Raising the Fed's inflation target could mitigate those problems by lifting the longer -
run fed funds rate.
Not exact matches
All of this raises questions about support for a critical line in the
Fed's statement where it says: «The federal
funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer
run.»
For instance, in January 2012 the
Fed's long -
run view of the «median terminal
funds rate» was 4.25 %.
Now, an institution that has the unlimited ability to create new money can never
run short of money and will therefore never need to borrow money to
fund its operations, but the
Fed sometimes borrows money via RRPs as part of its efforts to manipulate interest
rates.
The
Fed's projected path of interest
rates shifted downward, with the long -
run federal
funds rate now seen at 3.5 percent, compared with 3.75 percent at the last policy meeting.
Moreover, by keeping short -
run interest
rates near zero for more than seven years, paying interest on excess reserves (IOER) above the effective
fed funds rate, and convincing markets that rates would stay low for a long time (forward guidance), the Fed has increased the reach for yield and appears more interested in priming Wall Street than in letting markets set interest rates and allocate cred
fed funds rate, and convincing markets that
rates would stay low for a long time (forward guidance), the
Fed has increased the reach for yield and appears more interested in priming Wall Street than in letting markets set interest rates and allocate cred
Fed has increased the reach for yield and appears more interested in priming Wall Street than in letting markets set interest
rates and allocate credit.
Now, a 3 %
Fed funds rate will produce other problems (inflation, lower dollar), and it won't really solve the overall mortgage credit problems in the short -
run, but it is what the market expects by mid-2008.
Look at the reduction in the expected end of year
Fed Funds rate — down 0.35 % in 2015 (to 0.77 %), 0.51 % in 2016, 0.32 % in 2017, and 0.12 % in the long
run.
My questions: how low do we go with the
Fed funds rate, and how much will price inflation
run in the process?
Given that the effects of QE2 are subsiding, the FOMC moves the
Fed funds sentence up higher in the document and moves up the language that «low
rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium
run — are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal
funds rate for an extended period.»