The reality is that some sort of broadscale,
robust growth scenario is probably not in the cards.
Not exact matches
Up until the mid-2020s demand
growth remains
robust in the New Policies
Scenario, but slows markedly thereafter as greater efficiency and fuel switching bring down oil use for passenger vehicles (even though the global car fleet doubles from today to reach 2 billion by 2040).
The least squares regression approach probably under - estimates that A
scenario growth rate, but that is OK, that just makes the conclusion more
robust.