That is liquidity, and as such most
risky assets do not have significant liquidity, though many trade every day during bull markets.
Perhaps more surprisingly, some of
the riskiest assets did as well.
Not exact matches
But taking out debt to buy an
asset as volatile as Bitcoin — as some investors seem to be
doing with their credit cards — is
risky on a personal finance level.
The lack of liquidity and higher leveraging of investments via crowdfunding platforms relative to REITs makes them much
riskier, yet their incrementally higher promised returns and incrementally lower implied correlations with other
asset classes don't seem to compensate for the added downsides.
All they have
done is to reduce prospective future returns on
risky assets to zero as well.
It
did flood back into the more
riskier asset of Stocks and into the «treasuries and bond bubble».
They've become popular in the last few years, and they promise to mimic what a wealth adviser would
do to a client's portfolio, by shifting the
asset allocation as the client ages to less
risky stuff.
Non-asset holders were punished — their bank deposits now generate little or no income, and they were forced to move into
riskier assets, such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or «anything that offers some yield and is not bolted down to the floor» (please see my answer to What kind of market distortions
does the Fed loaning out money at 0 % cause?).
Because the bank
does not bear the downside, it has an incentive to load up on the
riskiest assets available in order to maximize its expected profit.
Unfortunately, in a world in which cash pays next to nothing and even
riskier assets, like stocks and bonds, have a lower long - term expected return than they once
did (according to a BlackRock analysis using Bloomberg data), holding a sizeable portion of one's retirement savings in cash could prevent many from reaching their financial goals.
For a year in which
risky assets continue to grind higher,
assets offering potential hedges against those risks are
doing remarkably well.
While this can be less
risky for borrowers as they don't have to fear of losing their
assets due to defaulting, though the risks can be heavy on the lenders.
Do asset correlations rise near peaks for
risky assets?
If were going to have fiat money,
do it in such a way that bubbles
do not develop, which means not caring about the effects of policy on
risky asset markets.
I suspect the FOMC will tighten in December, but remember that the FOMC doesn't have a roadmap for the environment they are in, and they are acting like slaves to the
risky asset markets.
That imbalance of eagerness between buyers and sellers has clearly affected prices of
risky assets, but it
does not generate new cash flows - it simply raises the valuation that the market places on existing streams of future cash flows, and thereby lowers the subsequent rate of return on holding those securities.
This can be advantageous to you if you don't want to put your
assets as stake but can be
risky for the lender as he doesn't have anything to secure the loan with.
Nevertheless, being «wrong» about how much longer
risky assets will climb
does not alter the poor risk - reward prospects for chasing those overvalued
risky assets.
Riskier assets like stocks have a higher rate of expected return so if your time horizon is long enough, don't avoid stocks completely just because they are more volatile than fixed income or cash.
In
doing so we are reducing the portfolio's exposure to downside when high risk
assets become
riskier late in the cycle and adding to high risk
assets during downturns when they become less
risky.
The stock with a beta coefficient larger than one (or negative one) is
riskier because its price swings wider than the
asset class
does.
But this doesn't account for the fact that, as equities rise, they tend to become more
risky relative to bonds and other
asset classes.
Do I disagree that correlations begin rising among
risky assets toward the end of a bull market?
But you don't buy bonds for total returns; you buy them for income, and diversification; they tend to
do well when
risky assets break down.
Selecting a few index funds covering all of the major
asset classes (domestic and international stock,
risky bonds, savings, maybe inflation protection) is as good as you can generally
do.
When discussing
asset allocation with clients,
do you break down
risky vs. safe options?
In other words, true long - term investors are more willing to allocate towards
risky assets because they don't care about the short - term ups and downs.
It
did not take too long before they were buying
riskier assets and constantly diluting shareholders by
doing seemingly constant secondary's.
Selling an option can be very
risky especially if you don't already own the underlying
asset.
While the interest rates alone have not influenced stock prices, the unprecedented quantitative easing started a vicious cycle of risk - on / risk - off (RORO) that was the result of a binary outcome for
risky assets — either the easing works OR it doesn't.
The first result is that more financial literate households
do not always take more risk but their risk exposures vary with market regimes (for example, a 1 % increase in the expected excess return of
risky assets is associated with a 2 % increase in the
risky share for each unit of financial literacy).
More literate households hold
riskier positions when expected returns are higher, they more actively rebalance their portfolios and
do so in a way that holds their risk exposure relatively constant over time, and they are more likely to buy
assets that provide higher returns than the
assets that they sell.
Do you believe that people like these firefighters from Florida, who are near retirement and have secure pensions with guaranteed monthly payments, should move their money into
riskier assets with no guarantees just before they retire?
Does higher short - term price volatility make a diversified portfolio of real capital
assets a
riskier choice for long - term wealth accumulation?
While younger people can afford to invest more money in
risky assets, I don't believe that they should.
Does the idea of volatility put you in a cold sweat or are you comfortable investing in
riskier assets?
At some point after 10 - 15 of investing in stocks only, I
do plan to transfer a percentage of the portfolio to less
risky assets of fixed income to reduce the risk of losing money due to stock market fluctuations when approaching her start date.
The idea that stocks are a
risky asset class is rooted in the ideas about how stock investing works that were developed in pre-Shiller days, when we
did not know that long - term returns are predictable.
Commodities by themselves are a fairly
risky asset class — they either
do really well or they don't!
Less
risky asset types are clearly outperforming
riskier ones... and that
does not happen in powerful bull market uptrends.
Stop
doing that, and this is not really such a
risky asset class anymore.
Knowing that you don't need to juice your portfolio with stocks to meet your investing goals frees you to invest in other
assets, less
risky assets and not worry about whether you'll meet your goals.
That's why I don't think there is a lot to
do anymore in diversifying
risky assets beyond a certain point.
Then
do industrywide experience studies on
asset performance, so regulators will know how
risky the
assets really are,
If you are a retail investor, the best thing you can
do is set an
asset allocation between
risky and safe
assets.
These don't move in perfect lockstep, so natively the return drivers of the
risky components of the
assets are 60 - 90 % correlated over the long run (the
asset side of correlation, think of how the cost of capital moves in a correlated way across companies).
If you don't want to
do that, because you're close to having enough, or will soon, then start looking over the
risky (sector)
asset classes in rows 99 to 104.
The catch is most of these are the same
asset classes that are usually minimized, because they're «too
risky,» or don't provide a reasonable income yield.
The
do - it - yourself investor who eschews financial advisors and their commission structures can select from a variety of
asset classes, ranging from ultra-conservative money market funds to
riskier portfolios such as the Explorer fund.
For now, if a correlation with stocks
does exist, some analysts have suggested that cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin could be an indicator of appetite for
risky assets such as equities.