar ice caps,
rise in sea levels and also unnatural patterns of precipitation such as flash floods, excessive snow or desertification.
The evidence comes from direct measurements of
rising surface air temperatures and subsurface
ocean temperatures and, indirectly, from increases in average
global sea levels, retreating glaciers, and changes in many physical and biological systems.
In a new study, researchers claimed that a group of methane - munching microbes that live in rocky dwellings on the seafloor could be preventing large amounts of greenhouse gas from reaching the
surface of the
ocean and the atmosphere, where it could contribute to
rising global temperatures.
Earth's
global average
surface temperature has
risen as shown in this plot of combined land and
ocean measurements from 1850 to 2012, derived from three independent analyses of the available data sets.
While there still is quite a bit of uncertainty surrounding the effects of the PDO on Earth's climate, the U.K. Met Office says that «decadal variability in the Pacific
Ocean may have played a substantial role in the recent pause in
global surface temperature
rise.»
In other words: Proposed strategies to alter the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth's
surface by (for example) deliberately injecting millions of tons of sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere pose enormous risks and uncertainties and don «t address the underlying causes of
global warming or other major risks from
rising concentrations of carbon dioxide, such as
ocean acidification.
Threats to marine biodiversity in the U.S. are the same as those for most of the world: overexploitation of living resources; reduced water quality; coastal development; shipping; invasive species;
rising temperature and concentrations of carbon dioxide in the
surface ocean, and other changes that may be consequences of
global change, including shifting currents; increased number and size of hypoxic or anoxic areas; and increased number and duration of harmful algal blooms.
Towards the end of his presentation he added: «Some research suggests
global warming is linked to
rising ocean and sea
surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico — which may have an impact on hurricane intensity.
However,
ocean temperatures have warmed almost everywhere on the planet, with 0.5 ºC being the
global mean
rise of sea
surface temperature, hence Trenberth's reasonable estimate that this much is the contribution from
global forcings like CO2.
Climate change indicators:
Global Mean Temperature (GMT); Hemispheric Temperature Variance; Greenhouse gases; Arctic, Antarctic Ice Extent and Volume;
Ocean Oscillations; Sea Level
Rise (SLR); Solar Cycle Data; Sea
Surface Temperatures and Anomalies;
Global Fire Activity, Drought.
Over the past three decades, changes in [CO2] have increased
global average temperatures (approx. 0.2 °C decade − 1 [2]-RRB-, with much of the additional energy absorbed by the world's
oceans causing a 0.8 °C
rise in sea
surface temperature over the past century.
And finally: The
oceans are heating, sea level is
rising,
global surface temperature is increasing (yes that's right).
(It is frequently forgotten or overlooked in discussions of
global mean temperature that temperatures over land
rise much more than temperatures over
ocean — and
ocean, of course, occupies roughly 70 % of the world's
surface.
Arctic sea ice, Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets,
global glacier mass, permafrost area, and Northern Hemisphere snow cover are all decreasing substantially, while
ocean surface temperatures, sea level, and
ocean acidification are
rising [36].
It could be evenly distributed in the
global ocean causing an almost imperceptable
rise in its temperature well beyond the margin of detection error or it could be rejected by more efficient means of transport from
surface to space or by a change which prevents it from ever reaching the
surface in the first place.
Past experience (Trenberth et al. 2002) suggests that
global surface temperature
rises at the end of and lagging El Niño, as heat comes out of the Pacific
Ocean mainly in the form of moisture that is evaporated and which subsequently rains out, releasing the latent energy.
In the almost sure knowledge that the earth never experienced a runaway greenhouse even with ancient CO2 levels 10 to 20 times greater than today, these anti-science scoundrels insist with a «high level of confidence» that this amplification is real and it's based on nothing more than faster than expected
surface temperature
rise in the past few decades which can be TOTALLY explained by multi-decadal cyclic behavior in
ocean currents, trade winds, and / or solar magnetic activity causing small
global average albedo changes.