«What is ultimately needed is a volatility index that measures the evolving
risk from extreme events — so that global vital signs can be coupled to local information on what people care most about,» Victor and Kennel write.
If this trend is not halted soon, many millions of people will be at
risk from extreme events such as heat waves, drought, floods and storms, our coasts and cities will be threatened by rising sea levels, and many ecosystems, plants and animal species will be in serious danger of extinction.
As such engaging southern partners will be vital to the successful delivery of this project and critical for building local capacity to assess the true
risks from extreme events, addressing knowledge gaps and ensuring climate information is communicated effectively to key audiences.
Many vulnerable groups do not have the resources to be able to migrate from areas exposed to
the risks from extreme events.
As such engaging southern partners will be vital to the successful delivery of this project and critical for building local capacity to assess the true
risks from extreme events, addressing knowledge gaps and ensuring climate information is communicated effectively to key audiences.
As international climate talks resume in Bonn today, two months after climate scientists warned of climate - change - related
risks from extreme events, leaders of the G7 are meeting in Brussels to discuss topics including the Ukraine, climate and energy.
Not exact matches
Hurricane Irma, for its part, spotlighted another kind of housing
risk — the low - quality homes and trailers where many poor Floridians live, which offer little protection
from extreme weather
events.
«Dangerous» global warming includes consequences such as increased
risk of
extreme weather and climate
events ranging
from more intense heat waves, hurricanes, and floods, to prolonged droughts.
Based on over a decade of asthma hospitalization data (115,923 cases
from 2000 - 2012), researchers observed higher
risk of asthma hospitalization after
extreme heat or
extreme precipitation
events.
The research used historical data — mainly
from North American, Europe and East Asia — and an ensemble of climate models to analyze the past and future
risk of various
extreme hot, wet and dry
events, including the highest daytime and nighttime temperatures, mildest low temperatures, wettest days, and longest dry spells.
That means 5 million Europeans who are currently under threat of flooding
from extreme sea level
events that occur every 100 years could face that same
risk annually, according to the new study.
The pilot of Raising
Risk Awareness project will run until March 2017 and will generate a suite of tools and knowledge products, and run a series of national and regional
events to help civil society, communities, practitioners, media and decision - makers better understand and prepare for the current and future
risks from extreme weather
events.
Another, of course, is the 2012 report on managing
risks from extreme weather
events from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Older people are at much higher
risk of dying during
extreme heat
events.136, 50,241,233 Pre-existing health conditions also make older adults susceptible to cardiac and respiratory impacts of air pollution25 and to more severe consequences
from infectious diseases; 257 limited mobility among older adults can also increase flood - related health
risks.258 Limited resources and an already high burden of chronic health conditions, including heart disease, obesity, and diabetes, will place the poor at higher
risk of health impacts
from climate change than higher income groups.25, 50 Potential increases in food cost and limited availability of some foods will exacerbate current dietary inequalities and have significant health ramifications for the poorer segments of our population (Ch.
As discussed earlier, Hurricane Katrina demonstrated that communities of color, poor communities, and certain other vulnerable populations (like new immigrant communities) are at a higher
risk to the adverse effects of
extreme weather
events.263, 264,239 These vulnerable populations could benefit
from urban planning policies that ensure that new buildings, including homes, are constructed to resist
extreme weather
events.303
This hedging strategy will buffer the impact an
extreme carbon
risk event might have on a portfolio while potentially capturing the upside of the transition away
from fossil fuel assets.
Pakistan Today: Despite severe flooding in 2011, Pakistan managed to drop itself
from first last year, to third position this year in the league table for countries that were worst hit by
extreme weather
events in 2011, according to a «climate
risk index 2013» published here on Tuesday.
Human - induced climate change plays a clear and significant role in some
extreme weather
events but understanding the other risks at a local level is also important, highlights Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society's annual special report, Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspe
events but understanding the other
risks at a local level is also important, highlights Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society's annual special report, Explaining
Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspe
Events of 2014
from a Climate Perspective.
It consists of nine chapters, covering
risk management; observed and projected changes in
extreme weather and climate
events; exposure and vulnerability to as well as losses resulting
from such
events; adaptation options
from the local to the international scale; the role of sustainable development in modulating
risks; and insights
from specific case studies.
The IPCC reports that the
risks associated with
extreme weather
events (heat waves,
extreme precipitation, and the like) are moderately increased with the approximately 1 °C warming that we have already experienced (the recent report
from the National Academies would support that conclusion) and that further warming will increase those
risks.
Output
from global circulation models indicates that climate variability will continue to be an important characteristic of the region in the future [52], but that climate change may increase the
risk of
extreme climatic
events such as multi-decade droughts and
extreme winter precipitation [53], [54].
For the United States, observations clearly show a declining frequency of
extreme weather
events, that sea level changes are indistinguishable
from geological uplift or sinking processes, and decreased
risk of regional water scarcity (due to more frequent winter polar vortices replenishing the water table), heat waves, wildfires, and the disturbance of biological systems.
Pielke is right that an increase in the number of valuable properties in high -
risk areas is overwhelmingly the primary cause of increased financial losses
from extreme weather
events over the past few decades.
During
extreme heat
events, nighttime temperatures in the region's big cities are generally several degrees higher28 than surrounding regions, leading to increased heat - related death among those less able to recover
from the heat of the day.36 Since the hottest days in the Northeast are often associated with high concentrations of ground - level ozone and other pollutants, 37 the combination of heat stress and poor air quality can pose a major health
risk to vulnerable groups: young children, the elderly, and those with pre-existing health conditions including asthma.29 Vulnerability is further increased as key infrastructure, including electricity for potentially life - saving air conditioning, is more likely to fail precisely when it is most needed — when demand exceeds available supply.
It examines good practices to reduce disaster
risk through education, knowledge and innovation (including efforts to protect schools
from extreme natural
events).
This analytical report stresses that, given the urgency and the scale of the adaptation challenge, it is imperative to learn
from long experience in managing — and reducing — the
risk of
extreme climate
events, such as floods, droughts, storms and
extreme temperatures.
Related to this
event, Dr. Zwiers was also interviewed in the second podcast for the
event, in which he discussed a number of topics, including the attribution of these
extremes events,
risks from climate change, adaptation and mitigation and some of the work being done at PCIC.
This guidance document underscores that: poor people are already at
risk from climate - related shocks, including crop failures
from reduced rainfall, food prices spikes after
extreme weather
events, and increased incidence of diseases following heat waves and floods.
As estimates of the greenhouse gas attributable change in rainfall
risk may depend on the model datasets considered, it is also useful to consider model outputs
from several datasets and using various estimates of counterfactual surface conditions to establish robust attribution statements for
extreme rainfall
events.
Summary of how they got to this finding: They use CMIP models which, if not outright flawed, have not proved their validity in estimated temperature levels in the 2030 to 2070 timeframe, are used as the basis for extrapolations that assert the creation of more and more 3 - sigma «
extreme events» of hot weather; this is despite the statistical contradiction and weak support for predicting significant increases in outlier
events based on mean increases; then, based on statistical correlations between mortality and
extreme heat
events (ie heat waves), temperature warming trends are conjured into an enlargement of the
risks from heat
events;
risks increase significantly only by ignoring obvious adjustments and mitigations any reasonable community or person would make to adapt to warmer weather.
«It appears that parts of Russia are on the cusp of a period in which the
risk of
extreme heat
events will increase rapidly,» said co-author Martin Hoerling, a research meteorologist, also
from ESRL.
The workshop will consist of keynote lectures
from these different disciplines, and then sessions will be structured around particular applications sectors including: water resources, long - term
risk management, marine ecosystems,
extreme events, coastal processes and public lands.