At this point, Utah is
rolling loaded dice.
Not exact matches
Unlike the real game of craps where the odds of
rolling a seven are statistically predictable ahead of time (one in six
rolls of two
dice), Amazon's
dice are
loaded.
Players first start by taking turns to see who goes first, then
roll a
dice to travel on a map that's
loaded with different spaces that have different effects such as losing coins, engaging in a battle or getting an item.
Seems to me that if there's a high degree of certainty about
loaded rolls of the Wx
dice into the future, you can't dismiss out of hand, as he has, that said
loaded rolls of the
dice have been at least a qualitative factor in prior Wx extremes since the AGW signal appeared.
Pielke, Jr. has already created his «bullshit» button for anyone saying the report be used to attribute the costs of losses (to date) from
loaded rolls of the weather
dice thanks to climate change.
But if you were to
roll a six using these
dice, you could not blame it specifically on the fact that the
dice had been
loaded.
It reads like it's less likely to
roll a six with
dice loaded to prefer sixes.
You've been warned and have reason to suspect they're using a
loaded dice here that
rolls a six twice as often as normal.
However Flannery et al claim we have now
loaded the
dice which in gaming parlance means that you weight the
dice in a particular way so as to change the chance of probability and skew the results by artificially creating an imbalance in the die itself causing the same number to be
rolled over and over again.
If a
loaded dice rolls a six, we can not say that this particular outcome was due to the manipulation — the question is ill - posed.
What we can say is that the number of sixes
rolled is greater with the
loaded dice (perhaps even much greater).
The sequence of
rolls of
loaded dice is random, even if you lose twice as often as expected.
Remember the
loaded dice: assume your friend
rolls it 10 times and gets 4 sixes.