I certainly will not be chasing a breakout up there if we are to get there without a very well defined
risk reward setup.
Know what your exit strategy is BEFORE entering the trade, if you are not exiting on a pre-set
risk reward setup, than make certain you don't tell yourself that you will just «figure it out» as the trade unfolds, this never works.
Not exact matches
The breakout above resistance on the weekly chart, combined with the pullback on the daily chart, provides for a positive
reward -
risk ratio for this ETF trade
setup.
Further, because this is a Pullback Buy
setup, the
reward to
risk ratio of the trade
setup is favorable.
Note that this
setup came off aggressively to the downside and if you placed your stop near the 50 % of the mother bar you would have made a very nice
risk reward return, and of this writing this market is still moving lower off that
setup.
Gold has been relatively volatile over that period so traders looking for opportunity must be mindful of their
reward to
risk setups.
Options on futures can help a trader manage
risk by allowing them to set up well defined
risk vs.
reward setups.
Looking at examples of both bullish and bearish
setups in gold we can see that options offer a trader superior
risk management and better
reward to
risk ratios.
When you have a strong entry method, like price action
setups, combined with an understanding of
risk to
reward scenarios you begin to think in probabilities.
This is but one example of the many
risk to
reward scenarios that
setup themselves up each day in the markets.
Winning traders view each trade
setup as just another execution of their trading edge, they then think about how to minimize their
risk on the trade while simultaneously maximizing their
reward.
Let's get right to the meat of this issue now,
risk to
reward scenarios are what you should be thinking about every time you find a trade
setup.
When you begin to view each trade
setup as just another execution of your trading edge and effectively implement position sizing and
risk to
reward scenarios, you will also be managing your emotions because you know your possible
risk and possible
reward BEFORE you enter the trade, you then set and forget the trade and therefore there is nothing to become emotional about.
This is called
risk to
reward, when we have our
risk tight and our
reward high, we have a solid trade
setup, especially with the signals and momentum in our favor.
Note: There are different entry possibilities that I didn't get into here which can affect the potential
risk reward of a particular trade
setup.
Professional traders do not waste their trading capital, they use it only when the
risk reward profile of a trade
setup makes sense and is logical.
We do this by first calculating the
risk and then the
reward and then we take a step back and objectively view the trading
setup in the context of the market structure and decide whether or not the market has a real shot at hitting our desired target (s).
Furthermore, false breakout entries enable short - term swing traders to have a clearly defined stop price below the low of the pullback, which creates a very positive
reward -
risk ratio for the
setup.
However, remember the best swing trade
setups with a positive
reward -
risk ratio will eventually come to you.
Therefore, we're not in a hurry to enter multiple new positions (either long or short) ahead of the holidays, but will still consider new stock and / or ETF trade entries (possibly on the short side and / or inverse ETFs) with reduced share size if an ideal trade
setup with a firmly positive
reward -
risk ratio presents itself.
Still, there's potential for a solid 1:2
risk reward from this pin bar
setup if price pops up into that resistance zone.
With a potential
reward of just over 2 points, combined with 1 point of
risk, this
setup still provides you with a decent
reward -
risk ratio of better than 2:1 (just over 2 points
reward with 1 point
risk).
The
setup paid off with an array of
risk -
reward plays, eagles, and birdies that mixed up the leaderboard on the front nine.
Mind you, at no point did I feel like the Coupe was trying to kill me or chuck itself off of the mountain — the suspension
setup and steering were so responsive that keeping things in line quickly became second nature — but I did get the message that driving the JCW near its limits on public roads is a high -
risk, high -
reward endeavor.
Swing Trading Bilateral Trade
Setups Exploring Market Physics Pattern Cycles: Declines Reversals Tops Highs Trends Breakouts Bottoms Scanning Tips and Techniques The Profitable Trader Trading Execution Zone Trading with Stage Analysis 20 Golden Rules for Traders 20 Rules for Effective Trade Execution 20 Rules to Stop Losing Money Bottoms & Tops Adam & Eve & Adam Adam & Eve Tops Hell's Triangle Lowdown on Bottoms The Big W Corrections Anticipating a Selloff 5 Wave Declines Selling Declines Surviving Bear Markets Common Pitfalls of Selling Short Indicators Bollinger Bands Tactics Five Fibonacci Tricks Fun with Fibonacci Moving Average Crossovers Overbought / Oversold Overload Time Trading Voodoo Trading Market Dynamics Clear Air Cutting Losses Effective Market Timing Exit Strategies Greed and Fear Measuring
Reward:
Risk Pattern Failure Playing Failed Failures Breakouts Breakout Trading Catch The Dow and Elliott Waves False Breakouts and Whipsaws Morning Gap Strategies The Gap Primer Trend, Direction and Timing Trend Waves Triangle Trading Day Trading 3 - D Trade Execution Bid - Ask Pullback Day Trading Tale of the Tape Tape Reading New Highs Mastering The Momentum Trade Momentum Cycles Uncharted Territory
For even more detail, adding elements such as the direction (long or short) of your trades,
risk to
reward ratio, length of each trade, photos of your
setups and exits... can be very enlightening.
What I demonstrate in this video is how to use trend momentum, 50 % retracements, and the pin bar
setup in combination with one another to create a confluent or high
reward to
risk trade
setup.
Achievable
rewards on this
setup were at least a 3 times
risk winner if you entered at the 50 % retrace, and at least a 2 times
risk winner if you entered near the inside bar high breakout.
This
setup provided a
reward of at least 2 times
risk.
Your
reward to
risk ratio needs to be determined by what kind of
setup and follow through your trading system actually provides you.
Those same scalping systems would not work if you adjusted the
reward to
risk ratio much higher because scalping
setups typically have very little follow through.
Professional traders do not waste their trading capital, they use it only when the
risk reward profile of a trade
setup makes sense and is logical.
Anyone who has been following my articles knows that I often talk about how dangerous it is to over-complicate your trading and that the keys to forex success are having the patience to wait for the best trade
setup and thoroughly understanding forex
risk to
reward scenarios.
This is called
risk to
reward, when we have our
risk tight and our
reward high, we have a solid trade
setup, especially with the signals and momentum in our favor.
We are going to analyze a trade
setup and discuss the stop placement on the trade, the target placement and the
risk reward potential...
One disadvantage of the cypher pattern is that it has a tendency to provide trading
setups in which the
reward to
risk ratio leans more toward
risk than
reward (at least at the first take profit level).
We do this by first calculating the
risk and then the
reward and then we take a step back and objectively view the trading
setup in the context of the market structure and decide whether or not the market has a real shot at hitting our desired target (s).
Note: There are different entry possibilities that I didn't get into here which can affect the potential
risk reward of a particular trade
setup.
Narrow range
setup bars during volatile trading hours offer excellent
reward - to -
risk.
Below is a Price Action Forex Trading Strategies Video Tutorial — Looking at the GBPJPY 4 Hour chart, I talk about using the 3 step filter process for finding Forex trades with a strong confluent «hot point» which produces high probability forex trades, and good
risk reward trade
setups.
Look for string
risk / reward setups: Risk management should also always be considered when trading technical price patte
risk /
reward setups:
Risk management should also always be considered when trading technical price patte
Risk management should also always be considered when trading technical price patterns.
A simple rule of thumb, however, is to look for
setups that potentially provide a 4 to 1
risk /
reward or better.
Winning traders view each trade
setup as just another execution of their trading edge, they then think about how to minimize their
risk on the trade while simultaneously maximizing their
reward.
Reversal trade
setups have a low chance of success and a high
reward - to -
risk ratio.
In this particular example we exited near $ 1215.00 for a
risk to
reward of 1:2, meaning we made 2 times our
risk on this trade
setup.
Just a quick observation (based on successful long - term demo trading)... What you say about discretion regarding trade
setups can be applied to discretion regarding
risk:
reward.
On this
setup my stop loss was set at 93 pips,
setups like this allow for nice tight stops which make for great
risk to
reward ratios.
Determine the
risk to
reward scenario on any potential trade
setup before entering it.
When you begin to view each trade
setup as just another execution of your trading edge and effectively implement position sizing and
risk to
reward scenarios, you will also be managing your emotions because you know your possible
risk and possible
reward BEFORE you enter the trade, you then set and forget the trade and therefore there is nothing to become emotional about.
This is done by creating a trading plan with screen shots of a «perfect» example of your chosen
setup and the way you will trade it: stop loss placement, exit strategy,
risk reward, position size, money management, psychology — those are the main topics to cover in any trading plan.