In statistical terms, we can reduce our «Type II errors» (being hedged in a rising market) only by increasing our «Type I errors» (being exposed to market
risk in a falling market).
Not exact matches
«If the
fall in the stock
market continues, that suggests a higher
risk of recession, which can't be good for small businesses and startups.»
While it is not exactly full praise for the country, Deutsche Bank doesn't see much
risk that shares will
fall further,
in part because investors are «overwhelmingly underweight» on the
market.
Meanwhile government bond yields, a reliable barometer of
market fear, are
falling to record low levels as investors engage
in a panicked hunt for
risk - free assets.
Thanks to a slowdown
in China and other emerging
markets, but also because of a sluggish U.S. economy and political
risks in the Middle East, Madani thinks oil prices could
fall to $ 75 a barrel next year.
There are real
risks — from China to signs of overvaluation
in parts of US equity
markets, from build - ups
in leverage after a long period of low rates and tranquil
markets to a highly disordered geopolitical situation
in which US credibility has
fallen off sharply.
Still, the current return /
risk profile features highly «unpleasant skew» -
in any given week, the single most likely outcome is actually a small advance, yet the average return
in the current classification is quite negative, because those small marginal gains have typically been wiped out by steep, abrupt
market plunges that erase weeks or months of gains
in one
fell swoop (see Impermanence and Full - Cycle Thinking for a chart).
Consider these
risks before investing: The value of securities
in the fund's portfolio may
fall or fail to rise over extended periods of time for a variety of reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions, changes
in government intervention
in the financial
markets, and factors related to a specific issuer, industry, or sector and,
in the case of bonds, perceptions about the
risk of default and expectations about changes
in monetary policy or interest rates.
Secondary real estate cities outside of core gateway cities such as New York, London, Tokyo, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Paris, Hong Kong, Sydney, Seoul, and Shanghai continue to provide opportunities for yields
in markets and asset types that
fall farther along the
risk curve than those available
in gateway
markets that are saturated.
«The goal
in investing is asymmetry: to expose yourself to return
in a way that doesn't expose you commensurately to
risk, and to participate
in gains when the
market rises to a greater extent than you participate
in losses when it
falls.
The message was driven home further by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who
in a congressional hearing
in early November asserted that the downside
risks to the US economy from global developments had diminished since September and that there has been a significant
fall in labor
market slack.
With interest rates on low -
risk investments
falling to low levels
in many countries, investors have sought to maintain yields by moving into higher -
risk assets such as corporate debt and emerging
market debt.
This option reduces the
risk factor for the buyer
in a down
market where stock prices
fall.
The organization cited slower growth
in emerging
markets, especially
in China,
falling commodity prices, and rising interest rates
in the U.S. as potential
risks to global growth.
A debt / GDP ratio margin of 2.38 % equate to a 90 percentile — A debt / GDP ratio of 2.38 % is considered by NIA to be «really dangerous», which implies that the stock
market is
risking a dramatic
fall in the short - term.
Bullion is set to
fall at least 15 percent next year, the bank said
in a report of the top 10
market themes for 2014 this week, which warned of the growing downside
risk for commodities.
In particular, the
market has scaled back its view of downside
risk, with the expected likelihood of a
fall of 15 per cent or more over the next three months dropping from 8 per cent to 3 per cent.
Passive vehicles, on the other hand, are at a disadvantage when
markets get rocky: they not only
fall in lockstep with the index being tracked, but there is a
risk they will underperform after accounting for fees.
Reflecting the ongoing improvement
in investor sentiment and appetite for
risk in global debt
markets, corporate spreads have continued to
fall over recent months.
On a
market exposure basis, the average return /
risk profile of the
market varies across the Climates we identify, but it's certainly not true that the
market always rises
in favorable Climates and
falls in unfavorable ones.
The yen has been
in free -
fall for the past two weeks as
risk sentiment returned to the financial
markets.
Famed for studying almost three dozen bubbles and every bust,
in September 2007, a month prior to the
market peak that preceded the Global Financial Crisis, Grantham noted, profit margins would
fall, the housing
market would break, and the
risk - premium all over the world would widen, «each with severe consequences».
we can't even get rid of players that have barely mannered to us for several years... which is incredibly annoying considering that our beloved owner would never
risk his own financial resources whether he brought
in some new blood or offloaded several failed Wenger projects for less than
market value... he would simply make a little less and the burden would
fall squarely on other sources of income, primarily us... I don't know about you but I would gladly use all the money they have been stockpiling to rid ourselves of those that don't meet acceptable standards and to replace them with a few higher priced gems... I know, I know, Wenger and his minions have been scouring the globe for years now to find anyone that was as good as our current lot to no avail, but I've just got to believe there must be two or three guys somewhere out there that can play this crazy game
Otherwise, the U.S.
risks falling further behind
in the race to dominate the clean energy technology
markets of the future — becoming a customer, rather than a supplier.
A rubbery texture around the device keeps it
in your hands, as many of the slick, plastic models on the
market run the
risk of
falling to the ground to crack and break.
Bond prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions of the
risk of default, changes
in government intervention, and factors related to a specific issuer or industry.
Consider these
risks before investing: Bond prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions of the
risk of default, changes
in government intervention, and factors related to a specific issuer or industry.
Diversification is an important way to help manage
risk, yet it doesn't guarantee a positive return or protect you from losses
in a
falling market.
You could lose money on your investment
in the Fund or the Fund could underperform because of the following
risks: the
market prices of stocks held by the Fund may
fall; individual investments of the Fund may not perform as expected; and / or the Fund's portfolio management practices may not achieve the desired result.
Voting against the action were Richard W. Fisher, who believed that, while the Committee should be patient
in beginning to normalize monetary policy, improvement
in the U.S. economic performance since October has moved forward, further than the majority of the Committee envisions, the date when it will likely be appropriate to increase the federal funds rate; Narayana Kocherlakota, who believed that the Committee's decision,
in the context of ongoing low inflation and
falling market - based measures of longer - term inflation expectations, created undue downside
risk to the credibility of the 2 percent inflation target; and Charles I. Plosser, who believed that the statement should not stress the importance of the passage of time as a key element of its forward guidance and, given the improvement
in economic conditions, should not emphasize the consistency of the current forward guidance with previous statements.
Consider these
risks before investing: Stock and bond prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, factors related to a specific issuer or industry and, with respect to bond prices, changing
market perceptions of the
risk of default and changes
in government intervention.
Consider these
risks before investing: The value of stocks
in the fund's portfolio may
fall or fail to rise over extended periods of time for a variety of reasons, including general financial
market conditions and factors related to a specific issuer, industry or sector.
Consider these
risks before investing: Bond prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions (including perceptions about the
risk of default and expectations about monetary policy or interest rates), changes
in government intervention
in the financial
markets, and factors related to a specific issuer or industry.
Let's take a look at the performance relationships between the stocks and the bonds by using the S&P 500 Energy Total Return and the S&P 500 Energy Corporate Bond Index Total Return to see how the
market views the equity
risk premium, or
in other words how strongly the
market believes oil stocks will rise (equity performance) or
fall (bond performance.)
Interest Rate
Risk — When interest rates go up, the
market value of existing notes will
fall in price because new notes can be found at interest rates more attractive than existing (lower interest rate) notes.
Also, keep
in mind that the defensive dividend - based funds can
fall as much as 50 %
in a big bear
market so they should not be considered low
risk.
When we foresee
market volatility
falling, we will decrease the amount of lower -
risk assets
in your portfolio.
You
fall into a «downward spiral» of losing money because you feel like you've lost so much to this point that you start to feel like you don't care if you lose anymore, so you start taking bigger
risks and trading more frequently,
in other words, you're gambling
in the
markets now.
Investors can tailor a portfolio to their specific
risk - return requirements, aiming to hold securities with betas
in excess of 1 while the
market is rising, and securities with betas of less than 1 when the
market is
falling.
DCA therefore lessens the
risk of investing a large amount
in a single investment at the wrong time (i.e. at an inflated price), and
in a
falling market, the average cost per share becomes smaller and smaller.
Asset prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions (including,
in the case of bonds, perceptions about the
risk of default and expectations about monetary policy or interest rates), changes
in government intervention
in the financial
markets, and factors related to a specific issuer, industry or commodity.
Stock and bond prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions (including,
in the case of bonds, perceptions about the
risk of default and expectations about monetary policy or interest rates), changes
in government intervention
in the financial
markets, and factors related to a specific issuer or industry.
Moreover, all companies are subject to business and financial
risks that might result
in their stock's
falling short of listing requirements, but small stocks by
market capitalization are appreciably more likely to be removed from an exchange.
I think the TRF
fell about 6 %
in a day last year so I know it is not low
risk but I suspect Gross & co can be a lot nimbler
in the
market than I can and the ETF seems to be outperforming the fund exactly on that aspect.
Stock and bond prices may
fall or fail to rise over time for several reasons, including general financial
market conditions, changing
market perceptions (including,
in the case of bonds, perceptions about the
risk of default and expectations about changes
in monetary policy or interest rates), changes
in government intervention
in the financial
markets, and factors related to a specific issuer or industry.
Equity
risk is the
risk that the value of the equity securities, of U.S. or non-U.S. issuers, held by the Fund will
fall due to general
market and economic conditions, perceptions regarding the industries
in which the issuers of securities held by the Fund participate, or factors relating to specific companies
in which the Fund invests.
The primary
risks are
market and time; prices may
fall even if an investment is already undervalued and / or it may take a significant amount of time for the price of a stock to advance, resulting
in higher interest costs to the investor.
Large banks held 65.4 % of the
market in late 2012, compared with 23.5 % this
fall, according to data from the American Enterprise Institute's International Center on Housing
Risk.
But historically waiting for the
market to
fall has been an abysmal strategy, far worse than buying and holding
in both absolute and
risk - adjusted terms.
In constructing the portfolios this way, The Fund aims to reduce
market risk, which is the
risk that equity
markets as a whole may rise or
fall, independent of the investment merits of individual stocks.