Not exact matches
Evidence from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) shows that global sea levels in the last two decades are
rising dramatically as
surface temperatures warm
oceans and...
The
rising temperatures cause layers of
ocean water to stratify so the more oxygen - rich
surface waters are less able to mix with oxygen - poor waters from the deeper
ocean.
The die - off is due to a combination of
rising sea
surface temperatures and decreased
ocean circulation between the higher and lower layers, Boyce says.
But the fact remains that they are distinct, showing that
rising global
ocean surface temperatures directly influence UK winter rainfall.
As
temperatures rise today, most of the heat is being taken up by the
surface layers of the
oceans.
Rising summer air
temperatures are driving the glacier toward the
ocean, leaving its
surface heavily crevassed.
As a result there was an increase in moisture transport out of the Atlantic, which effectively increased the salinity and density, of the
ocean surfaces, leading to an abrupt increase in circulation strength and
temperature rise.
The
ocean absorbs most of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases — more than 80 percent — with
temperatures rising up to 3,000 meters below the
surface.
The first image, based on data from January 1997 when El Nio was still strengthening shows a sea level
rise along the Equator in the eastern Pacific
Ocean of up to 34 centimeters with the red colors indicating an associated change in sea
surface temperature of up to 5.4 degrees C.
Linsley said the new results were «exciting,» suggesting that the «poorly understood, rapid
rise» in
surface temperature from 1910 to 1940 was, in part, «related to changes in trade wind strength and heat release from the upper water column» of the Pacific
Ocean.
Note that we've got a paper soon to come out in «The Cryosphere» (and we'll have a poster at AGU) looking at recent «Arctic Amplification» that you discuss (the stronger
rise in
surface air
temperatures over the Arctic
Ocean compared to lower latitudes).
However, for the globe as a whole,
surface air
temperatures over land have
risen at about double the
ocean rate after 1979 (more than 0.27 °C per decade vs. 0.13 °C per decade), with the greatest warming during winter (December to February) and spring (March to May) in the Northern Hemisphere.
The reason could be linked to
rising sea
surface temperatures — fueled in part by global warming — as seen in
ocean buoy data collected along the U.S. coast.
Consistent with observed changes in
surface temperature, there has been an almost worldwide reduction in glacier and small ice cap (not including Antarctica and Greenland) mass and extent in the 20th century; snow cover has decreased in many regions of the Northern Hemisphere; sea ice extents have decreased in the Arctic, particularly in spring and summer (Chapter 4); the
oceans are warming; and sea level is
rising (Chapter 5).
Interestingly, those same winds are thought to be part of the mechanism burying heat in the Pacific
Ocean, leading to the slower pace of
rising temperatures at the planet's
surface in recent decades.
These
rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have led to an increase in global average
temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much of which has been absorbed by the
oceans, whilst the oceanic uptake of atmospheric CO2 has led to major changes in
surface ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
The former is likely to overestimate the true global
surface air
temperature trend (since the
oceans do not warm as fast as the land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air
temperature over the
ocean is predicted to
rise at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
Hotter air on the Earth's
surface leads to higher
ocean temperatures, which causes
ocean expansion and sea level
rise;
Increased
ocean temperatures also make the waters more stratified — preventing nutrient - rich water from below from
rising to the
surface and oxygen - rich water from reaching the middle layers.
Thousands of studies conducted by researchers around the world have documented changes in
surface, atmospheric, and oceanic
temperatures; melting glaciers; diminishing snow cover; shrinking sea ice;
rising sea levels;
ocean acidification; and increasing atmospheric water vapor.
There are also concerns that
oceans, which currently absorb more than 90 percent of the extra heat being trapped by human greenhouse gas emissions, could eventually release some of that back to the
surface, speeding up the
surface temperature rise.
At that point in geological history, global
surface temperatures were
rising naturally with spurts of rapid regional warming in areas like the North Atlantic
Ocean.
But then the effective heat capacity, the
surface temperature, depends on the rate of mixing of the
ocean water and I have presented evidence from a number of different ways that models tend to be too diffusive because of numerical reasons and coarse resolution and wave parameter
rise, motions in the
ocean.
El Niño is a natural phenomenon occuring every five years or so that causes sea
surface temperatures to
rise in the equatorial Pacific
Ocean.
The graph below shows the strong statistical relationship between annual CO2
rise and the strength of El Niño and La Niña, as quantified by sea
surface temperatures in the tropical east Pacific
ocean.
As the deep
ocean keeps
surface temperatures from
rising, the equilibrium would still be unattained.
Scientists are currently interested in why
temperatures at the
surface of the
ocean have been
rising slower than in previous decades, even though we're emitting greenhouse gases faster than ever.
Burt Armstrong @ 16, you are very much on the right track, but think more in terms of accumulating
ocean heat content and
rising sea
surface temperatures.
After all, if average
surface temperature is 15 C, wouldn't you expect land and
ocean below the
surface to equilibrate at roughly that
temperature (with a slightly
rising gradient to account for the flow of Earth's internal heat)?
If you believe unforced variation is the cause, please explain why both the
oceans and
surface temperatures are
rising.
These parameters include global mean
surface temperature, sea - level
rise,
ocean and ice sheet dynamics,
ocean acidification, and extreme climatic events.
The significant difference between the observed decrease of the CO2 sink estimated by the inversion (0.03 PgC / y per decade) and the expected increase due solely to
rising atmospheric CO2 -LRB--0.05 PgC / y per decade) indicates that there has been a relative weakening of the Southern
Ocean CO2 sink (0.08 PgC / y per decade) due to changes in other atmospheric forcing (winds,
surface air
temperature, and water fluxes).
But if something causes heat to be transferred from the
ocean surface into its deeps more rapidly than usual,
ocean surface temperatures could
rise more slowly, not
rise at all, or even fall despite the increased backradiation.
The problem is that for most purposes (fluxes of heat into the
oceans, and hence
ocean warming and hence sea level
rise; or biosphere responses) what you care about * is * the
surface temperature.
Given all the independent lines of evidence pointing to average
surface warming over the last few decades (satellite measurements,
ocean temperatures, sea - level
rise, retreating glaciers, phenological changes, shifts in the ranges of
temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current overall picture.
The former is likely to overestimate the true global
surface air
temperature trend (since the
oceans do not warm as fast as the land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air
temperature over the
ocean is predicted to
rise at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
Paul S (# 1)-- Since the Planck Response dominates over positive feedback responses to
temperature, wouldn't a La Nina - like failure of
surface temperature to
rise lead to an increase rather than a reduction in energy accumulation compared with accumulation during a
surface warming — presumably a small increase, so that the observed
rise in
ocean heat content would still be substantial?
Gavin, I agree completely with the standard picture that you describe, but I don't agree with the claim that ``... as
surface temperatures and the
ocean heat content are
rising together, it almost certainly rules out intrinsic variability of the climate system as a major cause for the recent warming».
However their predictions are about much more than just the average near -
surface air
temperature, they are mainly focused on how heat mixes into the
ocean and how that affects the
rise in
surface temperature as CO2 is doubled over 100 years.
«Firstly, as
surface temperatures and the
ocean heat content are
rising together, it almost certainly rules out intrinsic variability of the climate system as a major cause for the recent warming»
If we had better sea level
rise data for the whole period, we might see that the heat storage curve into the
ocean had a shape that better matched the simple function approximation than the land
surface data does, or we might have better information on internal climate modes that confused or delayed the
temperature response.
Rising ocean temperatures are contributing to the risk, the report said, noting that the National Climatic Data Center reported that in June the world's
ocean surface temperature was the warmest on record.
So, although each molecule of CO2 that escapes from the
oceans will, on average, be back in the
ocean again in five years time, if the sea
surface temperature rises the increase in the atmospheric CO2 will remain.
Apparently, in the last decade or so,
surface and lower troposphere
temperature has
risen more slowly than the long term trend, but
ocean heat content to 2 km has
risen faster than the previous two decades.
As
rising air
temperatures heat up the
ocean's
surface, this water becomes less dense and separates from the cold dense layer below, which is full of nutrients.
«Another recent paper used a different NOAA
ocean surface temperature data set to find that since 2003 the global average
ocean surface temperature has been
rising at a rate that is an order of magnitude smaller than the rate of increase reported in Karl's paper.»
These emissions have caused the Earth's
surface temperature to
rise, and the
oceans absorb about 80 percent of this additional heat.
According to the researchers, sea
surface temperatures in the Pacific and Indian
Ocean have
risen 0.7 degree, increasing the likelihood of failed rains in East Africa.
Clearly the rate at which TOA imbalance diffuses into and through the global
ocean is key to how much and how quickly global average
surface temperature will
rise over any given span of time.
The Philippines is located in the western Pacific
Ocean, surrounded by naturally warm waters that will likely get even warmer as average sea -
surface temperatures continue to
rise.