The role of ocean heat transport in the global climate response to projected Arctic sea ice loss.
Not exact matches
Scientists can measure how much energy greenhouse gases now add (roughly three watts per square meter), but what eludes precise definition is how much other factors — the response
of clouds to warming, the cooling
role of aerosols, the
heat and gas absorbed by
oceans, human transformation
of the landscape, even the natural variability
of solar strength — diminish or strengthen that effect.
A German - Russian research team has investigated the
role of heat exchange between
ocean and atmosphere in long - term climate variability in the Atlantic.
In May, a team
of researchers announced that hurricanes play an underappreciated
role in how
heat is regulated in the
oceans.
The
ocean plays a critical
role in climate and weather, serving as a massive reservoir
of heat and water that influences tropical storms, El Nin?o, and climate change.
Natural variability in the amount
of heat the
oceans absorb may have played a
role.
Because
ocean currents play a major
role in transporting the planet's
heat and carbon, the ECCO simulations are being used to understand the
ocean's influence on global climate and the melting
of ice in polar regions.
Pandolfi and colleagues review the threats posed to coral reefs by increased
ocean heat content and acidification and point to the
role of evolution in buffering populations.
Ocean circulation drives the movement
of warm and cold waters around the world, so it is essential to storing and regulating
heat and plays a key
role in Earth's temperature and climate.
Oceans cover 71 percent
of the earth's surface and have a huge capacity to store
heat, playing a critical
role in the climate system.
However, lacking global observations
of surface mass and
ocean heat content capable
of resolving year to year variations with sufficient accuracy, comprehensive diagnosis
of the events early in the altimetry record (e.g. such as determining the relative
roles of thermal expansion versus mass changes) has remained elusive.
Over the period 1984 — 2006 the global changes are 0.28 °C in SST and − 9.1 W m − 2 in Q, giving an effective air — sea coupling coefficient
of − 32 W m − 2 °C − 1... [D] iminished
ocean cooling due to vertical
ocean processes played an important
role in sustaining the observed positive trend in global SST from 1984 through 2006, despite the decrease in global surface
heat flux.
How 2015 will shape up is,
of course, uncertain, but that
ocean heat will play a
role, as water responds much more slowly to changes in
heat than land.
The transfer
of heat energy between the atmosphere and the
ocean isn't well understood, including the
roles of wind, currents and
ocean conditions.
ECCO model - data syntheses are being used to quantify the
ocean's
role in the global carbon cycle, to understand the recent evolution
of the polar
oceans, to monitor time - evolving
heat, water, and chemical exchanges within and between different components
of the Earth system, and for many other science applications.
Since OHC uptake efficiency associated with surface warming is low compared with the rate
of radiative restoring (increase in energy loss to space as specified by the climate feedback parameter), an important internal contribution must lead to a loss rather than a gain
of ocean heat; thus the observation
of OHC increase requires a dominant
role for external forcing.
As for how
heat transfers to the
ocean: I'm just a musician, but what's the
role of La Nina in this?
As the
ocean circulation takes up the
role of transporting
heat poleward the atmospheric circulation spins down.
c) The uncertainties in the
ocean heat uptake may be underestimated by Levitus, and there are additional uncertainties regarding the
role of deep
ocean heat uptake (Meehl et al. 2011 Nature Climate Change).
Others include, the
role of the Sun (being the main
heat source), the vast
oceans which cover over 70 %
of the Earth's surface (and the natural factors which determine the storage and release
of CO2 back into the atmosphere), water - vapour being the dominant greenhouse gas comprising 98 %
of the atmosphere, the important
role of low - level clouds which is thought to be a major factor in determining the natural variation
of climate temperatures (P.S. Significantly, computer - models are unable to replicate cloud - formation and coverage — which again — injects bias into model).
Surface temperature is an imperfect gauge
of whether the earth has been warmed by an imbalance between incoming radiation from the sun, and outgoing radiation, because
of the
role of ocean currents in the distribution
of heat between deeper and surface waters.
The variation
of net global sensible and latent
heat flux from the
ocean, being impacted greatly by ENSO, the PDO, and the AMO, plays the dominant
role in the fluctuations in total energy output measured at the TOA over short - term time frames.
Many factors — like the thermohaline circulation, which reverses direction at the poles as warm salty water releases
heat into the air and sinks down to the bottom — are heavily influenced by the
ocean's salinity, and thus, the movement
of freshwater into and around the Arctic plays an important
role in shaping both regional and global climate.
His reference to the
oceans»
role as a sink for CO2 and
heat is significant in the present debate about the apparent slight slow - down in the pace
of atmospheric warming and the likelihood that the
heat is going into the
oceans instead.
Natural variability in the amount
of heat the
oceans absorb may have played a
role.
Therefore, the finding that surface
heat flux is out
of the
ocean at low frequencies does not demonstrate an important
role for the
ocean circulation in driving the AMO.
I agree that the specific
heat and storage capacity
of things like the
oceans (especially) play a
role in regulating the Earth, but you have to bear in mind that from the point
of view
of outer space, the Earth is a system with precisely one channel.
Perhaps the negative feedback
of cloud cover has kicked in, dampening global warming, or the
ocean absorption
of atmospheric
heat is playing a new and more decisive
role.
Although polynyas only cover a small fraction
of the
ocean surface, the transfer
of heat and water vapor is so large that they play a significant
role in the climate system leading to modifications
of both atmosphere and
ocean properties.
As the dominant reservoir for
heat, the
oceans are critical for measuring the radiation imbalance
of the planet and the surface layer
of the
oceans plays the
role of thermostat and
heat source / sink for the lower atmosphere.
«Greenland ice takes on a new
role in the climate change story, not just indicating change and contributing to sea level rise, but possibly playing an important
role in destabilizing regional if not global
ocean circulation that naturally exchanges
heat north - south,» said Jason Box
of the Geological Survey
of Denmark and Greenland, and a study co-author, in an email to Mashable.
Second, a series
of mildly explosive volcanoes, which increased stratospheric particles, likely had more
of a cooling effect than previously recognized.35, 36,37 Third, the high incidence
of La Niña events in the last 15 years has played a
role in the observed trends.29, 38 Recent analyses13 suggest that more
of the increase in
heat energy during this period has been transferred to the deep
ocean than previously.
Several factors play a
role when a hurricane gains more power rapidly, including the temperature
of the surface
of the
ocean, humidity, characteristics
of the clouds, the
heat content in the
ocean, and the direction
of the wind at the surface compared to miles above.
Ocean heat content paleodata, which is far more critical and relevant to climate than CET, would tell us that indeed, the mega-volcanoes
of 1257 and 1453 played major
roles in the LIA.
This is particularly true for a long term response to CO2 forcing, because
of the major
role of the deep
ocean (down to 4000 meters and even below) in long term
heat storage needed for equilibrium.
The
role of unforced natural variations is not well known for the early years, but their net effect from 1950 to the present can be concluded to be small based on observed increases in
ocean heat content that preclude a major exit
of heat from the
oceans onto the surface and atmosphere.
The point to be made regarding that paper is similar to the one I made above: there is evidence that internal variability (to the extent it can be equated with the AMO) has affected the rate at which anthropogenic forcing has warmed the surface, but most
of the warming must have been forced, with the observed positive
ocean heat uptake data excluding more than a very minor
role for internal variability in the warming itself with very high confidence.
On account
of its ability to absorb and transport enormous amounts
of heat, the
ocean also plays an outsized
role in climate change and is an important factor in the explaining the asymmetric response
of the north and south poles to the changing climate.
These measurements could allow climatologists to determine the
role of the solar and radiative forcings on the increase in
heat content
of the late 20th century relative to that
of the deep
ocean circulation.
Northward
ocean heat transport achieved by the AMOC is responsible for the relative warmth
of the Northern Hemisphere, compared to the Southern Hemisphere, and is thought to play a
role in setting the mean position
of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone north
of the equator.
Gavin, I think it would be worth adding to the post 1) the main reason why there was so much doubt about the Lyman et al results (the unphysical melt amounts for 2003 - 5), 2) the expected
role of GRACE in obtaining a reliable result, 3) the fact that the ARGOs don't measure the deep
oceans, and 4) that it's inappropriate to take the remaining ARGO data (shown in the Lyman et al correction to be essentially flat for the last two years) and draw any conclusions about
ocean heat content trends for that period.
This current plays a crucial
role linking the Indian, Atlantic and Pacific
oceans, while also acting as one
of the great
heat and carbon sinks for the atmosphere.
Dr. Judith Curry: The uncertainties in
ocean heat content below 700 m are very substantial, see http://judithcurry.com/2014/01/21/
ocean-
heat-content-uncertainties/... The
role of internal
ocean behavior in climate change was almost completely neglected up the AR4; the AR5 takes it a bit more seriously.
To help avoid the most dangerous consequences
of climate change, ranging from extreme
heat, droughts, and storms to acidifying
oceans and rising sea levels, the United States must play a lead
role and begin to cut its
heat - trapping emissions today — and aim for at least an 80 percent drop from 2005 levels by 2050.
«We need a longer data record
of hurricane statistics,» he said, «and we need to understand more about the
role hurricanes play in regulating the
heat balance and circulation in the atmosphere and
oceans.»
9.3.1 Global Mean Response 9.3.1.1 1 % / yr CO2 increase (CMIP2) experiments 9.3.1.2 Projections
of future climate from forcing scenario experiments (IS92a) 9.3.1.3 Marker scenario experiments (SRES) 9.3.2 Patterns
of Future Climate Change 9.3.2.1 Summary 9.3.3 Range
of Temperature Response to SRES Emission Scenarios 9.3.3.1 Implications for temperature
of stabilisation
of greenhouse gases 9.3.4 Factors that Contribute to the Response 9.3.4.1 Climate sensitivity 9.3.4.2 The
role of climate sensitivity and
ocean heat uptake 9.3.4.3 Thermohaline circulation changes 9.3.4.4 Time - scales
of response 9.3.5 Changes in Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes
of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes
of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conclusions
The new knowledge from this paper, the way I read it, is the revelation
of the
role of winds for vertical mixing / diffusion
of heat in a new analysis
of the world
oceans.
The case for the strength
of the AMOC playing an important
role in setting the rate
of heat uptake by the
oceans and the degree
of disequilibrium in global mean surface temperature is made in particular by Winton et al 2014 and Kostov et al 2013, who describe two rather different perspectives on why you should expect a relationship between these two quantities.
Alexander M. A. and J. D. Scott (November 2008): The
Role of Ekman
Ocean Heat Transport in the Northern Hemisphere Response to ENSO.
Perovich et al., «Increasing solar
heating of the Arctic
Ocean and adjacent seas, 1979 — 2005: Attribution and
role in the ice - albedo feedback», GRL 2007, which says: