With the potential for higher U.S. budget deficits and debt
risking dollar strength, central banks around the globe could be motivated to increase their gold holdings, says Credit Suisse.
Not exact matches
Other left - tail
risks to our view include geopolitical disruptions, possible U.S.
dollar strength or a complete breakdown in NAFTA negotiations that could dampen near - term sentiment for emerging markets (EM) assets.
At the same time, with
risks to the global economy and markets looming (think Brexit, global deflation fears, China devaluation, etc...),
risk - off sentiment could also reassert itself as a driver of
dollar strength.
However, while the Fed's mandate does not extend to reacting to the vagaries of the currency market or the dynamics affecting other economies, recent US
dollar strength and wobbles in
risk assets caused by concerns over the state of the Chinese economy can not be entirely ignored.
This underlines a previously - identified
risk that a combination of disappointing productivity performance and persistent
strength in the Canadian
dollar could dampen the expected recovery of net exports.
There may be some
risk to holding a large amount of assets in foreign currencies, since you are still dependent on the
strength of the Canadian
dollar when you receive dividends or sell the assets.
And if the
dollar isn't your home currency, it's generally served as a decent portfolio hedge in the
risk on /
risk off environment of the past few years: For example, when the market's
risk off, your portfolio suffers — but
dollar strength usually benefits your TLI holding (& vice versa).
The presence of
risk aversion was enough to prop bitcoin price up in the past few days, even with the pickup in
dollar strength.