The Minnesota Twins are
road underdogs against the New York Yankees in Tuesday night's American League Wild Card game (8 p.m. ET, ESPN, WatchESPN).
Despite their 4 - 0 record and last week's 30 - 6 upset victory over Michigan State, # 8 Wisconsin opened as 10.5 - point
road underdogs against # 4 Michigan.
Detroit is
a road underdog against the Angels tonight with Max Scherzer taking on Garrett Richards.
New Orleans is
a road underdog against the best team in the NFC.
Not exact matches
Before the season we wrote our annual College Basketball and Betting
Against the Public article, which found that
road underdogs of 10 - 20 points had won at a 54.6 % clip since 2008.
That's not entirely surprising considering that
road underdogs have been exceptionally profitable
against divisional opponents.
It's the end of the
road and you should rejoice now because once the inept dinosaur is gone we shall no longer be perennially handicapped
underdogs waiting for our turn to exit competitions
against better teams..
The
underdog Golden State Warriors need a
road win to survive a Game 6
against the betting favorite Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night.
To start, we know historically in the NHL that when betting
against the public in the regular season,
road underdogs have fared better than home
underdogs.
As a result, the betting public remains just slightly in favor of the
underdog Bengals keeping it within a field goal on the
road against the AFC South champion Texans.
Unfortunately, using a simple favorite versus
underdog filter provided no additional value, and betting
against road teams playing in their second game in as many nights actually produced a win rate above 50 %, but failed to cover the necessary vig needed to produce a winning system.
-- The Minnesota Wild are currently receiving just 28 % of moneyline bets as a +175
road underdog today
against the Chicago Blackhawks.
The Canadiens are currently receiving just 18 % of moneyline bets as a
road underdog, which means they fit the criteria for our 2014 NHL Playoffs: Betting
Against the Public article.
All ten of these games featured
road underdogs, with nine teams playing
against non-conference opponents.
Before the start of the season we published our 2014 - 15 College Basketball Betting
Against the Public report which explained how bettors could capitalize on contrarian value by taking large
road underdogs following a loss.
Road teams, double digit
underdogs and betting
against the public have all been profitable trends over the past decade, so the Titans do appear to be offering some value to bettors this weekend.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a point away from the
underdog Golden Bears, the public has pounced on the Trojans winning by at least 4 points on the
road against a Cal team that got embarrassed by Oregon 43 - 15 last weekend.
Who is the most profitable ATS coach as an
underdog, on the
road or betting
against the public?
Betting Trends
Underdogs went 34 - 24 (58.6 %) ATS
Road teams went 29 - 28 (50.9 %) ATS Overs went 35 - 25 (58.3 %) Betting
against the -LSB-...]
The Dogs are Barking
Underdogs went 31 - 24 (56.4 %) ATS
Road teams went 28 - 27 (50.9 %) ATS Overs went 29 - 26 (52.7 %) Betting
against -LSB-...]
Spread betting trends (all records are
against the spread): Minnesota is 3 - 8 their last 11
road, 4 - 15 as a
road underdog of 0.5 - 3.0, 1 - 8 as
underdog.
Spread betting trends (all records are
against the spread): Army is 6 - 1 as
road underdogs, yet 7 - 18 as an
underdog of 3.5 - 10.0, 2 - 8 to teams with a winning record.
Play
Against —
Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH)-- where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less / game on the season, after a win by 10 runs or more.