When OKC is
a road favorite against the West, they are 3 - 14 ATS, losing nine straight ATS to start the season.
Portland opened as a 9 - point
road favorite against Dallas across the market and early bettors have been more than happy to lay the points.
Before the season started Indianapolis was listed as a 1 - point
road favorite against Carolina, however, things have changed tremendously since then.
When this was released, Michigan State was listed as a 5.5 - point
road favorite against in - state rival Michigan.
The Wildcats were 6 point
road favorites against an up and coming Indiana team, who were flying under the radar despite an undefeated record.
I took the Jaguars as
ROAD FAVORITES against the Saints.
In what will likely determine home - field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, New England is listed as 2.5 - point
road favorites against...
In what will likely determine home - field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, New England is listed as 2.5 - point
road favorites against Pittsburgh.
In Week 15 lookahead lines, the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook opened the Patriots as 2.5 - point
road favorites against the Steelers.
If we look ahead to next week, the Eagles were 9 - point
road favorites against the Giants on the Westgate early line.
They didn't live up to their lofty expectations when they were
road favorites against the Colts, but maybe things will be different at home.
Seventy - three percent of spread tickets are on New England as 10 - point
road favorites against Miami.
Tyler Higbee ($ 2,800 DraftKings, $ 4,500 FanDuel) and Gerald Everett ($ 2,600 DraftKings, $ 4,500 FanDuel): The Rams are -3.5
road favorites against the Giants, who have allowed top - two fantasy marks to opposing tight ends with 18.2 DraftKings and 15.2 FanDuel PPG.
Betting
road favorites against teams with winning percentages of 40 % or less in April has gone 184 - 128 (59 %) ATS, + $ 4,768 since 2005.
Jared Goff ($ 6,700 DraftKings, $ 7,900 FanDuel): The Rams are -7.0
road favorites against the Cardinals, who have allowed top - five fantasy marks with 20.2 DraftKings and 19.9 FanDuel PPG.
Not exact matches
Similarly, in the NFC Championship Game, Green Bay opened as -3
favorites, although they are on the
road against the Chicago Bears.
Arsenal are currently small
road favorites with a game total of 2.5, so this isn't exactly a slam dunk like last year
against Aston Villa (winning 5 - 0 on Super Bowl Sunday).
The Thunder were 4 - point
favorites against the Spurs for Game 4 on Saturday, yet opened as 5 - point
road dogs for tonight's game.
On Tuesday the other two matches have popular
road favorites with the lines moving
against them.
The Jets are a
favorite for casual bettors, and the public is likely to swallow the points on the
road against Oakland in their home opener.
The underdog Golden State Warriors need a
road win to survive a Game 6
against the betting
favorite Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night.
Unfortunately, using a simple
favorite versus underdog filter provided no additional value, and betting
against road teams playing in their second game in as many nights actually produced a win rate above 50 %, but failed to cover the necessary vig needed to produce a winning system.
After back - to - back wins, City will look to keep on rolling as a -380
road favorite on Saturday
against Burnley (+1000 to win, +450 to draw).
Pittsburgh was a double - digit
road favorite last week
against the Ravens but lost outright, while the Browns easily covered their double - digit spread on the
road in KC last week.
The Mets are a slight
road favorite at -110 in Tuesday night's series opener sending Matt Harvey to the mound
against Edinson Volquez and the Royals at +100.
When 80 percent of the bets are on a
road favorite, bet
against that side,» he says.
In a rare Thursday night game, Manchester City will be a -115
favorite on the
road against Arsenal (+265 to win, +300 to draw).
Monday, Chelsea will be on the
road as a -180
favorite squaring off
against Watford (+475 to win, +300 to draw).
Rounding out the top five in the EPL standings, third - place Liverpool is a -525
favorite hosting West Ham United (+1100 to win, +600 to draw) on Saturday and fifth - place Tottenham is a -210
favorite on the
road against Crystal Palace (+575 to win, +345 to draw).
Their final four games include
road matchups
against the Rams and Giants and home games
against the Cowboys and Raiders, all of which they'll be the
favorite and in a couple cases, big
favorites.
In that same time, Golden State is a ridiculous 21 - 6 (77.8 %) ATS when they are
road favorites following an easy
against - the - spread win.
Betting Trends
Favorites went 8 - 8 (50.0 %) ATS
Road teams went 11 - 5 (68.8 %) ATS Unders went 9 - 7 (56.3 %) Betting
against the public (< 35 % of tickets): 3 - 5 (37.5 %) ATS -LSB-...]
He said that there has been value betting
road favorites in April
against non-playoff teams.
He has Washington in contention for the College Football Playoff and is a big
favorite in Week 5
against Cal but his teams perform much better
against - the - spread on the
road than at home.
The Sparks were 6 - point
favorites in late August on the
road against the Mercury (won 82 - 67).
After opening up at -LRB--34), the Bears are as high as a 36.5 - point
favorite despite the fact that
road favorites of more than 35 points are only 24 - 35
against the spread since 1983.
Betting Trends
Favorites went 30 - 34 (46.9 %) ATS
Road teams went 32 - 32 (50.0 %) ATS Unders went 37 - 27 (57.8 %) Betting
against the public (< 35 % of tickets): 30 - 37 (44.8 %) ATS Ranked teams getting < 50 % of the bets: 3 - 6 ATS Biggest Money - line Upsets -LSB-...]
Spread betting trends (all records are
against the spread): San Diego is 8 - 2 off spread loss, 23 - 11 off straight up loss, but 1 - 6 as
road favorites.
Betting Trends
Favorites went 8 -7-1 (53.3 %) ATS
Road teams went 8 -7-1 (53.3 %) ATS Overs went 8 - 8 (50.0 %) Betting
against -LSB-...]
Spread betting trends (all records are
against the spread): Packers are 8 -1-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass, 6 -1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a
favorite, 21 -8-1 ATS in their last 30
road games, 37 -17-2 ATS in their last 56 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 35 -17-2 overall, 9 - 2 in the series.
Betting Trends
Favorites went 9 - 5 (64.3 %) ATS
Road teams went 7 - 6 (53.8 %) ATS Unders went 11 - 3 (78.6 %) Betting
against the public (< 35 % of tickets): 1 - 6 (14.3 %) ATS Teams with a winning -LSB-...]
For a team to be more than a five - point
road favorite, you are almost always talking about a superior team
against a greatly inferior.
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